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Compare Stocks › APO vs ORCL

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, APO is undervalued at $138, with a DCF intrinsic value of $260 and a margin of safety of 47%. ORCL is undervalued at $184, with an intrinsic value of $285 and a margin of safety of 35%. Of the two, APO has the wider margin of safety.

APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$137.50
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$184.29

Rewards

APO
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 24.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.94 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • ★PEG ratio of 0.73 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
ORCL
  • ★Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • ★Gross margin of 65.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 3 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

APO
  • ⚠Trailing P/E of 86.5x is 338% above the historical average of 19.7x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.09 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $7.3M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
ORCL
  • ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • ⚠High leverage (2.89x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $2.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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APO
ORCL
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$-20.34B
N/A
FCF Yield
-3.84%
86.48
Trailing P/E
31.56
12.96
Forward P/E
16.89
Quality & Moat
4.19%
ROIC
9.68%
8.49%
ROE
53.38%
35.22%
Gross Margin
65.82%
0.73
PEG Ratio
1.06
Balance Sheet Safety
Net cash
Net Debt / Equity
2.89
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.92
1.62%
Dividend Yield
1.09%
APO: 4Ties: 1ORCL: 4
APOORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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APO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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APO
$4.94
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$9.60B
Δ Market Cap
+$47.44B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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APO
47.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 47.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $137.50
Fair Value: $259.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
35.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 35.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $184.29
Fair Value: $285.39
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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APO

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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APO
34/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though roic consistency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
68/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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APO
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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APO
Insiders 27.1%Institutions 71.8%Retail & Other 1.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,548
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.0%Retail & Other 15.5%
No. of Institutional Holders4,512
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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APO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
RICHARDS PAULINE D E
Director
$78,071
@ $141.95 · 2025-05-12
LB 2018 GST TRUST
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$67.70M
@ $111.39 · 2025-04-04
BELARDI JAMES RICHARD
Officer and Director
$281.00
@ $281.00 · 2025-02-28
O'NEILL MITRA
Director
$100,053
@ $108.40 · 2024-09-06
RICHARDS PAULINE D E
Director
$246,657
@ $104.92 · 2024-08-06
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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APO
2
Sells (3M)
6
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $12.23M
ZITO JOHN P.
Officer
$6.36M
@ $130.66 · 2026-05-27
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$942,514
@ $134.64 · 2026-05-14
CHATTERJEE WHITNEY A
Officer
$1.24M
@ $146.03 · 2025-12-10
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$788,434
@ $131.41 · 2025-12-01
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$2.25M
@ $145.11 · 2025-08-12
CHATTERJEE WHITNEY A
Officer
$657,149
@ $146.03 · 2025-08-06
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$530,272
@ $132.57 · 2025-05-06
BLACK LEON D
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$67.70M
@ $111.39 · 2025-04-04
BLACK LEON D
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$71.00M
@ $142.00 · 2025-03-19
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$791,378
@ $158.28 · 2025-02-13
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$1.74M
@ $173.66 · 2024-12-10
TANGUY LOUIS-JACQUES
Officer
$441,250
@ $176.50 · 2024-12-10
KELLY MARTIN B
Chief Financial Officer
$863,050
@ $172.61 · 2024-12-03
CHATTERJEE WHITNEY A
Officer
$1.07M
@ $173.36 · 2024-12-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
1
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.89B
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$2.64M
@ $176.19 · 2026-04-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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APO
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(32/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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APO
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
ORCL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (32)
View APO Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: APO vs ORCL

Is Apollo Global Management, Inc. or Oracle Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, APO trades at a 47.1% margin of safety (intrinsic value $260 vs. price $138), compared to ORCL's 35.4% margin of safety (intrinsic $285 vs. $184).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Apollo Global Management, Inc. or Oracle Corporation?▼

ORCL scores 68/100 (Narrow moat), while APO scores 34/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Apollo Global Management, Inc. in financial distress?▼

APO's Altman Z-Score of 0.1 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. ORCL scores 2.7 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Apollo Global Management, Inc. or Oracle Corporation?▼

ORCL earns 9.7% ROIC versus APO's 4.2%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s or Oracle Corporation's?▼

APO's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to ORCL's 79/100 (Safe). APO has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

APO vs ORCL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io