Compare StocksAXP vs FANG

American Express Company (AXP) vs Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

AXP
American Express Company
$294.93
VS
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
$190.31

Rewards

AXP
  • Gross margin of 63.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.18 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
FANG
  • Gross margin of 73.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $4.58 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

AXP
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
FANG
  • ROIC has declined by 16.6 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Diamondback Energy, Inc. scores only 14/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • Buybacks have been poorly timed — 3 out of 4 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXP
FANG
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$602.63M
N/A
FCF Yield
1.12%
19.19
Trailing P/E
33.21
14.64
Forward P/E
14.69
Quality & Moat
9.49%
ROIC
-15.96%
31.97%
ROE
3.87%
63.47%
Gross Margin
73.04%
1.16
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.91
Debt / Equity
0.34
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.39
1.29%
Dividend Yield
2.21%
AXP: 3Ties: 2FANG: 3
AXPFANG

Historical Fundamentals

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AXP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

FANG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
FANG
$4.58
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.97B
Δ Market Cap
+$18.18B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXP
38.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 38.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $294.93
Fair Value: $480.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
FANG
0.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 0.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $190.31
Fair Value: $192.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXP

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

FANG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $190?

+17.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +31.7%

The market implies +17.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +31.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AXP
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
FANG
14/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable competitive advantage detected. The business shows limited evidence of pricing power, consistent returns, or capital efficiency.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
FANG
-2.99
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXP
Insiders 22.2%Institutions 64.8%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,749
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
FANG
Insiders 30.8%Institutions 65.1%Retail & Other 4.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,480
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXP
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,054
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
FANG
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
TSURU FRANK D
Director
$313,020
@ $156.51 · 2025-02-28
WEST STEVEN E
Director
$975,960
@ $162.66 · 2024-12-16
REEVES ROBERT K
Director
$509,760
@ $180.00 · 2024-11-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXP
7
Sells (3M)
20
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $152.65M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$829,501
@ $230.93 · 2024-05-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$27.27M
@ $232.44 · 2024-05-02
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $238.63 · 2024-04-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
FANG
10
Sells (3M)
18
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.98B
THOMPSON JERE W III
Chief Financial Officer
$136,851
@ $182.47 · 2026-03-16
ZMIGROSKY MATTHEW PAUL
Officer
$3.76M
@ $180.00 · 2026-03-13
BARKMANN ALBERT
Officer
$731,600
@ $182.90 · 2026-03-13
SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.15B
@ $170.19 · 2026-03-12
DICK TERESA L
Officer
$1.01M
@ $183.07 · 2026-03-09
WESSON DANIEL N.
Chief Operating Officer
$3.62M
@ $181.11 · 2026-03-06
THOMPSON JERE W III
Chief Financial Officer
$136,260
@ $181.68 · 2026-03-06
VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES
Chief Executive Officer
$1.81M
@ $180.84 · 2026-03-06
SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.71M
@ $176.71 · 2026-03-04
SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$331.87M
@ $165.94 · 2026-02-04
SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$305.18M
@ $152.59 · 2025-11-28
WESSON DANIEL N.
Chief Operating Officer
$596,948
@ $149.24 · 2025-11-26
ZMIGROSKY MATTHEW PAUL
Officer
$518,630
@ $148.18 · 2025-11-14
THOMPSON JERE W III
Chief Financial Officer
$147,730
@ $147.73 · 2025-11-11
VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES
Chief Executive Officer
$1.41M
@ $140.61 · 2025-11-06
THOMPSON JERE W III
Chief Financial Officer
$212,275
@ $141.52 · 2025-06-09
WESSON DANIEL N.
Officer
$710,306
@ $142.06 · 2025-06-03
VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES
President
$1.43M
@ $142.69 · 2025-05-12
VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES
President
$653,928
@ $163.48 · 2024-12-13
DICK TERESA L
Officer
$1.00M
@ $200.00 · 2024-08-09
VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES
President
$9.91M
@ $198.15 · 2024-08-08
WESSON DANIEL N.
Chief Operating Officer
$778,760
@ $194.69 · 2024-06-10
BARKMANN ALBERT
Officer
$194,750
@ $194.75 · 2024-06-10
WESSON DANIEL N.
Chief Operating Officer
$1.18M
@ $197.14 · 2024-05-28
ZMIGROSKY MATTHEW PAUL
Officer
$1.19M
@ $198.15 · 2024-05-17
VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES
President
$4.89M
@ $195.69 · 2024-05-16
THOMPSON JERE W III
Officer
$179,910
@ $199.90 · 2024-05-03
ZMIGROSKY MATTHEW PAUL
Officer
$969,684
@ $193.94 · 2024-03-21
DICK TERESA L
Officer
$387,840
@ $193.92 · 2024-03-21
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
FANG
FearGreed
😏Greed(70/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
FANG
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (70)
View AXP Full AnalysisView FANG Full Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) vs Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io