Compare StocksAXP vs TEL

American Express Company (AXP) vs TE Connectivity plc (TEL)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
$198.39

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
TEL
  • TE Connectivity plc has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • TE Connectivity plc scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 23.5% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
TEL
  • FCF yield of 5.5% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Trailing P/E of 28.6x is 29% above the historical average of 22.2x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $7.5M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
TEL
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$3.20B
N/A
FCF Yield
5.50%
19.19
Trailing P/E
28.59
14.64
Forward P/E
16.03
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
15.61%
31.97%
ROE
14.02%
63.47%
Gross Margin
35.69%
1.16
PEG Ratio
0.64
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.46
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.05
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.47%
AXP: 4Ties: 1TEL: 4
AXPTEL

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TEL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TEL
$6.55
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.66B
Δ Market Cap
+$30.50B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TEL
27.8% Overvalued
Price is 27.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $198.39
Fair Value: $155.18
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

TEL

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $198?

+15.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +7.5%

The market implies +15.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +7.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TEL
81/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Reinvestment Efficiency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TEL
-2.87
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TEL
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 93.4%Retail & Other 6.5%
No. of Institutional Holders1,774
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TEL
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TEL
5
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $142.14M
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$2.09M
@ $222.52 · 2026-03-02
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$1.53M
@ $233.64 · 2026-02-13
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$2.20M
@ $233.82 · 2026-02-13
SHAFFER REUBEN M
Officer
$333,853
@ $234.28 · 2026-02-13
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$1.37M
@ $222.81 · 2026-02-09
MITTS HEATH A
Chief Financial Officer
$2.84M
@ $226.43 · 2025-12-19
CURTIN TERRENCE R
Chief Executive Officer
$9.45M
@ $227.07 · 2025-12-19
MITTS HEATH A
Chief Financial Officer
$20.34M
@ $247.15 · 2025-11-03
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$6.20M
@ $247.73 · 2025-11-03
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$4.84M
@ $202.99 · 2025-09-02
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$9.60M
@ $209.33 · 2025-07-28
SAGAR MALAVIKA
Officer
$403,004
@ $207.20 · 2025-07-28
CURTIN TERRENCE R
Chief Executive Officer
$41.15M
@ $208.76 · 2025-07-28
STUCKI AARON KYLE
Officer
$10.20M
@ $192.78 · 2025-07-23
STUCKI AARON KYLE
Officer
$2.23M
@ $170.00 · 2025-06-26
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$3.98M
@ $159.03 · 2025-06-02
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$3.32M
@ $162.85 · 2025-05-13
MITTS HEATH A
Chief Financial Officer
$8.49M
@ $159.21 · 2025-05-12
STUCKI AARON KYLE
President
$800,000
@ $160.00 · 2025-05-12
SAGAR MALAVIKA
Officer
$500,000
@ $160.00 · 2025-05-12
MITTS HEATH A
Chief Financial Officer
$5.80M
@ $153.33 · 2025-05-09
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$4.48M
@ $149.39 · 2025-05-02
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$3.67M
@ $146.77 · 2025-03-04
WRIGHT LAURA H
Director
$154,660
@ $154.66 · 2025-02-18
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$587,706
@ $151.16 · 2025-01-27
CURTIN TERRENCE R
Chief Executive Officer
$17.79M
@ $154.69 · 2024-11-11
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$6.34M
@ $155.49 · 2024-11-07
OTT ROBERT J
Officer
$2.50M
@ $155.41 · 2024-11-06
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$1.32M
@ $151.41 · 2024-09-03
JENKINS JOHN S. JR.
General Counsel
$895,048
@ $145.56 · 2024-08-13
MITTS HEATH A
Chief Financial Officer
$9.24M
@ $154.70 · 2024-07-31
OTT ROBERT J
Officer
$450,321
@ $154.59 · 2024-07-31
CURTIN TERRENCE R
Chief Executive Officer
$33.97M
@ $155.45 · 2024-07-29
STUCKI AARON KYLE
Officer
$1.36M
@ $155.00 · 2024-07-11
KROEGER SHADRAK W
Officer
$749,297
@ $149.86 · 2024-06-03
STUCKI AARON KYLE
Officer
$750,000
@ $150.00 · 2024-05-15
TRUDEAU MARK C
Director
$996,656
@ $141.49 · 2024-04-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TEL
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
TEL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
View AXP Full AnalysisView TEL Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io