Compare Stocks › AXON vs LLY
Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
As of 2026-06-19, AXON is overvalued at $423, with a DCF intrinsic value of $104 and a margin of safety of -308%. LLY is fairly valued at $1099, with an intrinsic value of $1143 and a margin of safety of 4%. Of the two, LLY has the wider margin of safety.
AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
$423.40
VS
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$1098.57
Rewards
AXON
- ★Altman Z-Score of 8.21 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
LLY
- ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
AXON
- ⚠Share count has increased by 12% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
- ⚠FCF yield of 0.2% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 10.7x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
LLY
- ⚠FCF yield of 0.9% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $18.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →AXON
LLY
Valuation
$62.62M
Free Cash Flow
$9.16B
0.18%
FCF Yield
0.93%
170.73
Trailing P/E
39.00
40.04
Forward P/E
24.69
Quality & Moat
1.64%
ROIC
37.80%
6.77%
ROE
107.46%
59.46%
Gross Margin
82.83%
1.64
PEG Ratio
1.50
Balance Sheet Safety
0.31
Net Debt / Equity
1.22
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
10.73
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.05
0.00%
Dividend Yield
0.56%
AXON: 1Ties: 1LLY: 10
AXONLLY
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →AXON
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
LLY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →AXON
$49.74
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$677.5M
Δ Market Cap
+$33.69B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →AXON
308.0% Overvalued
Price is 308.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $423.40
Strongly undervalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $103.78
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LLY
3.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 3.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $1098.57
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1143.11
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →AXON
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $423?
+45.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +56.1%
The market implies +45.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +56.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
LLY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1099?
+20.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +31.4%
The market implies +20.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +31.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →AXON
43/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →AXON
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →AXON
Insiders 4.2%Institutions 88.7%Retail & Other 7.0%
No. of Institutional Holders1,503
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.3%Retail & Other 14.5%
No. of Institutional Holders5,580
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →AXON
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.00M
PARTOVI HADI
Director
$1.00M
@ $740.00 · 2025-08-13
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →AXON
8
Sells (3M)
42
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $139.21M
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.35M
@ $488.45 · 2026-06-05
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$10.00M
@ $500.00 · 2026-06-04
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$621,000
@ $500.00 · 2026-06-04
COUGHLIN ELIZABETH REID
Officer
$753,690
@ $485.00 · 2026-06-04
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.89M
@ $485.00 · 2026-06-02
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$270,140
@ $478.97 · 2026-06-01
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$295,403
@ $469.64 · 2026-06-01
FIELDS ISAIAH
Officer
$800,000
@ $400.00 · 2026-05-22
NARDINI ERIKA
Director
$100,303
@ $506.58 · 2026-03-17
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$76,930
@ $490.00 · 2026-03-17
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$18.48M
@ $534.39 · 2026-03-10
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.60M
@ $560.24 · 2026-03-09
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$690,488
@ $565.51 · 2026-03-09
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$860,175
@ $573.45 · 2026-03-02
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.36M
@ $552.90 · 2026-03-02
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$497,879
@ $535.35 · 2026-02-27
FIELDS ISAIAH
Officer
$1.07M
@ $535.01 · 2026-02-27
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.00M
@ $500.24 · 2026-02-25
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$6.19M
@ $619.01 · 2026-01-07
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$680,400
@ $600.00 · 2025-12-19
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.16M
@ $580.00 · 2025-12-11
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$11.05M
@ $552.60 · 2025-12-08
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.52M
@ $551.92 · 2025-12-08
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$491,700
@ $550.00 · 2025-12-04
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$55,063
@ $550.63 · 2025-12-04
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$1.09M
@ $535.11 · 2025-12-03
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$39,720
@ $536.76 · 2025-12-03
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$968,992
@ $539.23 · 2025-12-02
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.52M
@ $610.00 · 2025-11-10
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.91M
@ $591.04 · 2025-11-07
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.14M
@ $713.74 · 2025-10-07
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$3.57M
@ $713.88 · 2025-09-29
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$58,520
@ $760.00 · 2025-09-15
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$672,725
@ $773.25 · 2025-09-15
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$75,254
@ $752.54 · 2025-09-11
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.44M
@ $743.64 · 2025-09-08
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$54,262
@ $723.49 · 2025-09-03
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$11.88M
@ $746.26 · 2025-08-15
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$5.92M
@ $750.10 · 2025-08-14
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.31M
@ $831.29 · 2025-08-11
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$2.18M
@ $870.86 · 2025-08-07
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$505,162
@ $870.97 · 2025-08-07
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$702,633
@ $776.39 · 2025-06-17
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$57,886
@ $771.81 · 2025-06-13
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$4.56M
@ $760.00 · 2025-06-04
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$2.22M
@ $740.76 · 2025-05-30
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$7.31M
@ $738.03 · 2025-05-21
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$960,487
@ $738.84 · 2025-05-19
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$287,362
@ $718.40 · 2025-05-14
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$572,785
@ $715.98 · 2025-05-14
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.38M
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-13
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$570,600
@ $713.25 · 2025-05-13
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.15M
@ $683.31 · 2025-05-12
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$459,900
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-12
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$459,900
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-12
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.41M
@ $540.99 · 2025-04-21
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$169,685
@ $552.72 · 2025-03-17
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$271,832
@ $604.07 · 2025-01-02
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$646,329
@ $624.47 · 2024-12-23
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$829,375
@ $642.43 · 2024-12-17
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$875,623
@ $639.14 · 2024-12-17
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$639,687
@ $639.69 · 2024-12-16
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$2.02M
@ $652.71 · 2024-12-04
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$860,077
@ $682.06 · 2024-12-04
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$1.73M
@ $656.34 · 2024-12-04
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.24M
@ $640.00 · 2024-11-22
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.10M
@ $635.06 · 2024-11-21
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$605,196
@ $605.20 · 2024-11-20
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$599,530
@ $599.53 · 2024-11-15
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$3.79M
@ $598.75 · 2024-11-15
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$26.27M
@ $601.58 · 2024-11-13
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$12.12M
@ $606.15 · 2024-11-12
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$437,980
@ $437.98 · 2024-10-15
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $404.14 · 2024-10-03
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$66.34M
@ $402.07 · 2024-10-02
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$44,000
@ $400.00 · 2024-09-30
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$380,990
@ $380.99 · 2024-09-16
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.64M
@ $378.95 · 2024-09-12
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$9.29M
@ $359.84 · 2024-09-10
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$2.99M
@ $364.86 · 2024-09-09
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$318,177
@ $353.53 · 2024-09-05
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$61.00M
@ $357.67 · 2024-09-04
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$62.45M
@ $366.72 · 2024-08-27
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$82,707
@ $375.94 · 2024-08-22
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$167,864
@ $373.03 · 2024-08-21
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$374,990
@ $374.99 · 2024-08-16
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$755,005
@ $374.32 · 2024-08-15
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$729,328
@ $364.66 · 2024-08-09
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$427,016
@ $297.78 · 2024-06-18
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LLY
2
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.86B
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$2.88M
@ $1150.77 · 2026-06-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$15.75M
@ $995.36 · 2026-05-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →AXON
😨Fear(31/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LLY
😏Greed(61/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →AXON
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (31)
LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
Frequently Asked Questions: AXON vs LLY
Is Axon Enterprise, Inc. or Eli Lilly and Company more undervalued in 2026?▼
Based on our discounted cash flow model, LLY trades at a 3.9% margin of safety (intrinsic value $1143 vs. price $1099), compared to AXON's -308.0% margin of safety (intrinsic $104 vs. $423).
Which stock has a wider economic moat, Axon Enterprise, Inc. or Eli Lilly and Company?▼
LLY scores 73/100 (Wide moat), while AXON scores 43/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.
Which company has better free cash flow, Axon Enterprise, Inc. or Eli Lilly and Company?▼
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) generates a 0.9% free cash flow yield, compared to Axon Enterprise, Inc.'s 0.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.
Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Axon Enterprise, Inc. or Eli Lilly and Company?▼
LLY earns 37.8% ROIC versus AXON's 1.6%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.