Compare StocksAXP vs XYZ

American Express Company (AXP) vs Block, Inc. (XYZ)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
XYZ
Block, Inc.
$58.99

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
XYZ
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 681.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Management has timed buybacks well — 2 out of 3 years showed value-accretive repurchases.
  • Trailing P/E of 28.1x is 98% below the historical average of 1305.4x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
XYZ
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.35 of market value — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 2 out of 3 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $1.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
XYZ
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$-1.03B
N/A
FCF Yield
-2.89%
19.19
Trailing P/E
28.09
14.64
Forward P/E
12.48
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
4.89%
31.97%
ROE
5.89%
63.47%
Gross Margin
43.06%
1.16
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.40
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.86
1.29%
Dividend Yield
N/A
AXP: 4Ties: 1XYZ: 2
AXPXYZ

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

XYZ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
XYZ
$0.35
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$4.21B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
XYZ
61.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 61.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $58.99
Fair Value: $153.29
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

XYZ

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
XYZ
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
XYZ
-2.62
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
XYZ
Insiders 1.3%Institutions 83.5%Retail & Other 15.2%
No. of Institutional Holders1,435
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
XYZ
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BOTHA ROELOF FREDERICK
Director
$25.00M
@ $57.55 · 2024-08-06
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
XYZ
7
Sells (3M)
57
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $20.18M
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$225,423
@ $63.41 · 2026-03-03
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$517,450
@ $50.00 · 2026-02-24
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$202,286
@ $66.96 · 2026-01-06
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$70,442
@ $63.98 · 2026-01-02
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$76,354
@ $65.09 · 2026-01-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$52,592
@ $63.98 · 2026-01-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$21,177
@ $63.98 · 2026-01-02
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$897,596
@ $61.71 · 2025-11-24
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$167,254
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$611,483
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$639,604
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
WEBER ARNAUD
Officer
$435,633
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$221,531
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$60,000
@ $80.00 · 2025-10-08
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$2.81M
@ $80.00 · 2025-10-08
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$198,871
@ $75.70 · 2025-10-03
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$229,104
@ $75.84 · 2025-10-03
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$93,045
@ $73.26 · 2025-10-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$78,508
@ $74.77 · 2025-10-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$30,357
@ $74.77 · 2025-10-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$493,575
@ $75.00 · 2025-09-16
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$744,102
@ $76.24 · 2025-09-02
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$291,556
@ $74.60 · 2025-08-25
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$1.20M
@ $73.90 · 2025-08-22
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$1.39M
@ $73.50 · 2025-08-22
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$417,181
@ $73.72 · 2025-08-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$473,238
@ $73.20 · 2025-08-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$264,179
@ $73.20 · 2025-08-21
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$274,284
@ $76.19 · 2025-08-15
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$32,796
@ $81.99 · 2025-08-08
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Chief Technology Officer
$269,748
@ $74.93 · 2025-08-01
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$40,000
@ $80.00 · 2025-07-23
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$64,000
@ $80.00 · 2025-07-23
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$1.29M
@ $78.60 · 2025-07-21
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$313,850
@ $78.60 · 2025-07-21
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$246,568
@ $68.49 · 2025-07-17
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$25,349
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$93,570
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$72,723
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$92,947
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$28,120
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$407,048
@ $67.84 · 2025-07-02
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$177,828
@ $63.51 · 2025-06-16
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$142,025
@ $65.00 · 2025-06-06
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$169,568
@ $60.56 · 2025-06-02
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$695,039
@ $61.41 · 2025-05-27
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$852,216
@ $56.30 · 2025-05-22
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$108,720
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$564,013
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$366,197
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$169,678
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$412,500
@ $55.00 · 2025-05-12
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$53,874
@ $55.31 · 2025-04-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$111,031
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$70,968
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$105,918
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$20,509
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$851,111
@ $69.30 · 2025-02-24
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$539,083
@ $69.35 · 2025-02-24
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$103,159
@ $70.32 · 2025-02-21
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$446,180
@ $70.32 · 2025-02-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$114,411
@ $70.32 · 2025-02-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$378,855
@ $89.44 · 2025-01-03
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$177,252
@ $86.72 · 2025-01-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$129,953
@ $86.52 · 2025-01-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$253,486
@ $89.38 · 2025-01-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$36,165
@ $86.52 · 2025-01-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$272,175
@ $95.00 · 2024-12-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$910,434
@ $91.71 · 2024-11-22
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$1.06M
@ $91.49 · 2024-11-22
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$162,837
@ $91.43 · 2024-11-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$179,294
@ $91.43 · 2024-11-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$28,531
@ $83.67 · 2024-11-18
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$61,830
@ $90.00 · 2024-11-18
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$165,000
@ $82.50 · 2024-11-12
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$480,135
@ $82.45 · 2024-11-12
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$225,600
@ $75.20 · 2024-11-06
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$509,202
@ $65.26 · 2024-10-03
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$274,613
@ $64.84 · 2024-10-03
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$77,259
@ $66.09 · 2024-10-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$33,752
@ $65.41 · 2024-10-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$643,257
@ $64.80 · 2024-08-22
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$753,132
@ $64.84 · 2024-08-22
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$90,968
@ $64.70 · 2024-08-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$126,877
@ $64.70 · 2024-08-21
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$30,940
@ $61.88 · 2024-08-13
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$175,000
@ $70.00 · 2024-07-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
XYZ
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
XYZ
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
View AXP Full AnalysisView XYZ Full Analysis