Compare StocksAXP vs RTX

American Express Company (AXP) vs RTX Corporation (RTX)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
RTX
RTX Corporation
$200.73

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
RTX
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 19.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $21.02 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
RTX
  • Gross margin of 20.1% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • FCF yield of 2.4% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • PEG ratio of 4.88 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
RTX
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$6.46B
N/A
FCF Yield
2.39%
19.19
Trailing P/E
40.47
14.64
Forward P/E
26.73
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
7.21%
31.97%
ROE
10.03%
63.47%
Gross Margin
20.08%
1.16
PEG Ratio
4.88
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.60
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.21
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.36%
AXP: 6Ties: 1RTX: 2
AXPRTX

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

RTX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
RTX
$21.02
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.67B
Δ Market Cap
+$98.20B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
RTX
100.4% Overvalued
Price is 100.4% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $200.73
Fair Value: $100.19
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

RTX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $201?

+18.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +19.3%

The market implies +18.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +19.3%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
RTX
51/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
RTX
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
RTX
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 81.0%Retail & Other 18.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,911
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
RTX
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $23,580
WINNEFELD JAMES A. JR.
Director
$23,580
@ $117.90 · 2025-04-23
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
RTX
7
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.72M
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$2.58M
@ $202.83 · 2026-02-23
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$12.96M
@ $203.80 · 2026-02-19
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$3.10M
@ $204.65 · 2026-02-19
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$7.35M
@ $205.56 · 2026-02-19
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$1.64M
@ $201.30 · 2026-02-13
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$3.49M
@ $199.16 · 2026-02-12
JOHNSON AMY L.
Officer
$1.58M
@ $195.03 · 2026-02-10
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$858,278
@ $178.32 · 2025-10-27
ATKINSON TRACY A
Director
$500,948
@ $178.91 · 2025-10-24
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$873,528
@ $180.15 · 2025-10-24
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$4.15M
@ $159.79 · 2025-08-27
BRUNK TROY D
Officer
$1.19M
@ $155.20 · 2025-08-12
JASPER PHILIP J
Officer
$2.03M
@ $157.82 · 2025-08-04
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$1.36M
@ $156.20 · 2025-07-24
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$222,600
@ $152.26 · 2025-07-23
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$2.33M
@ $137.62 · 2025-06-03
JOHNSON AMY L.
Officer
$528,777
@ $127.54 · 2025-05-06
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $130.36 · 2025-02-27
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$2.10M
@ $130.35 · 2025-02-27
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$2.46M
@ $126.82 · 2025-02-25
BRUNK TROY D
Officer
$361,736
@ $125.95 · 2025-02-24
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$1.30M
@ $125.08 · 2025-02-19
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$1.95M
@ $124.45 · 2025-02-18
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$1.81M
@ $129.23 · 2025-02-05
HAYES GREGORY J
Officer and Director
$15.88M
@ $117.74 · 2024-07-31
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$498,908
@ $115.43 · 2024-07-30
JASPER PHILIP J
Officer
$1.39M
@ $113.65 · 2024-07-29
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$482,790
@ $114.00 · 2024-07-29
JOHNSON AMY L.
Officer
$766,864
@ $113.88 · 2024-07-29
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$938,766
@ $114.96 · 2024-07-26
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$2.02M
@ $114.87 · 2024-07-26
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$260,401
@ $114.71 · 2024-07-26
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$773,604
@ $114.76 · 2024-07-26
TIMM STEPHEN J
Officer
$2.10M
@ $105.72 · 2024-05-10
ORTBERG ROBERT KELLY
Director
$1.05M
@ $101.98 · 2024-04-30
HAYES GREGORY J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.11M
@ $101.44 · 2024-04-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
RTX
FearGreed
😏Greed(64/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
RTX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (64)
View AXP Full AnalysisView RTX Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io