Compare StocksAXP vs KMI

American Express Company (AXP) vs Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
KMI
Kinder Morgan, Inc.
$33.44

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
KMI
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $55.46 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.50 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
KMI
  • Trailing P/E of 24.4x is 28% above the historical average of 19.1x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.14 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
KMI
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$2.89B
N/A
FCF Yield
3.89%
19.19
Trailing P/E
24.41
14.64
Forward P/E
22.87
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
6.25%
31.97%
ROE
9.42%
63.47%
Gross Margin
49.31%
1.16
PEG Ratio
0.50
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
1.00
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.54
1.29%
Dividend Yield
3.50%
AXP: 5Ties: 1KMI: 3
AXPKMI

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

KMI

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
KMI
$55.46
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$370.0M
Δ Market Cap
+$20.52B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
KMI
176.2% Overvalued
Price is 176.2% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $33.44
Fair Value: $12.11
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

KMI

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $33?

+16.0%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
KMI
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though margin stability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
KMI
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
KMI
Insiders 12.8%Institutions 69.7%Retail & Other 17.5%
No. of Institutional Holders2,155
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
KMI
1
Buys (3M)
4
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $26.24M
SMITH WILLIAM A
Director
$89,236
@ $29.75 · 2026-02-02
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$112,443
@ $26.23 · 2025-10-31
KINDER RICHARD D
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$25.96M
@ $25.96 · 2025-10-27
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$75,059
@ $27.21 · 2025-07-28
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$55,790
@ $24.90 · 2024-11-05
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$200,986
@ $20.65 · 2024-08-02
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
KMI
6
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $7.20M
GARTHWAITE MICHAEL P
Officer
$51,609
@ $33.30 · 2026-03-16
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$207,640
@ $33.67 · 2026-03-05
ASHLEY ANTHONY B
Officer
$255,560
@ $31.95 · 2026-02-17
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$185,523
@ $30.09 · 2026-02-05
MICHELS DAVID PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
$600,000
@ $30.00 · 2026-01-22
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$169,491
@ $27.49 · 2026-01-05
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$171,476
@ $27.81 · 2025-12-05
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$166,482
@ $27.00 · 2025-11-10
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$173,709
@ $28.17 · 2025-10-06
GRAHMANN KEVIN P
Officer
$658,908
@ $27.61 · 2025-09-15
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$166,482
@ $27.00 · 2025-09-08
SANDERS DAX A
Officer
$814,999
@ $27.05 · 2025-08-11
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$171,446
@ $27.81 · 2025-08-05
MICHELS DAVID PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
$1.13M
@ $28.19 · 2025-08-04
MODY SITAL K
Officer
$1.27M
@ $27.96 · 2025-08-01
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$508,676
@ $28.26 · 2025-06-04
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$496,255
@ $27.57 · 2025-05-07
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$479,018
@ $26.61 · 2025-03-05
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$2.01M
@ $26.65 · 2025-02-18
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$498,521
@ $27.70 · 2025-02-05
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$502,294
@ $27.91 · 2025-01-02
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$492,079
@ $27.34 · 2024-12-04
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$502,530
@ $26.28 · 2024-11-06
SANDERS DAX A
Officer
$1.11M
@ $21.00 · 2024-08-14
MODY SITAL K
Officer
$529,553
@ $21.04 · 2024-08-01
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$2.10M
@ $21.01 · 2024-08-01
MODY SITAL K
Officer
$455,078
@ $21.25 · 2024-07-24
SANDERS DAX A
Officer
$987,515
@ $19.75 · 2024-05-21
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
KMI
FearGreed
😏Greed(66/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
KMI
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (66)
View AXP Full AnalysisView KMI Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io