Compare StocksAVGO vs MRNA

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) vs Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
$319.84
VS
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.
$52.37

Rewards

AVGO
  • Gross margin of 76.7% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 18.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $97.03 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
MRNA

    Risks

    AVGO
    • Share count has increased by 13% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
    • FCF yield of 1.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
    • 6 insider sales totaling $102.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
    MRNA
    • ROIC has declined by 61.0 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
    • Gross margin of -105.8% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
    • Moderna, Inc. scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    AVGO
    MRNA
    Valuation
    $25.50B
    Free Cash Flow
    $-1.33B
    1.68%
    FCF Yield
    -6.41%
    62.47
    Trailing P/E
    N/A
    18.10
    Forward P/E
    -11.51
    Quality & Moat
    26.43%
    ROIC
    -19.50%
    94.91%
    ROE
    -32.62%
    76.73%
    Gross Margin
    -105.76%
    0.33
    PEG Ratio
    N/A
    Balance Sheet Safety
    1.66
    Debt / Equity
    0.15
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    0.79
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    N/A
    0.81%
    Dividend Yield
    N/A
    AVGO: 5Ties: 1MRNA: 2
    AVGOMRNA

    Historical Fundamentals

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    AVGO

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    MRNA

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    AVGO
    $97.03
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $14.50B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$1.41T
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    MRNA
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-11.10B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-57.53B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    AVGO
    8.2% Margin of Safety
    Price is 8.2% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $319.84
    Fair Value: $348.43
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    MRNA
    Insufficient Data
    Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
    Current Price: $52.37
    Fair Value: $0.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    AVGO

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $320?

    +24.2%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +22.9%

    The market implies +24.2% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

    Standard FCF implies +22.9%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

    MRNA

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    Economic Moat Score

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    AVGO
    61/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    MRNA
    17/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable competitive advantage detected. The business shows limited evidence of pricing power, consistent returns, or capital efficiency.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    AVGO
    -2.09
    Possible Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    MRNA
    -3.72
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    AVGO
    Insiders 2.0%Institutions 79.5%Retail & Other 18.5%
    No. of Institutional Holders5,996
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    MRNA
    Insiders 7.3%Institutions 77.1%Retail & Other 15.5%
    No. of Institutional Holders978
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    AVGO
    0
    Buys (3M)
    2
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $1.55M
    YOU HARRY L
    Director
    $325,129
    @ $325.13 · 2025-12-18
    YOU HARRY L
    Director
    $1.23M
    @ $345.88 · 2025-09-10
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    MRNA
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    SAGAN PAUL L
    Director
    $1.00M
    @ $31.76 · 2025-03-03
    BANCEL STEPHANE J
    Chief Executive Officer
    $5.00M
    @ $31.22 · 2025-03-03
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    AVGO
    6
    Sells (3M)
    28
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $206.93M
    VELAGA S. RAM
    Officer
    $20.82M
    @ $323.38 · 2026-03-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $27.06M
    @ $323.39 · 2026-03-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $10.41M
    @ $347.12 · 2026-01-06
    TAN HOCK E
    Chief Executive Officer
    $24.31M
    @ $347.30 · 2026-01-06
    SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $10.43M
    @ $347.82 · 2025-12-31
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $9.13M
    @ $352.07 · 2025-12-26
    KAWWAS CHARLIE B
    Officer
    $1.05M
    @ $332.95 · 2025-12-17
    SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.03M
    @ $332.91 · 2025-12-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $12.54M
    @ $327.65 · 2025-12-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $8.36M
    @ $340.91 · 2025-12-16
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $289,512
    @ $361.89 · 2025-12-15
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $264,912
    @ $331.14 · 2025-11-14
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $280,120
    @ $350.15 · 2025-10-14
    KAWWAS CHARLIE B
    Officer
    $2.26M
    @ $352.74 · 2025-09-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $9.59M
    @ $352.61 · 2025-09-17
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $288,000
    @ $360.00 · 2025-09-15
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $245,968
    @ $307.46 · 2025-08-14
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $219,440
    @ $274.30 · 2025-07-14
    DELLY GAYLA J
    Director
    $795,390
    @ $265.13 · 2025-06-26
    TAN HOCK E
    Chief Executive Officer
    $10.73M
    @ $268.29 · 2025-06-26
    SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $9.50M
    @ $261.27 · 2025-06-24
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $13.11M
    @ $262.10 · 2025-06-24
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $12.66M
    @ $253.28 · 2025-06-23
    SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $14.18M
    @ $251.75 · 2025-06-18
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $200,280
    @ $250.35 · 2025-06-16
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $184,152
    @ $230.19 · 2025-05-14
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $148,000
    @ $185.00 · 2025-04-14
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $5.84M
    @ $194.65 · 2025-03-24
    LOW CHECK KIAN
    Director
    $11.30M
    @ $235.35 · 2025-01-06
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $4.82M
    @ $238.79 · 2024-12-24
    TAN HOCK E
    Chief Executive Officer
    $10.80M
    @ $239.96 · 2024-12-24
    BRYANT DIANE M
    Director
    $3.40M
    @ $226.68 · 2024-12-23
    SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.89M
    @ $229.62 · 2024-12-20
    YOU HARRY L
    Director
    $1.57M
    @ $240.00 · 2024-12-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.43M
    @ $181.45 · 2024-10-11
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.46M
    @ $182.88 · 2024-10-09
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.59M
    @ $177.10 · 2024-10-07
    DELLY GAYLA J
    Director
    $130,898
    @ $174.53 · 2024-09-25
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $444,566
    @ $1750.26 · 2024-06-20
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $561,600
    @ $1800.00 · 2024-06-17
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.29M
    @ $1316.46 · 2024-04-10
    PAGE JUSTINE F.
    Director
    $145,530
    @ $1323.00 · 2024-04-10
    SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $4.03M
    @ $1343.14 · 2024-04-05
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.42M
    @ $1367.52 · 2024-04-03
    TAN HOCK E
    Chief Executive Officer
    $2.62M
    @ $1312.25 · 2024-04-02
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.30M
    @ $1318.98 · 2024-03-28
    KAWWAS CHARLIE B
    Officer
    $6.72M
    @ $1344.00 · 2024-03-25
    BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
    Officer
    $3.38M
    @ $1352.35 · 2024-03-25
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    MRNA
    2
    Sells (3M)
    4
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $8.56M
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $726,047
    @ $52.29 · 2026-03-02
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $7.81M
    @ $48.84 · 2026-02-23
    HUSSAIN SHAH ABBAS
    Director
    $13,910
    @ $27.60 · 2025-12-09
    HUSSAIN SHAH ABBAS
    Director
    $8,736
    @ $28.00 · 2025-06-11
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $23,637
    @ $44.68 · 2024-12-09
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $13,595
    @ $43.30 · 2024-12-03
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $4,849
    @ $43.29 · 2024-12-03
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $12,452
    @ $42.79 · 2024-11-29
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $60,761
    @ $42.79 · 2024-11-29
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $60,675
    @ $42.79 · 2024-11-29
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $12,771
    @ $46.10 · 2024-11-11
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $42,986
    @ $60.12 · 2024-10-07
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $40,539
    @ $73.57 · 2024-09-09
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $24,483
    @ $76.99 · 2024-09-03
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $8,777
    @ $76.99 · 2024-09-03
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $23,408
    @ $78.03 · 2024-08-29
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $12,640
    @ $78.02 · 2024-08-29
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $12,640
    @ $78.02 · 2024-08-29
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $104,881
    @ $79.40 · 2024-08-28
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $104,722
    @ $79.39 · 2024-08-28
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $21,363
    @ $84.11 · 2024-08-12
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.80M
    @ $119.96 · 2024-07-31
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.77M
    @ $117.80 · 2024-07-24
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.84M
    @ $122.84 · 2024-07-17
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $1.82M
    @ $121.12 · 2024-07-15
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.76M
    @ $117.08 · 2024-07-10
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $81,465
    @ $118.24 · 2024-07-08
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.91M
    @ $127.22 · 2024-06-26
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $2.00M
    @ $133.57 · 2024-06-18
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $2.07M
    @ $138.16 · 2024-06-17
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $2.21M
    @ $147.20 · 2024-06-12
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $766,785
    @ $148.09 · 2024-06-10
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $2.27M
    @ $151.25 · 2024-06-05
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $47,704
    @ $140.72 · 2024-06-03
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $97,237
    @ $140.72 · 2024-06-03
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $17,168
    @ $140.72 · 2024-06-03
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $2.90M
    @ $145.08 · 2024-05-29
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $49,276
    @ $144.50 · 2024-05-29
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $26,444
    @ $144.50 · 2024-05-29
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $26,444
    @ $144.50 · 2024-05-29
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $105,283
    @ $162.47 · 2024-05-28
    KLINGER SHANNON THYME
    Officer
    $210,566
    @ $162.47 · 2024-05-28
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $2.36M
    @ $157.57 · 2024-05-22
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.91M
    @ $127.32 · 2024-05-15
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $1.91M
    @ $127.49 · 2024-05-15
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $30,844
    @ $120.96 · 2024-05-10
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.83M
    @ $121.68 · 2024-05-08
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.66M
    @ $110.92 · 2024-05-01
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.62M
    @ $108.32 · 2024-04-24
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.55M
    @ $103.38 · 2024-04-17
    HOGE STEPHEN
    President
    $1.58M
    @ $105.02 · 2024-04-15
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.61M
    @ $107.12 · 2024-04-10
    MOCK JAMES M
    Chief Financial Officer
    $71,859
    @ $101.93 · 2024-04-08
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.53M
    @ $101.68 · 2024-04-03
    AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
    Director
    $1.64M
    @ $109.06 · 2024-03-27
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

    Learn more →
    AVGO
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(51/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    MRNA
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(47/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

    Learn more →
    AVGO
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
    MRNA
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (47)
    View AVGO Full AnalysisView MRNA Full Analysis