Compare StocksAXP vs IT

American Express Company (AXP) vs Gartner, Inc. (IT)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
IT
Gartner, Inc.
$159.26

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
IT
  • Gartner, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 68.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Gartner, Inc. scores 96/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
IT
  • High leverage (10.47x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
IT
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$922.79M
N/A
FCF Yield
8.04%
19.19
Trailing P/E
16.50
14.64
Forward P/E
10.98
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
26.56%
31.97%
ROE
227.88%
63.47%
Gross Margin
68.39%
1.16
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
10.47
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.24
1.29%
Dividend Yield
N/A
AXP: 1Ties: 1IT: 5
AXPIT

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

IT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
IT
$-3.05
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$2.87B
Δ Market Cap
$-8.74B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
IT
30.3% Margin of Safety
Price is 30.3% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $159.26
Fair Value: $228.40
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

IT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $159?

+6.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +3.0%

The market implies +6.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +3.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
IT
96/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
IT
-2.91
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
IT
Insiders 3.4%Institutions 106.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,187
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
IT
1
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $10.05M
RINELLO JOHN J
Officer
$7,706
@ $154.12 · 2026-02-05
PAGLIUCA STEPHEN G
Director
$9.94M
@ $229.57 · 2025-12-10
GUTIERREZ JOSE M.
Director
$99,997
@ $239.80 · 2025-08-18
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
IT
0
Sells (3M)
13
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $6.17M
RINELLO JOHN J
Officer
$50,505
@ $229.57 · 2025-12-03
HERKES CLAIRE L
Officer
$84,983
@ $231.56 · 2025-12-03
RINELLO JOHN J
Officer
$26,220
@ $249.71 · 2025-08-22
FUCHS ANNE SUTHERLAND
Director
$270,705
@ $413.29 · 2025-06-12
DYKSTRA KAREN E
Director
$792,439
@ $421.51 · 2025-06-09
HENSEL SCOTT
Officer
$2.42M
@ $448.78 · 2025-05-21
JAIN AKHIL
Officer
$281,250
@ $450.00 · 2025-05-19
HERKES CLAIRE L
Officer
$84,068
@ $447.17 · 2025-05-16
JAIN AKHIL
Officer
$11,250
@ $450.00 · 2025-05-15
SAFIAN CRAIG W
Chief Financial Officer
$1.54M
@ $450.17 · 2025-05-13
WARTINBEE WILLIAM JAMES III
Officer
$241,610
@ $449.09 · 2025-05-13
KRANICH ROBIN B.
Officer
$322,574
@ $436.50 · 2025-05-07
RINELLO JOHN J
Officer
$47,562
@ $436.35 · 2025-05-07
RINELLO JOHN J
Officer
$44,387
@ $493.19 · 2025-02-27
GENOVESE YVONNE
Officer
$881,258
@ $506.47 · 2025-02-26
SERRA EILEEN
Director
$587,724
@ $489.77 · 2025-02-24
RINELLO JOHN J
Officer
$47,746
@ $530.51 · 2025-02-10
GENOVESE YVONNE
Officer
$89,931
@ $519.83 · 2024-12-11
WARTINBEE WILLIAM JAMES III
Officer
$98,949
@ $523.54 · 2024-12-06
HERKES CLAIRE L
Officer
$214,229
@ $521.24 · 2024-11-27
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$2.62M
@ $524.02 · 2024-11-26
BISSON PETER E
Director
$921,367
@ $528.61 · 2024-11-15
HENSEL SCOTT
Officer
$888,000
@ $555.00 · 2024-11-13
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$6.98M
@ $552.79 · 2024-11-13
JAIN AKHIL
Officer
$165,652
@ $554.02 · 2024-11-13
DAWKINS ALWYN
Officer
$550,340
@ $550.34 · 2024-11-12
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$12.47M
@ $548.48 · 2024-11-12
SAFIAN CRAIG W
Chief Financial Officer
$1.94M
@ $550.81 · 2024-11-11
BECK JOSEPH P
Officer
$1.35M
@ $553.34 · 2024-11-11
SRIBAR VALENTIN T
Officer
$475,580
@ $553.00 · 2024-11-11
ALLARD KENNETH
Officer
$880,952
@ $548.88 · 2024-11-11
DAWKINS ALWYN
Officer
$1.09M
@ $546.80 · 2024-11-08
HALL EUGENE A.
Chief Executive Officer
$9.99M
@ $546.24 · 2024-11-08
JAIN AKHIL
Officer
$121,878
@ $549.00 · 2024-11-08
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$7.76M
@ $537.20 · 2024-11-07
DYKSTRA KAREN E
Director
$793,530
@ $529.02 · 2024-11-06
HERKES CLAIRE L
Officer
$241,873
@ $506.01 · 2024-09-13
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$3.95M
@ $501.72 · 2024-09-12
HALL EUGENE A.
Chief Executive Officer
$17.21M
@ $505.40 · 2024-09-12
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$1.06M
@ $500.15 · 2024-09-10
WARTINBEE WILLIAM JAMES III
Officer
$103,276
@ $491.79 · 2024-09-09
JAIN AKHIL
Officer
$246,000
@ $492.00 · 2024-09-09
DAWKINS ALWYN
Officer
$489,550
@ $489.55 · 2024-08-29
HENSEL SCOTT
Officer
$2.73M
@ $490.00 · 2024-08-29
KRANICH ROBIN B.
Officer
$1.76M
@ $490.00 · 2024-08-29
HERKES CLAIRE L
Officer
$323,757
@ $483.22 · 2024-08-27
GENOVESE YVONNE
Officer
$214,244
@ $483.62 · 2024-08-26
SAFIAN CRAIG W
Chief Financial Officer
$3.05M
@ $483.57 · 2024-08-15
JAIN AKHIL
Officer
$194,000
@ $485.00 · 2024-08-15
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$4.80M
@ $480.08 · 2024-08-13
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$2.39M
@ $478.26 · 2024-08-07
DYKSTRA KAREN E
Director
$783,521
@ $465.55 · 2024-08-05
DAWKINS ALWYN
Officer
$505,490
@ $505.49 · 2024-07-31
SMITH JAMES C
Director
$5.04M
@ $503.54 · 2024-07-31
HALL EUGENE A.
Chief Executive Officer
$6.10M
@ $504.84 · 2024-07-31
SRIBAR VALENTIN T
Officer
$252,500
@ $505.00 · 2024-07-31
FUCHS ANNE SUTHERLAND
Director
$252,640
@ $505.28 · 2024-07-31
WARTINBEE WILLIAM JAMES III
Officer
$149,234
@ $499.11 · 2024-07-31
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
IT
FearGreed
😨Fear(28/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
IT
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (28)
View AXP Full AnalysisView IT Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs Gartner, Inc. (IT) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io