Compare StocksAXP vs ROK

American Express Company (AXP) vs Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
ROK
Rockwell Automation, Inc.
$355.73

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
ROK
  • Rockwell Automation, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 25.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
ROK
  • 9 insider sales totaling $23.6M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
ROK
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$1.36B
N/A
FCF Yield
3.40%
19.19
Trailing P/E
40.65
14.64
Forward P/E
25.95
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
15.66%
31.97%
ROE
22.87%
63.47%
Gross Margin
48.49%
1.16
PEG Ratio
0.61
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.99
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.79
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.55%
AXP: 4Ties: 1ROK: 4
AXPROK

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ROK

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ROK
$9.35
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$1.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$14.07B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ROK
80.6% Overvalued
Price is 80.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $355.73
Fair Value: $196.94
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

ROK

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $356?

+20.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.1%

The market implies +20.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ROK
69/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ROK
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ROK
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 88.2%Retail & Other 11.6%
No. of Institutional Holders1,881
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ROK
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ROK
9
Sells (3M)
55
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $39.85M
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$3.56M
@ $398.92 · 2026-03-02
NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$5.93M
@ $410.01 · 2026-02-26
GENEREUX SCOTT A
Officer
$7.04M
@ $404.61 · 2026-02-25
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$515,628
@ $405.69 · 2026-02-25
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$485,050
@ $404.21 · 2026-02-25
MYERS TESSA M.
Officer
$812,599
@ $409.37 · 2026-02-25
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
$4.89M
@ $404.27 · 2026-02-25
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$77,548
@ $380.14 · 2026-02-17
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$313,600
@ $392.00 · 2026-01-02
MILLER JOHN M
Officer
$46,999
@ $401.70 · 2025-12-10
GENEREUX SCOTT A
Officer
$664,640
@ $401.84 · 2025-12-10
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$116,500
@ $401.72 · 2025-12-10
PERDUCAT CYRIL
Chief Technology Officer
$388,205
@ $401.87 · 2025-12-10
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$184,676
@ $401.47 · 2025-12-10
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$230,792
@ $401.38 · 2025-12-10
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$114,934
@ $401.87 · 2025-12-10
NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$438,542
@ $401.60 · 2025-12-10
MYERS TESSA M.
Officer
$550,861
@ $401.80 · 2025-12-10
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
$823,435
@ $401.87 · 2025-12-10
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$828,475
@ $402.37 · 2025-12-10
MILLER JOHN M
Officer
$12,087
@ $402.90 · 2025-12-05
GENEREUX SCOTT A
Officer
$113,607
@ $402.86 · 2025-12-05
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$27,396
@ $402.88 · 2025-12-05
PERDUCAT CYRIL
Chief Technology Officer
$56,004
@ $402.91 · 2025-12-05
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$74,127
@ $402.86 · 2025-12-05
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$118,860
@ $402.92 · 2025-12-05
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$24,173
@ $402.88 · 2025-12-05
NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$51,981
@ $402.95 · 2025-12-05
MYERS TESSA M.
Officer
$149,486
@ $402.93 · 2025-12-05
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
$149,476
@ $402.90 · 2025-12-05
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$1.42M
@ $403.04 · 2025-12-05
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$300,030
@ $365.00 · 2025-10-29
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$87,500
@ $350.00 · 2025-09-11
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$35,552
@ $345.17 · 2025-09-08
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$127,181
@ $348.44 · 2025-08-29
PERDUCAT CYRIL
Chief Technology Officer
$499,500
@ $348.08 · 2025-08-29
KEANE JAMES P
Director
$1.07M
@ $356.06 · 2025-08-26
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$830,730
@ $350.67 · 2025-07-17
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$171,134
@ $325.35 · 2025-06-11
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$96,913
@ $326.31 · 2025-06-09
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$161,197
@ $326.31 · 2025-06-09
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$94,310
@ $326.33 · 2025-06-09
NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$179,796
@ $326.31 · 2025-06-09
MYERS TESSA M.
Officer
$118,454
@ $326.32 · 2025-06-09
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$81,583
@ $326.33 · 2025-06-09
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$230,023
@ $318.15 · 2025-06-04
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$141,758
@ $315.02 · 2025-05-29
MILLER JOHN M
Officer
$558,038
@ $310.02 · 2025-05-13
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$518,651
@ $304.37 · 2025-05-12
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$760,321
@ $304.13 · 2025-05-12
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
$1.58M
@ $304.18 · 2025-05-12
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$285,682
@ $304.24 · 2025-05-12
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$147,504
@ $295.01 · 2025-05-09
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
$1.48M
@ $295.01 · 2025-05-09
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$75,500
@ $257.68 · 2025-04-02
GENEREUX SCOTT A
Officer
$501,858
@ $286.78 · 2025-03-03
MILLER JOHN M
Officer
$71,928
@ $285.43 · 2025-02-28
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$248,810
@ $284.03 · 2025-02-28
MYERS TESSA M.
Officer
$351,364
@ $285.43 · 2025-02-28
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$59,823
@ $296.15 · 2025-02-14
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$255,179
@ $300.21 · 2025-02-12
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$245,872
@ $274.72 · 2025-01-10
MILLER JOHN M
General Counsel
$9,867
@ $299.00 · 2024-12-10
GENEREUX SCOTT A
Officer
$229,776
@ $298.80 · 2024-12-10
LAKKUNDI VEENA M
Officer
$79,855
@ $299.08 · 2024-12-10
WOODS ISAAC
Officer and Treasurer
$22,994
@ $298.62 · 2024-12-10
PERDUCAT CYRIL
Chief Technology Officer
$96,661
@ $298.34 · 2024-12-10
BUTTERMORE ROBERT L.
Officer
$21,484
@ $298.39 · 2024-12-10
FORDENWALT MATTHEW W
Officer
$19,692
@ $298.36 · 2024-12-10
RIESTERER TERRY LEE
Officer
$21,202
@ $298.62 · 2024-12-10
NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$65,421
@ $298.73 · 2024-12-10
MYERS TESSA M.
Officer
$88,230
@ $298.07 · 2024-12-10
HOUSE REBECCA WICKHEM
Officer
$233,947
@ $298.40 · 2024-12-10
BULHO MATHEUS DE A G VIERA
Officer
$439,970
@ $299.71 · 2024-12-10
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ROK
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
ROK
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
View AXP Full AnalysisView ROK Full Analysis