Ares Management Corporation (ARES) vs Broadcom Inc. (AVGO): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
As of 2026-08-03, ARES is overvalued at $128, with a DCF intrinsic value of $72 and a margin of safety of -77%. AVGO is overvalued at $389, with an intrinsic value of $258 and a margin of safety of -51%. Of the two, AVGO has the wider margin of safety.
Rewards
- ★Trailing P/E of 59.3x is 23% below the historical average of 77.2x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
- ★Gross margin of 76.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 18.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $11.66 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
Risks
- ⚠Share count has increased by 25% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
- ⚠High leverage (1.52x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 9.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
- ⚠ROIC has declined by 6.5 percentage points over the past 4 years, which may signal competitive erosion.
- ⚠Share count has increased by 13% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
- ⚠FCF yield of 1.5% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $389?
The market implies +22.9% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.
Standard FCF implies +24.8%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →M-Score Trend
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
Frequently Asked Questions: ARES vs AVGO
Is Ares Management Corporation or Broadcom Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼
Based on our discounted cash flow model, AVGO trades at a -50.9% margin of safety (intrinsic value $258 vs. price $389), compared to ARES's -77.4% margin of safety (intrinsic $72 vs. $128).
Which stock has a wider economic moat, Ares Management Corporation or Broadcom Inc.?▼
AVGO scores 61/100 (Narrow moat), while ARES scores 47/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.
Is Ares Management Corporation in financial distress?▼
ARES's Altman Z-Score of 1.4 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. AVGO scores 12.0 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.
Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Ares Management Corporation or Broadcom Inc.?▼
AVGO earns 19.1% ROIC versus ARES's 4.5%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.
Which dividend is safer, Ares Management Corporation's or Broadcom Inc.'s?▼
AVGO's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to ARES's 54/100 (Borderline). AVGO has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.