Compare StocksAXON vs JNJ

Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) vs Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
$402.31
VS
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
$227.19

Rewards

AXON
  • Altman Z-Score of 8.21 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
JNJ
  • Johnson & Johnson has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 68.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Johnson & Johnson scores 90/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

AXON
  • Share count has increased by 12% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Trailing P/E of 262.9x is 58% above the historical average of 166.1x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
JNJ
  • Trailing P/E of 26.3x is 32% above the historical average of 20.0x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • PEG ratio of 2.95 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $58.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AXON
JNJ
Valuation
$230.03M
Free Cash Flow
$19.31B
0.71%
FCF Yield
3.53%
262.95
Trailing P/E
26.33
38.46
Forward P/E
17.87
Quality & Moat
-1.30%
ROIC
15.32%
3.84%
ROE
33.02%
59.82%
Gross Margin
68.04%
1.64
PEG Ratio
2.95
Balance Sheet Safety
0.59
Debt / Equity
0.68
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.42
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.96
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.36%
AXON: 2Ties: 1JNJ: 8
AXONJNJ

Historical Fundamentals

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AXON

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

JNJ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AXON
$49.74
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$677.5M
Δ Market Cap
+$33.69B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JNJ
$0.91
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$40.05B
Δ Market Cap
+$36.63B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AXON
265.0% Overvalued
Price is 265.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $402.31
Fair Value: $110.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JNJ
11.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 11.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $227.19
Fair Value: $256.33
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AXON

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $402?

+44.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +34.9%

The market implies +44.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +34.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

JNJ

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $227?

+8.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.2%

The market implies +8.8% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +13.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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AXON
43/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
JNJ
90/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AXON
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JNJ
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AXON
Insiders 4.3%Institutions 85.5%Retail & Other 10.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,542
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JNJ
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 76.2%Retail & Other 23.7%
No. of Institutional Holders5,579
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AXON
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.00M
PARTOVI HADI
Director
$1.00M
@ $740.00 · 2025-08-13
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JNJ
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $257,688
MORIKIS JOHN G
Director
$257,688
@ $206.15 · 2025-11-26
WEINBERGER MARK A
Director
$147,220
@ $147.22 · 2024-12-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AXON
10
Sells (3M)
47
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $143.92M
NARDINI ERIKA
Director
$100,303
@ $506.58 · 2026-03-17
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$76,930
@ $490.00 · 2026-03-17
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$18.48M
@ $534.39 · 2026-03-10
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$690,488
@ $565.51 · 2026-03-09
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.60M
@ $560.24 · 2026-03-09
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$860,175
@ $573.45 · 2026-03-02
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.36M
@ $552.90 · 2026-03-02
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$497,879
@ $535.35 · 2026-02-27
FIELDS ISAIAH
Officer
$1.07M
@ $535.01 · 2026-02-27
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.00M
@ $500.24 · 2026-02-25
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$6.19M
@ $619.01 · 2026-01-07
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$680,400
@ $600.00 · 2025-12-19
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.16M
@ $580.00 · 2025-12-11
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$11.05M
@ $552.60 · 2025-12-08
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.52M
@ $551.92 · 2025-12-08
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$491,700
@ $550.00 · 2025-12-04
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$55,063
@ $550.63 · 2025-12-04
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$1.09M
@ $535.11 · 2025-12-03
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$39,720
@ $536.76 · 2025-12-03
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$968,992
@ $539.23 · 2025-12-02
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.52M
@ $610.00 · 2025-11-10
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.91M
@ $591.04 · 2025-11-07
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.14M
@ $713.74 · 2025-10-07
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$3.57M
@ $713.88 · 2025-09-29
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$58,520
@ $760.00 · 2025-09-15
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$672,725
@ $773.25 · 2025-09-15
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$75,254
@ $752.54 · 2025-09-11
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.44M
@ $743.64 · 2025-09-08
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$54,262
@ $723.49 · 2025-09-03
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$11.88M
@ $746.26 · 2025-08-15
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$5.92M
@ $750.10 · 2025-08-14
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.31M
@ $831.29 · 2025-08-11
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$2.18M
@ $870.86 · 2025-08-07
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$505,162
@ $870.97 · 2025-08-07
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$702,633
@ $776.39 · 2025-06-17
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
$57,886
@ $771.81 · 2025-06-13
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$4.56M
@ $760.00 · 2025-06-04
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
$2.22M
@ $740.76 · 2025-05-30
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$7.31M
@ $738.03 · 2025-05-21
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$960,487
@ $738.84 · 2025-05-19
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$287,362
@ $718.40 · 2025-05-14
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$572,785
@ $715.98 · 2025-05-14
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.38M
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-13
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$570,600
@ $713.25 · 2025-05-13
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.15M
@ $683.31 · 2025-05-12
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$459,900
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-12
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$459,900
@ $700.00 · 2025-05-12
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.41M
@ $540.99 · 2025-04-21
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$169,685
@ $552.72 · 2025-03-17
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$271,832
@ $604.07 · 2025-01-02
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$646,329
@ $624.47 · 2024-12-23
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$829,375
@ $642.43 · 2024-12-17
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$875,623
@ $639.14 · 2024-12-17
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$639,687
@ $639.69 · 2024-12-16
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$2.02M
@ $652.71 · 2024-12-04
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$860,077
@ $682.06 · 2024-12-04
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$1.73M
@ $656.34 · 2024-12-04
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$2.24M
@ $640.00 · 2024-11-22
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$6.10M
@ $635.06 · 2024-11-21
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$605,196
@ $605.20 · 2024-11-20
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$3.79M
@ $598.75 · 2024-11-15
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$599,530
@ $599.53 · 2024-11-15
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$26.27M
@ $601.58 · 2024-11-13
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$12.12M
@ $606.15 · 2024-11-12
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$437,980
@ $437.98 · 2024-10-15
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $404.14 · 2024-10-03
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$66.34M
@ $402.07 · 2024-10-02
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$44,000
@ $400.00 · 2024-09-30
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$380,990
@ $380.99 · 2024-09-16
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$1.64M
@ $378.95 · 2024-09-12
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$9.29M
@ $359.84 · 2024-09-10
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$2.99M
@ $364.86 · 2024-09-09
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$318,177
@ $353.53 · 2024-09-05
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$61.00M
@ $357.67 · 2024-09-04
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
$62.45M
@ $366.72 · 2024-08-27
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$82,707
@ $375.94 · 2024-08-22
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$167,864
@ $373.03 · 2024-08-21
GARNREITER MICHAEL
Director
$374,990
@ $374.99 · 2024-08-16
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
$755,005
@ $374.32 · 2024-08-15
MCBRADY MATTHEW R
Director
$729,328
@ $364.66 · 2024-08-09
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$427,016
@ $297.78 · 2024-06-18
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$279,748
@ $281.72 · 2024-05-31
CULLIVAN JULIE ANNE
Director
$136,727
@ $286.04 · 2024-05-28
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
$580,387
@ $290.19 · 2024-05-20
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
$13.64M
@ $309.96 · 2024-05-09
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
$13.53M
@ $309.94 · 2024-05-09
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
$95,501
@ $310.07 · 2024-05-09
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JNJ
7
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $101.23M
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.01M
@ $247.87 · 2026-02-27
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$324,763
@ $245.66 · 2026-02-20
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$5.53M
@ $244.33 · 2026-02-18
SWANSON JAMES D
Chief Technology Officer
$15.11M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
BROADHURST VANESSA
Officer
$1.51M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$13.11M
@ $243.00 · 2026-02-17
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$21.77M
@ $242.80 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$4.19M
@ $192.71 · 2025-10-17
TAUBERT JENNIFER L
Officer
$10.04M
@ $177.81 · 2025-09-04
DUATO JOAQUIN BOIX
Chief Executive Officer
$22.55M
@ $179.21 · 2025-08-22
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.98M
@ $176.91 · 2025-08-15
REED JOHN C
Officer
$3.13M
@ $163.55 · 2025-07-17
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.16M
@ $165.88 · 2025-02-25
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$62,928
@ $156.15 · 2025-02-18
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $153.89 · 2025-02-07
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$930,113
@ $165.06 · 2024-08-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AXON
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JNJ
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AXON
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
JNJ
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
View AXON Full AnalysisView JNJ Full Analysis
AXON vs JNJ: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io