Compare StocksAXP vs WSM

American Express Company (AXP) vs Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
WSM
Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
$182.58

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
WSM
  • Williams-Sonoma, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Williams-Sonoma, Inc. scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
WSM
  • Buybacks have been poorly timed — 3 out of 4 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.
  • FCF yield of 5.2% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Insiders have sold $11.1M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
WSM
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$1.14B
N/A
FCF Yield
5.22%
19.19
Trailing P/E
20.13
14.64
Forward P/E
18.10
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
35.32%
31.97%
ROE
52.26%
63.47%
Gross Margin
56.66%
1.16
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.70
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.27
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.67%
AXP: 2Ties: 2WSM: 4
AXPWSM

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

WSM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
WSM
$5.55
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.47B
Δ Market Cap
+$13.72B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
WSM
18.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 18.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $182.58
Fair Value: $222.78
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

WSM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $183?

+7.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +7.4%

The market implies +7.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +7.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
WSM
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by margin stability. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
WSM
-2.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
WSM
Insiders 1.1%Institutions 97.6%Retail & Other 1.3%
No. of Institutional Holders1,325
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
WSM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
WSM
3
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.39M
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$3.66M
@ $183.04 · 2026-03-16
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$7.26M
@ $207.39 · 2026-01-15
YEAROUT KARALYN
Officer
$157,358
@ $205.16 · 2026-01-14
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$5.39M
@ $179.55 · 2025-11-26
YEAROUT KARALYN
Officer
$695,765
@ $198.79 · 2025-09-24
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$626,951
@ $198.84 · 2025-09-18
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$18.02M
@ $200.17 · 2025-09-15
KING DAVID RANDOLPH
General Counsel
$3.56M
@ $203.60 · 2025-09-08
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$5.05M
@ $168.18 · 2025-07-15
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$675,852
@ $168.96 · 2025-07-01
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$628,448
@ $157.11 · 2025-06-02
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$4.93M
@ $164.33 · 2025-05-29
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$627,134
@ $156.78 · 2025-05-01
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$129,647
@ $141.69 · 2025-04-22
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$6.02M
@ $165.79 · 2025-03-27
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$4.97M
@ $165.78 · 2025-03-27
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$273,603
@ $194.32 · 2025-02-27
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$9.35M
@ $207.76 · 2025-01-21
HOWIE JEFFREY E.
Chief Financial Officer
$560,562
@ $177.39 · 2024-12-02
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$5.22M
@ $130.49 · 2024-11-15
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$5.81M
@ $145.27 · 2024-09-16
YEAROUT KARALYN
Officer
$1.49M
@ $134.66 · 2024-08-28
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$6.26M
@ $156.45 · 2024-07-15
BHARGAVA MONICA
Officer
$2.66M
@ $298.28 · 2024-06-06
KING DAVID RANDOLPH
General Counsel
$2.88M
@ $287.85 · 2024-05-24
ALBER LAURA
Chief Executive Officer
$6.37M
@ $318.53 · 2024-05-15
BENSON MARTA H
Officer
$5.49M
@ $308.19 · 2024-04-04
BENSON MARTA H
Officer
$685,722
@ $313.98 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
WSM
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
WSM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View AXP Full AnalysisView WSM Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io