Compare StocksAXP vs TSCO

American Express Company (AXP) vs Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
$46.18

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
TSCO
  • Tractor Supply Company has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Tractor Supply Company scores 86/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
TSCO
  • High leverage (2.30x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • 6 insider sales totaling $12.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
TSCO
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$740.49M
N/A
FCF Yield
3.05%
19.19
Trailing P/E
22.42
14.64
Forward P/E
19.22
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
10.99%
31.97%
ROE
42.46%
63.47%
Gross Margin
36.42%
1.16
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
2.30
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.93
1.29%
Dividend Yield
2.08%
AXP: 4Ties: 1TSCO: 3
AXPTSCO

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TSCO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TSCO
$0.82
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$1.89B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.55B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TSCO
11.4% Overvalued
Price is 11.4% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $46.18
Fair Value: $41.46
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

TSCO

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $46?

+12.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +17.4%

The market implies +12.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +17.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TSCO
86/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TSCO
-2.60
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TSCO
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 99.6%Retail & Other 0.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,656
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TSCO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TSCO
6
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $25.03M
YANKEE COLIN
Officer
$618,263
@ $55.35 · 2026-02-13
ESTEP JONATHAN S
Officer
$3.23M
@ $54.03 · 2026-02-11
MILLS ROBERT D.
Chief Technology Officer
$3.41M
@ $54.12 · 2026-02-11
BARTON KURT D.
Chief Financial Officer
$101,378
@ $53.81 · 2026-02-10
BARTON KURT D.
Chief Financial Officer
$104,050
@ $53.94 · 2026-02-06
LAWTON HARRY A III
Chief Executive Officer
$4.50M
@ $53.16 · 2026-02-03
KERSEY MELISSA
Officer
$377,426
@ $59.79 · 2025-08-13
WEIKEL MARK J
Director
$479,360
@ $59.92 · 2025-08-07
YANKEE COLIN
Officer
$390,121
@ $58.40 · 2025-07-28
ELLISON-SOUTHALL NONI L
General Counsel
$332,592
@ $63.96 · 2025-07-24
BARTON KURT D.
Chief Financial Officer
$5.76M
@ $63.96 · 2025-07-24
JACKSON DENISE L
Director
$68,152
@ $58.50 · 2025-07-22
JACKSON DENISE L
Director
$115,500
@ $57.75 · 2025-07-10
JACKSON DENISE L
Director
$57,000
@ $57.00 · 2025-07-09
ESTEP JONATHAN S
Officer
$2.01M
@ $56.00 · 2025-07-07
JACKSON DENISE L
Director
$258,965
@ $55.93 · 2025-07-07
JACKSON DENISE L
Director
$85,250
@ $55.00 · 2025-07-02
ESTEP JONATHAN S
Officer
$3.00M
@ $53.00 · 2025-06-23
RUBIN MATTHEW LAWRENCE
President
$145,446
@ $51.76 · 2025-05-14
RUBIN MATTHEW LAWRENCE
Officer
$222,091
@ $57.69 · 2025-02-20
BARTON KURT D.
Chief Financial Officer
$680,176
@ $56.00 · 2025-02-13
YANKEE COLIN
Officer
$1.33M
@ $54.15 · 2025-02-11
KERSEY MELISSA
Officer
$494,472
@ $53.17 · 2025-02-06
LAWTON HARRY A III
Chief Executive Officer
$4.81M
@ $54.59 · 2025-02-03
BARTON KURT D.
Chief Financial Officer
$6.96M
@ $295.64 · 2024-10-01
BARTON KURT D.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.02M
@ $275.00 · 2024-08-28
RUBIN MATTHEW LAWRENCE
Officer
$141,669
@ $262.35 · 2024-08-12
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TSCO
FearGreed
😨Fear(31/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
TSCO
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (31)
View AXP Full AnalysisView TSCO Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io