Compare Stocks › AXP vs CMI
American Express Company (AXP) vs Cummins Inc. (CMI)
AXP
American Express Company
$319.68
VS
CMI
Cummins Inc.
$657.44
Rewards
AXP
- ★Gross margin of 62.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★American Express Company scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
CMI
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 31.6% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $1.68 of earning power — management is creating shareholder value.
- ★PEG ratio of 0.77 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
Risks
AXP
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
- ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
CMI
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.6% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠Trailing P/E of 32.1x is 29% above the historical average of 24.8x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
- ⚠6 insider sales totaling $19.8M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →AXP
CMI
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$2.39B
N/A
FCF Yield
2.62%
19.96
Trailing P/E
32.05
15.90
Forward P/E
20.83
Quality & Moat
12.37%
ROIC
13.49%
31.48%
ROE
21.20%
62.76%
Gross Margin
25.76%
1.13
PEG Ratio
0.77
Balance Sheet Safety
1.78
Debt / Equity
0.61
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.87
1.19%
Dividend Yield
1.19%
AXP: 4Ties: 2CMI: 3
AXPCMI
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →AXP
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
CMI
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
CMI
$7.92
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.58B
Δ Market Cap
+$36.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →AXP
34.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 34.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $319.68
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $487.58
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
CMI
21.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 21.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $657.44
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $836.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →AXP
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
CMI
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $657?
+14.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +17.1%
The market implies +14.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +17.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →AXP
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
CMI
55/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
CMI
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →AXP
Insiders 22.3%Institutions 65.6%Retail & Other 12.1%
No. of Institutional Holders3,664
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
CMI
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 87.9%Retail & Other 11.8%
No. of Institutional Holders2,422
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →AXP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
CMI
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $332,080
STONE JOHN H
Director
$332,080
@ $332.08 · 2025-05-16
WILTROUT JEFFREY T
Officer
$80,401
@ $285.11 · 2024-05-24
BOAKYE MARVIN
Officer
$499,133
@ $286.04 · 2024-05-20
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →AXP
7
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $151.85M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
CMI
6
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.04M
DAVIS AMY ROCHELLE
Officer
$2.28M
@ $561.34 · 2026-03-03
JACKSON DONALD G
Officer
$2.32M
@ $465.64 · 2026-02-24
DAVIS AMY ROCHELLE
Officer
$1.09M
@ $586.64 · 2026-02-23
NEWSOME EARL JR.
Chief Technology Officer
$758,776
@ $583.67 · 2026-02-23
MILLER WILLIAM I
Director
$10.81M
@ $597.10 · 2026-02-11
BUSH JENNIFER MARY
Officer
$2.50M
@ $584.93 · 2026-02-10
MERRITT BRETT MICHAEL
Officer
$709,514
@ $489.32 · 2025-11-25
RUMSEY JENNIFER W.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.17M
@ $473.89 · 2025-11-11
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$6.17M
@ $470.66 · 2025-11-06
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$89,819
@ $449.10 · 2025-10-30
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$3.51M
@ $439.30 · 2025-10-06
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$3.77M
@ $415.73 · 2025-09-17
ENRIGHT ROBERT J
Officer
$748,210
@ $402.26 · 2025-08-22
DAVIS AMY ROCHELLE
Officer
$2.02M
@ $402.88 · 2025-08-14
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$5.00M
@ $400.20 · 2025-08-13
BUSH JENNIFER MARY
Officer
$201,826
@ $388.13 · 2025-08-08
PETERS LUTHER EARL
Officer
$1.89M
@ $389.19 · 2025-08-08
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$4.28M
@ $374.57 · 2025-02-10
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$798,403
@ $369.12 · 2024-11-21
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$784,071
@ $362.49 · 2024-11-13
JACKSON DONALD G
Officer
$1.78M
@ $356.21 · 2024-11-12
DI LEO ALLEN BRUNO VITO
Director
$1.77M
@ $358.56 · 2024-11-12
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$775,052
@ $358.32 · 2024-11-11
SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTON LORD
Officer
$7.47M
@ $308.24 · 2024-08-23
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$1.98M
@ $304.77 · 2024-08-21
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $300.35 · 2024-08-15
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$708,110
@ $296.28 · 2024-05-10
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$1.11M
@ $286.86 · 2024-05-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →AXP
😐Neutral(49/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
CMI
😏Greed(67/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →AXP
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (49)
CMI
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (67)