Compare Stocks › AXP vs INCY
American Express Company (AXP) vs Incyte Corporation (INCY)
AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
INCY
Incyte Corporation
$92.95
Rewards
AXP
- ★Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
INCY
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 14.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
- ★Trailing P/E of 14.5x is 89% below the historical average of 130.7x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
Risks
AXP
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
- ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
INCY
- ⚠FCF yield of 7.2% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $4.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →AXP
INCY
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$1.33B
N/A
FCF Yield
7.19%
19.19
Trailing P/E
14.50
14.64
Forward P/E
10.75
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
19.89%
31.97%
ROE
24.90%
63.47%
Gross Margin
52.88%
1.16
PEG Ratio
0.33
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.01
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.45
1.29%
Dividend Yield
N/A
AXP: 2Ties: 1INCY: 5
AXPINCY
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →AXP
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
INCY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
INCY
$0.89
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$1.92B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.71B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
INCY
62.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 62.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $92.95
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $247.14
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →AXP
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
INCY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $93?
+0.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -0.2%
The market implies +0.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -0.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
INCY
64/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
INCY
-2.43
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
INCY
Insiders 1.9%Institutions 104.7%
No. of Institutional Holders1,222
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
INCY
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
INCY
3
Sells (3M)
31
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $38.32M
CAGNONI PABLO J
Officer
$1.88M
@ $100.91 · 2026-02-19
ISSA MOHAMED KHAIRIE
Officer
$1.18M
@ $109.07 · 2026-01-07
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$1.59M
@ $101.70 · 2026-01-05
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$336,350
@ $99.69 · 2025-12-19
MORRISSEY MICHAEL JAMES
Officer
$5.68M
@ $97.29 · 2025-12-17
MAYES PATRICK A
Officer
$554,965
@ $95.55 · 2025-12-11
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$2.32M
@ $102.56 · 2025-12-02
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$79,038
@ $102.78 · 2025-11-24
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$29,012
@ $104.36 · 2025-11-17
HOPPENOT HERVE
Director
$19.77M
@ $105.46 · 2025-11-10
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$534,813
@ $102.20 · 2025-11-05
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$60,613
@ $101.36 · 2025-11-04
HEESON LEE
Officer
$289,017
@ $94.02 · 2025-11-03
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$23,581
@ $85.13 · 2025-10-15
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$351,978
@ $85.85 · 2025-10-03
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$23,116
@ $83.15 · 2025-09-16
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$50,812
@ $84.97 · 2025-09-02
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$24,046
@ $86.81 · 2025-08-15
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$45,310
@ $75.77 · 2025-08-04
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$251,786
@ $67.94 · 2025-07-21
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$286,296
@ $69.57 · 2025-07-16
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$67,198
@ $68.36 · 2025-07-16
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$91,602
@ $68.36 · 2025-07-16
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$82,225
@ $69.86 · 2025-07-15
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$83,273
@ $69.86 · 2025-07-15
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$1.02M
@ $68.47 · 2025-07-14
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$587,275
@ $68.15 · 2025-07-03
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$743,039
@ $68.15 · 2025-07-03
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$41,097
@ $68.61 · 2025-07-02
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$122,060
@ $68.00 · 2025-06-03
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$105,516
@ $65.38 · 2025-06-02
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$1.34M
@ $67.69 · 2025-03-14
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$41,924
@ $69.99 · 2025-03-04
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$1.04M
@ $74.07 · 2025-02-26
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$897,867
@ $72.69 · 2025-01-21
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$90,968
@ $69.98 · 2024-12-16
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$455,544
@ $75.38 · 2024-11-29
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$293,210
@ $79.68 · 2024-11-06
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$60,209
@ $63.11 · 2024-09-13
DICKINSON JONATHAN ELLIOTT
Officer
$526,948
@ $62.36 · 2024-09-12
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$703,793
@ $60.63 · 2024-08-12
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$1.09M
@ $70.00 · 2024-07-25
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$83,832
@ $64.19 · 2024-07-16
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$488,880
@ $60.00 · 2024-07-09
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $60.00 · 2024-06-12
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$64,389
@ $58.91 · 2024-06-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →AXP
😐Neutral(42/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
INCY
😐Neutral(43/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →AXP
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
INCY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)