Compare StocksCAT vs CVX

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs Chevron Corporation (CVX)

CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
$688.65
VS
CVX
Chevron Corporation
$201.44

Rewards

CAT
  • Caterpillar Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Caterpillar Inc. scores 75/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 13.0% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
CVX

    Risks

    CAT
    • FCF yield of 1.8% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
    • Trailing P/E of 36.6x is 83% above the historical average of 20.0x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
    • High leverage (2.07x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
    CVX
    • ROIC has declined by 11.5 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
    • Trailing P/E of 30.4x is 101% above the historical average of 15.2x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
    • 22 insider sales totaling $206.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    CAT
    CVX
    Valuation
    $5.84B
    Free Cash Flow
    $13.20B
    1.81%
    FCF Yield
    3.28%
    36.63
    Trailing P/E
    30.38
    24.87
    Forward P/E
    21.49
    Quality & Moat
    13.09%
    ROIC
    5.78%
    41.67%
    ROE
    6.40%
    28.79%
    Gross Margin
    41.90%
    N/A
    PEG Ratio
    N/A
    Balance Sheet Safety
    2.07
    Debt / Equity
    0.24
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    2.49
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.07
    0.88%
    Dividend Yield
    3.53%
    CAT: 2Ties: 1CVX: 8
    CATCVX

    Historical Fundamentals

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    CAT

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    CVX

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    CAT
    $6.48
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $22.05B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$142.85B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    CVX
    $-2.55
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Market Cap Declined
    Σ Retained
    $15.44B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-39.41B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    CAT
    14.7% Margin of Safety
    Price is 14.7% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $688.65
    Fair Value: $807.79
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    CVX
    12.7% Margin of Safety
    Price is 12.7% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $201.44
    Fair Value: $230.68
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    CAT

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $689?

    +17.2%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +23.0%

    The market implies +17.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

    Standard FCF implies a demanding +23.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

    CVX

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $201?

    +15.7%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +14.8%

    The market implies +15.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

    Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

    Economic Moat Score

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    CAT
    75/100
    Wide Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    CVX
    43/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    CAT
    -2.43
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    CVX
    -3.12
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    CAT
    Insiders 0.2%Institutions 72.6%Retail & Other 27.1%
    No. of Institutional Holders4,271
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    CVX
    Insiders 6.6%Institutions 67.9%Retail & Other 25.5%
    No. of Institutional Holders4,705
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    CAT
    0
    Buys (3M)
    3
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $322,768
    MACLENNAN DAVID W
    Director
    $170,658
    @ $568.86 · 2025-11-06
    MACLENNAN DAVID W
    Director
    $120,262
    @ $320.70 · 2025-05-07
    JOHNSON GERALD
    Director
    $31,848
    @ $318.48 · 2025-05-02
    JOHNSON GERALD
    Director
    $36,557
    @ $365.57 · 2025-02-04
    JOHNSON GERALD
    Director
    $39,857
    @ $398.57 · 2024-12-04
    JOHNSON GERALD
    Director
    $33,859
    @ $338.59 · 2024-09-04
    JOHNSON GERALD
    Director
    $35,640
    @ $356.40 · 2024-05-20
    MACLENNAN DAVID W
    Director
    $168,695
    @ $337.39 · 2024-05-03
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    CVX
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    CAT
    14
    Sells (3M)
    24
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $156.13M
    CREED JOSEPH E
    Chief Executive Officer
    $1.80M
    @ $718.93 · 2026-03-05
    SHURMAN RODNEY MICHAEL
    Officer
    $1.73M
    @ $759.61 · 2026-02-23
    SHURMAN RODNEY MICHAEL
    Officer
    $1.35M
    @ $763.39 · 2026-02-17
    SCHAUPP WILLIAM E
    Officer
    $742,802
    @ $764.20 · 2026-02-17
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    Officer
    $6.13M
    @ $776.90 · 2026-02-13
    KAISER JASON
    Officer
    $1.31M
    @ $776.70 · 2026-02-12
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $9.59M
    @ $767.08 · 2026-02-11
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    Officer
    $4.36M
    @ $722.15 · 2026-02-06
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $16.31M
    @ $720.11 · 2026-02-06
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $11.33M
    @ $704.97 · 2026-02-04
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    Officer
    $7.26M
    @ $680.45 · 2026-02-02
    JOHNSON DENISE C.
    Officer
    $26.66M
    @ $681.08 · 2026-02-02
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $10.91M
    @ $682.99 · 2026-02-02
    BONFIELD ANDREW ROBERT JOHN
    Chief Financial Officer
    $5.75M
    @ $575.06 · 2025-12-31
    BONFIELD ANDREW ROBERT JOHN
    Chief Financial Officer
    $5.71M
    @ $571.44 · 2025-12-01
    KAISER JASON
    Officer
    $6.03M
    @ $563.60 · 2025-11-11
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    Officer
    $4.67M
    @ $570.18 · 2025-11-10
    SCHAUPP WILLIAM E
    Officer
    $686,664
    @ $572.22 · 2025-11-05
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $8.23M
    @ $562.36 · 2025-11-05
    UMPLEBY DONALD JAMES III
    Officer
    $8.67M
    @ $505.29 · 2025-10-10
    UMPLEBY DONALD JAMES III
    Officer
    $7.94M
    @ $462.65 · 2025-09-22
    UMPLEBY DONALD JAMES III
    Officer and Director
    $7.09M
    @ $412.87 · 2025-09-02
    SCHWAB SUSAN C
    Director
    $952,840
    @ $410.00 · 2025-08-15
    KAISER JASON
    Officer
    $902,650
    @ $417.70 · 2025-08-11
    KAISER JASON
    Officer
    $860,148
    @ $354.70 · 2025-02-18
    BONFIELD ANDREW ROBERT JOHN
    Chief Financial Officer
    $3.80M
    @ $380.09 · 2025-01-16
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    President
    $2.57M
    @ $408.59 · 2024-11-29
    BONFIELD ANDREW ROBERT JOHN
    Chief Financial Officer
    $4.05M
    @ $405.36 · 2024-11-25
    SCHWAB SUSAN C
    Director
    $766.00
    @ $383.00 · 2024-11-15
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $5.19M
    @ $410.25 · 2024-11-07
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    President
    $2.26M
    @ $409.84 · 2024-11-06
    DICKINSON DANIEL M
    Director
    $543,400
    @ $418.00 · 2024-11-06
    JOHNSON CHERYL H
    Officer
    $1.01M
    @ $378.84 · 2024-11-04
    SCHAUPP WILLIAM E
    Officer
    $368,789
    @ $380.98 · 2024-11-01
    FASSINO ANTHONY D.
    Officer
    $1.12M
    @ $351.36 · 2024-08-30
    JOHNSON CHERYL H
    Officer
    $1.02M
    @ $342.48 · 2024-08-22
    JOHNSON CHERYL H
    Officer
    $527,800
    @ $350.00 · 2024-07-16
    JOHNSON CHERYL H
    Officer
    $512,720
    @ $340.00 · 2024-05-30
    DE LANGE BOB
    Officer
    $7.80M
    @ $356.90 · 2024-05-13
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    CVX
    22
    Sells (3M)
    24
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $208.08M
    PATE ROBERT HEWITT
    Officer
    $9.07M
    @ $192.12 · 2026-03-06
    WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
    Officer
    $2.19M
    @ $188.58 · 2026-03-02
    BONNER EIMEAR P
    Chief Financial Officer
    $8.60M
    @ $187.78 · 2026-03-02
    PATE ROBERT HEWITT
    Officer
    $17.54M
    @ $187.67 · 2026-03-02
    NELSON MARK A.
    Officer
    $26.23M
    @ $187.92 · 2026-03-02
    WIRTH MICHAEL K
    Chief Executive Officer
    $51.62M
    @ $189.35 · 2026-03-02
    GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
    Officer
    $1.24M
    @ $186.04 · 2026-02-27
    WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
    Officer
    $268,950
    @ $183.83 · 2026-02-18
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $441,327
    @ $183.28 · 2026-02-18
    BOOTH THOMAS RYDER
    Chief Technology Officer
    $2.25M
    @ $184.21 · 2026-02-13
    WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
    Officer
    $122,144
    @ $183.40 · 2026-02-12
    WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
    Officer
    $3.92M
    @ $176.53 · 2026-02-03
    BOOTH THOMAS RYDER
    Chief Technology Officer
    $1.07M
    @ $178.43 · 2026-02-03
    NELSON MARK A.
    Officer
    $7.98M
    @ $174.17 · 2026-02-02
    BONNER EIMEAR P
    Chief Financial Officer
    $5.62M
    @ $175.01 · 2026-01-30
    PATE ROBERT HEWITT
    Officer
    $7.26M
    @ $176.40 · 2026-01-30
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $544,000
    @ $170.00 · 2026-01-28
    BONNER EIMEAR P
    Chief Financial Officer
    $1.28M
    @ $170.00 · 2026-01-28
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $537,600
    @ $168.00 · 2026-01-14
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $1.31M
    @ $165.05 · 2026-01-05
    BONNER EIMEAR P
    Chief Financial Officer
    $4.68M
    @ $165.05 · 2026-01-05
    WIRTH MICHAEL K
    Chief Executive Officer
    $52.27M
    @ $162.99 · 2026-01-05
    GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
    Officer
    $1.40M
    @ $150.27 · 2025-11-21
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $636,480
    @ $160.00 · 2025-08-29
    GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
    Officer
    $1.42M
    @ $152.50 · 2025-02-07
    WIRTH MICHAEL K
    Chief Executive Officer
    $26.36M
    @ $160.13 · 2024-11-14
    GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
    Officer
    $600,878
    @ $160.23 · 2024-05-21
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $462,000
    @ $165.00 · 2024-04-25
    KNOWLES ALANA K.
    Officer
    $448,252
    @ $160.09 · 2024-04-02
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

    Learn more →
    CAT
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(54/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    CVX
    FearGreed
    😏Greed(75/100)

    "Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

    Learn more →
    CAT
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (54)
    CVX
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (75)
    View CAT Full AnalysisView CVX Full Analysis
    Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs Chevron Corporation (CVX) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io