Compare StocksAXP vs HOOD

American Express Company (AXP) vs Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
$74.16

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
HOOD
  • Gross margin of 92.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $34.39 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
HOOD
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 2 out of 3 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.59 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
  • 11 insider sales totaling $66.6M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
HOOD
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
N/A
FCF Yield
N/A
19.19
Trailing P/E
36.18
14.64
Forward P/E
26.99
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
7.61%
31.97%
ROE
20.58%
63.47%
Gross Margin
92.38%
1.16
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
1.36
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
1.29%
Dividend Yield
N/A
AXP: 4Ties: 1HOOD: 2
AXPHOOD

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

HOOD

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
HOOD
$34.39
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.75B
Δ Market Cap
+$94.67B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
HOOD
53.7% Overvalued
Price is 53.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $74.16
Fair Value: $48.25
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

HOOD

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
HOOD
45/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
HOOD
-1.59
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
HOOD
Insiders 0.7%Institutions 74.5%Retail & Other 24.8%
No. of Institutional Holders1,827
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
HOOD
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.97M
PAYNE CHRISTOPHER D
Director
$1.97M
@ $74.19 · 2025-06-13
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
HOOD
11
Sells (3M)
47
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $903.86M
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$469,822
@ $80.50 · 2026-03-05
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$754,903
@ $75.49 · 2026-03-03
VERMA SHIV
Chief Financial Officer
$411,274
@ $75.13 · 2026-02-17
WARNICK JASON
Former
$10.64M
@ $85.09 · 2026-02-09
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$870,665
@ $87.07 · 2026-02-03
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$4.61M
@ $87.81 · 2026-02-03
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$630,284
@ $107.48 · 2026-01-26
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$712,984
@ $121.59 · 2026-01-05
TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
$45.61M
@ $121.63 · 2026-01-05
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$1.22M
@ $121.58 · 2026-01-05
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$717,689
@ $122.39 · 2025-12-22
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$775,711
@ $132.26 · 2025-12-05
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$15.86M
@ $132.13 · 2025-12-03
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$6.55M
@ $131.15 · 2025-12-03
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$6.07M
@ $121.33 · 2025-11-26
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$1.13M
@ $112.98 · 2025-11-24
WARNICK JASON
Chief Financial Officer
$39.84M
@ $132.81 · 2025-11-11
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$6.80M
@ $140.61 · 2025-11-04
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$3.65M
@ $145.95 · 2025-11-03
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$861,460
@ $146.91 · 2025-10-27
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$865,118
@ $147.53 · 2025-10-06
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$3.71M
@ $148.34 · 2025-10-03
TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
$104.80M
@ $139.73 · 2025-10-01
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$727,872
@ $124.13 · 2025-09-22
TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
$403.97M
@ $114.57 · 2025-09-15
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$585,514
@ $99.83 · 2025-09-05
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$2.52M
@ $100.92 · 2025-09-03
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$6.07M
@ $100.91 · 2025-09-03
WARNICK JASON
Chief Financial Officer
$11.09M
@ $110.93 · 2025-08-15
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$4.20M
@ $104.71 · 2025-08-05
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$2.61M
@ $104.23 · 2025-08-04
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$22.49M
@ $99.97 · 2025-08-01
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$614,141
@ $104.73 · 2025-07-25
TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
$39.28M
@ $101.90 · 2025-07-16
TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
$11.64M
@ $101.65 · 2025-07-14
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$548,353
@ $93.51 · 2025-07-07
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$2.35M
@ $93.88 · 2025-07-03
TENEV VLADIMIR
Chief Executive Officer
$69.95M
@ $93.27 · 2025-07-01
WARNICK JASON
Chief Financial Officer
$15.77M
@ $90.09 · 2025-06-30
WARNICK JASON
Chief Financial Officer
$29.27M
@ $83.63 · 2025-06-25
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$7.84M
@ $84.96 · 2025-06-25
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$456,362
@ $77.82 · 2025-06-20
PINNER JEFFREY TSVI
Chief Technology Officer
$431,021
@ $73.49 · 2025-06-05
GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR
Officer
$1.79M
@ $71.64 · 2025-06-03
QUIRK STEVEN M
Officer
$7.36M
@ $70.14 · 2025-06-03
WARNICK JASON
Chief Financial Officer
$1.65M
@ $65.95 · 2025-05-27
WARNICK JASON
Chief Financial Officer
$3.10M
@ $61.98 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
HOOD
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
HOOD
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
View AXP Full AnalysisView HOOD Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io