Compare StocksAXP vs TMO

American Express Company (AXP) vs Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)

AXP
American Express Company
$319.68
VS
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
$469.21

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 62.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • American Express Company scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
TMO
  • Dividend yield of 0.38% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
  • Trailing P/E of 25.8x is 20% below the historical average of 32.3x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • Altman Z-Score of 3.85 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
TMO
  • PEG ratio of 2.28 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $8.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
TMO
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$5.52B
N/A
FCF Yield
3.17%
19.96
Trailing P/E
25.77
15.90
Forward P/E
17.15
Quality & Moat
12.37%
ROIC
6.71%
31.48%
ROE
12.88%
62.76%
Gross Margin
40.93%
1.13
PEG Ratio
2.28
Balance Sheet Safety
1.78
Debt / Equity
0.83
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.53
1.19%
Dividend Yield
0.38%
AXP: 7Ties: 1TMO: 1
AXPTMO

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TMO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TMO
$0.17
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$17.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$2.95B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
34.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 34.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $319.68
Fair Value: $487.58
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TMO
40.5% Overvalued
Price is 40.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $469.21
Fair Value: $333.86
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

TMO

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $469?

+14.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +16.7%

The market implies +14.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +16.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TMO
60/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TMO
-2.47
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.3%Institutions 65.6%Retail & Other 12.1%
No. of Institutional Holders3,664
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TMO
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 94.9%Retail & Other 4.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,559
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TMO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
CHAI NELSON J
Director
$11,038
@ $551.90 · 2024-12-09
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $151.85M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TMO
5
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $110.73M
PETTITI GIANLUCA
President
$185,064
@ $462.66 · 2026-04-27
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$802,536
@ $499.40 · 2026-03-11
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$2.06M
@ $514.82 · 2026-03-05
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.08M
@ $507.75 · 2026-03-04
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$216,480
@ $541.20 · 2026-02-09
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$12.42M
@ $563.56 · 2025-12-04
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$36.13M
@ $582.68 · 2025-12-03
LOWERY FREDERICK M.
Officer
$8.15M
@ $589.81 · 2025-12-02
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$6.43M
@ $600.00 · 2025-11-25
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$2.76M
@ $594.42 · 2025-11-13
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$622,136
@ $588.59 · 2025-11-12
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$1.73M
@ $580.00 · 2025-11-10
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$5.84M
@ $571.62 · 2025-11-07
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$13.91M
@ $571.33 · 2025-10-27
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$229,660
@ $574.15 · 2025-10-24
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$200,201
@ $500.50 · 2025-09-05
HOLMES JOSEPH R.
Officer
$189,662
@ $492.63 · 2025-08-29
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.01M
@ $500.96 · 2025-08-22
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$248,046
@ $500.09 · 2025-08-20
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$8.15M
@ $452.99 · 2025-08-07
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$191,992
@ $479.98 · 2025-07-25
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$164,444
@ $411.11 · 2025-05-12
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$128,979
@ $429.93 · 2025-04-28
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$2.01M
@ $532.59 · 2025-03-10
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$9.33M
@ $518.16 · 2025-03-05
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$945,038
@ $530.92 · 2025-03-03
LOWERY FREDERICK M.
Officer
$9.73M
@ $531.81 · 2025-02-24
CHAI NELSON J
Director
$8,449
@ $528.06 · 2025-02-19
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$175,677
@ $585.59 · 2025-02-04
WILLIAMSON STEPHEN
Chief Financial Officer
$11.58M
@ $589.36 · 2025-02-04
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$10.62M
@ $531.23 · 2024-12-03
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$3.26M
@ $557.89 · 2024-11-01
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.01M
@ $550.51 · 2024-10-31
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.05M
@ $552.46 · 2024-10-29
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.12M
@ $560.16 · 2024-10-25
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$168,048
@ $560.16 · 2024-10-25
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$12.17M
@ $608.45 · 2024-09-04
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$6.17M
@ $617.21 · 2024-07-31
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$9.88M
@ $606.12 · 2024-07-30
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$2.22M
@ $613.02 · 2024-07-26
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.20M
@ $600.85 · 2024-07-26
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$180,255
@ $600.85 · 2024-07-26
HOLMES JOSEPH R.
Officer
$525,484
@ $611.03 · 2024-07-26
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.37M
@ $568.72 · 2024-06-04
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$11.80M
@ $590.05 · 2024-05-14
WILLIAMSON STEPHEN
Chief Financial Officer
$12.96M
@ $591.27 · 2024-05-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(49/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TMO
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (49)
TMO
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View AXP Full AnalysisView TMO Full Analysis
AXP vs TMO: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io