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American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) vs Intel Corporation (INTC)

AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
$137.10
VS
INTC
Intel Corporation
$46.18

Rewards

AWK
  • ★Gross margin of 60.7% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Dividend yield of 2.41% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
INTC

    Risks

    AWK
    • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 5.7x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
    • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.96 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
    INTC
    • ⚠Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    AWK
    INTC
    Valuation
    $-2.34B
    Free Cash Flow
    $-4.50B
    -8.75%
    FCF Yield
    -1.95%
    24.09
    Trailing P/E
    N/A
    20.86
    Forward P/E
    46.59
    Quality & Moat
    4.88%
    ROIC
    1.24%
    10.25%
    ROE
    -0.21%
    60.72%
    Gross Margin
    36.56%
    N/A
    PEG Ratio
    N/A
    Balance Sheet Safety
    1.47
    Debt / Equity
    0.37
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    5.66
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.77
    2.41%
    Dividend Yield
    N/A
    AWK: 5Ties: 1INTC: 3
    AWKINTC

    Historical Fundamentals

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    AWK

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    INTC

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    AWK
    $-1.66
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Market Cap Declined
    Σ Retained
    $1.36B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-2.25B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    INTC
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-22.02B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$74.94B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    AWK
    226.4% Overvalued
    Price is 226.4% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $137.10
    Fair Value: $42.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    INTC
    Insufficient Data
    Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
    Current Price: $46.18
    Fair Value: $0.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    AWK

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    INTC

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    Economic Moat Score

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    AWK
    51/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
    INTC
    17/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    AWK
    -2.79
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    INTC
    -2.59
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    AWK
    Insiders 0.3%Institutions 99.5%Retail & Other 0.2%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,636
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    INTC
    Insiders 4.4%Institutions 62.0%Retail & Other 33.6%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,156
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    AWK
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    INTC
    1
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $249,985
    ZINSNER DAVID A
    Chief Financial Officer
    $249,985
    @ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,198
    @ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,946
    @ $20.16 · 2024-08-05
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $124,173
    @ $30.29 · 2024-05-01
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $125,674
    @ $31.42 · 2024-04-29
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    AWK
    0
    Sells (3M)
    1
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $404,766
    WIKLE MELISSA K.
    Officer
    $404,766
    @ $143.28 · 2025-05-30
    NORTON CHERYL D.
    Chief Operating Officer
    $642,018
    @ $138.16 · 2024-11-22
    GOSS MARTHA CLARK
    Director
    $101,424
    @ $142.85 · 2024-09-03
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    INTC
    1
    Sells (3M)
    1
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $981,000
    MILLER BOISE APRIL
    Officer
    $981,000
    @ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
    HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
    General Counsel
    $650,000
    @ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    AWK
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(51/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    INTC
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(53/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    AWK
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
    INTC
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (53)
    View AWK Full AnalysisView INTC Full Analysis
    American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) vs Intel Corporation (INTC) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io