Compare StocksAXON vs NVDA

Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) vs NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
$402.31
VS
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
$198.45

Rewards

AXON
  • Altman Z-Score of 8.21 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
NVDA
  • NVIDIA Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 71.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 193.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

AXON
  • Share count has increased by 12% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Trailing P/E of 262.9x is 58% above the historical average of 166.1x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
NVDA
  • FCF yield of 2.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.06 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
  • Insiders have sold $4.9M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXON
NVDA
Valuation
$230.03M
Free Cash Flow
$96.68B
0.71%
FCF Yield
2.00%
262.95
Trailing P/E
40.50
38.46
Forward P/E
17.66
Quality & Moat
-1.30%
ROIC
65.75%
3.84%
ROE
76.33%
59.82%
Gross Margin
71.07%
1.64
PEG Ratio
0.42
Balance Sheet Safety
0.59
Debt / Equity
0.07
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.42
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.38
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.02%
AXON: 0Ties: 1NVDA: 10
AXONNVDA

Historical Fundamentals

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AXON

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

NVDA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXON
$49.74
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$677.5M
Δ Market Cap
+$33.69B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
NVDA
$16.33
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$220.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.60T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXON
265.0% Overvalued
Price is 265.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $402.31
Fair Value: $110.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
NVDA
45.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $198.45
Fair Value: $361.26
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXON

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $402?

+44.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +34.9%

The market implies +44.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +34.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

NVDA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $198?

+17.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.0%

The market implies +17.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +20.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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AXON
43/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
NVDA
69/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXON
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
NVDA
-1.06
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXON
Insiders 4.3%Institutions 85.5%Retail & Other 10.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,542
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
NVDA
Insiders 4.2%Institutions 68.1%Retail & Other 27.7%
No. of Institutional Holders7,393
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXON
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.00M
PARTOVI HADI
Director
$1.00M
@ $740.00 · 2025-08-13
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
NVDA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXON
10
Sells (3M)
47
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $143.92M
NARDINI ERIKA
Director
$100,303
@ $506.58 · 2026-03-17
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$76,930
@ $490.00 · 2026-03-17
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$18.48M
@ $534.39 · 2026-03-10
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$690,488
@ $565.51 · 2026-03-09
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.60M
@ $560.24 · 2026-03-09
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$860,175
@ $573.45 · 2026-03-02
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.36M
@ $552.90 · 2026-03-02
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$497,879
@ $535.35 · 2026-02-27
FIELDS ISAIAH
Officer
$1.07M
@ $535.01 · 2026-02-27
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.00M
@ $500.24 · 2026-02-25
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$6.19M
@ $619.01 · 2026-01-07
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$680,400
@ $600.00 · 2025-12-19
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.16M
@ $580.00 · 2025-12-11
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$11.05M
@ $552.60 · 2025-12-08
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.52M
@ $551.92 · 2025-12-08
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$491,700
@ $550.00 · 2025-12-04
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$55,063
@ $550.63 · 2025-12-04
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$1.09M
@ $535.11 · 2025-12-03
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$39,720
@ $536.76 · 2025-12-03
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$968,992
@ $539.23 · 2025-12-02
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.52M
@ $610.00 · 2025-11-10
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.91M
@ $591.04 · 2025-11-07
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.14M
@ $713.74 · 2025-10-07
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$3.57M
@ $713.88 · 2025-09-29
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$58,520
@ $760.00 · 2025-09-15
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$672,725
@ $773.25 · 2025-09-15
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$75,254
@ $752.54 · 2025-09-11
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.44M
@ $743.64 · 2025-09-08
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$54,262
@ $723.49 · 2025-09-03
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$11.88M
@ $746.26 · 2025-08-15
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$5.92M
@ $750.10 · 2025-08-14
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.31M
@ $831.29 · 2025-08-11
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$2.18M
@ $870.86 · 2025-08-07
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$505,162
@ $870.97 · 2025-08-07
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$702,633
@ $776.39 · 2025-06-17
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$57,886
@ $771.81 · 2025-06-13
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$4.56M
@ $760.00 · 2025-06-04
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$2.22M
@ $740.76 · 2025-05-30
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$7.31M
@ $738.03 · 2025-05-21
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$960,487
@ $738.84 · 2025-05-19
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$287,362
@ $718.40 · 2025-05-14
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$572,785
@ $715.98 · 2025-05-14
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.38M
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-13
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$570,600
@ $713.25 · 2025-05-13
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.15M
@ $683.31 · 2025-05-12
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$459,900
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-12
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$459,900
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-12
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.41M
@ $540.99 · 2025-04-21
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$169,685
@ $552.72 · 2025-03-17
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$271,832
@ $604.07 · 2025-01-02
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$646,329
@ $624.47 · 2024-12-23
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$829,375
@ $642.43 · 2024-12-17
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$875,623
@ $639.14 · 2024-12-17
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$639,687
@ $639.69 · 2024-12-16
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$2.02M
@ $652.71 · 2024-12-04
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$860,077
@ $682.06 · 2024-12-04
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$1.73M
@ $656.34 · 2024-12-04
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.24M
@ $640.00 · 2024-11-22
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.10M
@ $635.06 · 2024-11-21
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$605,196
@ $605.20 · 2024-11-20
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$3.79M
@ $598.75 · 2024-11-15
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$599,530
@ $599.53 · 2024-11-15
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$26.27M
@ $601.58 · 2024-11-13
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$12.12M
@ $606.15 · 2024-11-12
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$437,980
@ $437.98 · 2024-10-15
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $404.14 · 2024-10-03
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$66.34M
@ $402.07 · 2024-10-02
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$44,000
@ $400.00 · 2024-09-30
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$380,990
@ $380.99 · 2024-09-16
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.64M
@ $378.95 · 2024-09-12
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$9.29M
@ $359.84 · 2024-09-10
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$2.99M
@ $364.86 · 2024-09-09
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$318,177
@ $353.53 · 2024-09-05
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$61.00M
@ $357.67 · 2024-09-04
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$62.45M
@ $366.72 · 2024-08-27
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$82,707
@ $375.94 · 2024-08-22
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$167,864
@ $373.03 · 2024-08-21
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$374,990
@ $374.99 · 2024-08-16
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$755,005
@ $374.32 · 2024-08-15
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$729,328
@ $364.66 · 2024-08-09
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$427,016
@ $297.78 · 2024-06-18
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$279,748
@ $281.72 · 2024-05-31
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$136,727
@ $286.04 · 2024-05-28
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$580,387
@ $290.19 · 2024-05-20
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$13.64M
@ $309.96 · 2024-05-09
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$13.53M
@ $309.94 · 2024-05-09
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$95,501
@ $310.07 · 2024-05-09
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
NVDA
3
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.10B
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$942,944
@ $174.75 · 2026-03-20
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$3.36M
@ $176.71 · 2026-03-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$555,440
@ $184.90 · 2026-03-13
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$15.19M
@ $189.85 · 2026-01-02
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$4.43M
@ $179.98 · 2025-12-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$112,317
@ $179.42 · 2025-11-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$5.20M
@ $207.91 · 2025-10-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$23.56M
@ $188.47 · 2025-10-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.73M
@ $181.04 · 2025-10-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.06M
@ $182.48 · 2025-10-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.34M
@ $183.73 · 2025-10-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.89M
@ $190.60 · 2025-10-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.05M
@ $186.89 · 2025-10-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.09M
@ $187.08 · 2025-10-02
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.23M
@ $178.82 · 2025-09-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.21M
@ $178.69 · 2025-09-24
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$617,298
@ $176.37 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.18M
@ $174.14 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.75M
@ $176.66 · 2025-09-16
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.28M
@ $174.59 · 2025-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.01M
@ $168.95 · 2025-09-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.61M
@ $171.60 · 2025-09-03
HUDSON BEACH DAWN E
Director
$15.38M
@ $170.90 · 2025-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.12M
@ $180.79 · 2025-08-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.96M
@ $182.04 · 2025-08-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.66M
@ $180.70 · 2025-08-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.78M
@ $176.80 · 2025-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.18M
@ $178.58 · 2025-07-31
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.16M
@ $174.02 · 2025-07-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.22M
@ $169.87 · 2025-07-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.71M
@ $172.05 · 2025-07-18
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$37.59M
@ $167.08 · 2025-07-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$36.43M
@ $161.91 · 2025-07-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.55M
@ $158.02 · 2025-07-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.16M
@ $156.27 · 2025-07-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$30.47M
@ $152.33 · 2025-06-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$14.40M
@ $144.04 · 2025-06-23
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$646,469
@ $143.66 · 2025-06-20
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$91,608
@ $138.80 · 2025-05-30
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.74M
@ $134.82 · 2025-05-30
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$525,585
@ $116.80 · 2025-03-21
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.79M
@ $116.83 · 2025-03-21
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$2.37M
@ $118.42 · 2025-03-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.16M
@ $115.49 · 2025-03-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$292,930
@ $110.00 · 2025-03-10
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$608,775
@ $135.28 · 2024-12-13
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$9.03M
@ $135.40 · 2024-12-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$101,672
@ $142.00 · 2024-11-25
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$524,293
@ $116.51 · 2024-09-20
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.77M
@ $116.59 · 2024-09-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.55M
@ $118.97 · 2024-09-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$26.25M
@ $109.39 · 2024-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.04M
@ $104.35 · 2024-09-09
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.81M
@ $107.52 · 2024-09-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.57M
@ $114.90 · 2024-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$24.92M
@ $103.82 · 2024-08-09
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
AXON
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
NVDA
FearGreed
😏Greed(62/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXON
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
NVDA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (62)
View AXON Full AnalysisView NVDA Full Analysis
AXON vs NVDA: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io