Compare Stocks › AXP vs ICE
American Express Company (AXP) vs Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)
AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$158.50
Rewards
AXP
- ★Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
ICE
- ★Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.46 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
Risks
AXP
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
- ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
ICE
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.95 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠10 insider sales totaling $11.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →AXP
ICE
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$3.49B
N/A
FCF Yield
3.86%
19.19
Trailing P/E
27.47
14.64
Forward P/E
18.48
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
7.89%
31.97%
ROE
11.43%
63.47%
Gross Margin
100.00%
1.16
PEG Ratio
1.17
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.70
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.15
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.31%
AXP: 4Ties: 3ICE: 2
AXPICE
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →AXP
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
ICE
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ICE
$6.46
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$5.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$34.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ICE
33.5% Overvalued
Price is 33.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $118.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →AXP
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
ICE
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $159?
+14.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.9%
The market implies +14.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +13.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ICE
61/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ICE
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ICE
Insiders 0.9%Institutions 94.7%Retail & Other 4.3%
No. of Institutional Holders2,326
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ICE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ICE
10
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $29.27M
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$263,936
@ $164.96 · 2026-03-09
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$637,725
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$740,524
@ $162.00 · 2026-02-26
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$2.07M
@ $153.86 · 2026-02-20
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$383,460
@ $154.00 · 2026-02-19
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$594,155
@ $153.73 · 2026-02-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.74M
@ $153.82 · 2026-02-19
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$2.36M
@ $155.02 · 2026-02-18
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$2.12M
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-10
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$798,899
@ $169.19 · 2026-02-05
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$261,120
@ $163.20 · 2025-12-12
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$837,382
@ $156.67 · 2025-12-08
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$584,440
@ $157.96 · 2025-12-05
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$241,538
@ $153.65 · 2025-11-20
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$269,960
@ $152.52 · 2025-11-19
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$314,231
@ $151.00 · 2025-11-11
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.60M
@ $158.88 · 2025-10-08
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$161,542
@ $172.04 · 2025-09-17
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$280,992
@ $175.62 · 2025-09-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$506,086
@ $174.51 · 2025-09-04
FAROOQUI DURIYA M
Director
$363,100
@ $178.34 · 2025-08-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$686,570
@ $178.33 · 2025-08-26
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$109,654
@ $179.76 · 2025-08-22
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$280,166
@ $178.45 · 2025-08-20
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$146,890
@ $185.00 · 2025-07-25
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$145,724
@ $183.30 · 2025-07-01
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.78M
@ $178.65 · 2025-06-13
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$283,968
@ $177.48 · 2025-06-12
HAGUE WILLIAM JEFFERSON
Director
$94,137
@ $177.62 · 2025-06-10
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$689,247
@ $179.12 · 2025-06-05
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$110,160
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$900,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.48M
@ $179.75 · 2025-05-30
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$140,828
@ $177.37 · 2025-05-28
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$96,335
@ $174.52 · 2025-05-22
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$311,079
@ $175.85 · 2025-05-21
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$275,811
@ $175.90 · 2025-05-20
KING ELIZABETH KATHRYN
Officer
$2.94M
@ $175.47 · 2025-05-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.25M
@ $178.38 · 2025-05-09
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$418,175
@ $159.00 · 2025-04-16
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$211,050
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-20
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.70M
@ $170.52 · 2025-03-14
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$270,624
@ $169.14 · 2025-03-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$381,884
@ $169.35 · 2025-03-07
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$747,718
@ $169.86 · 2025-03-06
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$378,760
@ $170.00 · 2025-03-05
MARTIN LYNN C
President
$727,125
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-03
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$268,139
@ $171.01 · 2025-02-28
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$659,452
@ $171.42 · 2025-02-26
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$1.35M
@ $171.43 · 2025-02-26
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$204,680
@ $170.00 · 2025-02-25
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$1.75M
@ $166.63 · 2025-02-20
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$4.16M
@ $166.54 · 2025-02-20
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.14M
@ $166.99 · 2025-02-19
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.76M
@ $166.47 · 2025-02-07
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$688,086
@ $165.60 · 2025-02-06
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$965,774
@ $165.71 · 2025-02-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →AXP
😐Neutral(42/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ICE
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →AXP
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
ICE
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)