Compare StocksCHRW vs MS

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)

CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$174.81
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55

Rewards

CHRW
  • C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $17.11 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
MS
  • Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

CHRW
  • Gross margin of 8.6% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Buybacks have been poorly timed — 2 out of 3 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.
  • Trailing P/E of 36.3x is 40% above the historical average of 25.8x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
MS
  • High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CHRW
MS
Valuation
$742.47M
Free Cash Flow
N/A
3.58%
FCF Yield
N/A
36.27
Trailing P/E
15.53
24.42
Forward P/E
12.89
Quality & Moat
20.06%
ROIC
3.43%
31.81%
ROE
14.42%
8.55%
Gross Margin
87.06%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.75
Balance Sheet Safety
0.76
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.41
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
1.44%
Dividend Yield
2.52%
CHRW: 3Ties: 1MS: 4
CHRWMS

Historical Fundamentals

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CHRW

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CHRW
$17.11
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$490.2M
Δ Market Cap
+$8.39B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CHRW
5.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 5.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $174.81
Fair Value: $185.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CHRW

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $175?

+16.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.0%

The market implies +16.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +13.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

MS

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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CHRW
61/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CHRW
-2.79
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CHRW
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 103.0%
No. of Institutional Holders1,137
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,182
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CHRW
3
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $400,535
BOZEMAN DAVID P
Chief Executive Officer
$199,771
@ $163.35 · 2026-02-12
CASTAGNETTO MICHAEL DAMIEN
Officer
$100,000
@ $168.35 · 2026-02-12
LEE DAMON J.
Chief Financial Officer
$100,764
@ $162.52 · 2026-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CHRW
5
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $21.14M
FREEMAN ANGELA K.
Officer
$1.72M
@ $200.52 · 2026-02-09
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$1.28M
@ $201.30 · 2026-02-09
CASTAGNETTO MICHAEL DAMIEN
Officer
$553,276
@ $194.20 · 2026-02-02
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$215,250
@ $175.00 · 2026-01-15
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$386,965
@ $161.91 · 2025-12-31
RAJAN ARUN
Officer
$381,925
@ $152.77 · 2025-11-17
FREEMAN ANGELA K.
Officer
$7.47M
@ $149.71 · 2025-11-06
CASTAGNETTO MICHAEL DAMIEN
Officer
$6.87M
@ $151.70 · 2025-11-03
RAJAN ARUN
Officer
$304,350
@ $121.74 · 2025-08-15
FREEMAN ANGELA K.
Officer
$664,096
@ $116.24 · 2025-08-11
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$746,125
@ $117.24 · 2025-08-06
FREEMAN ANGELA K.
Officer
$555,322
@ $97.42 · 2025-05-14
FREEMAN ANGELA K.
Officer
$803,120
@ $100.39 · 2025-02-27
CASTAGNETTO MICHAEL DAMIEN
Officer
$499,594
@ $99.60 · 2025-02-18
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$1.22M
@ $99.58 · 2025-02-18
CASTAGNETTO MICHAEL DAMIEN
Officer
$210,942
@ $103.81 · 2024-12-31
CAMPBELL BEN G
Officer
$2.86M
@ $110.00 · 2024-12-11
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$1.14M
@ $109.87 · 2024-11-11
CAMPBELL BEN G
Officer
$283,855
@ $102.11 · 2024-08-27
FREEMAN ANGELA K.
Officer
$834,003
@ $99.44 · 2024-08-16
SHORT MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
$1.07M
@ $98.38 · 2024-08-09
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CHRW
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CHRW
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
MS
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
View CHRW Full AnalysisView MS Full Analysis