Compare StocksAMZN vs ICE

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) vs Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)

AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
$208.76
VS
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$158.50

Rewards

AMZN
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $9.66 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 29.2x is 28% below the historical average of 40.6x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • Altman Z-Score of 5.30 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
ICE
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.46 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

AMZN
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • PEG ratio of 5.83 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 9 insider sales totaling $14.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
ICE
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.95 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 10 insider sales totaling $11.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AMZN
ICE
Valuation
$23.79B
Free Cash Flow
$3.49B
1.06%
FCF Yield
3.86%
29.16
Trailing P/E
27.47
22.35
Forward P/E
18.48
Quality & Moat
10.12%
ROIC
7.89%
18.89%
ROE
11.43%
50.29%
Gross Margin
100.00%
5.83
PEG Ratio
1.17
Balance Sheet Safety
0.43
Debt / Equity
0.70
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.38
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.15
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.31%
AMZN: 5Ties: 1ICE: 5
AMZNICE

Historical Fundamentals

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AMZN

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ICE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AMZN
$9.66
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$167.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.62T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ICE
$6.46
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$5.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$34.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AMZN
36.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 36.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $208.76
Fair Value: $328.47
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ICE
33.5% Overvalued
Price is 33.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.50
Fair Value: $118.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AMZN

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $209?

+13.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.4%

The market implies +13.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

ICE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $159?

+14.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.9%

The market implies +14.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +13.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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AMZN
51/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
ICE
61/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AMZN
-2.58
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ICE
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AMZN
Insiders 9.1%Institutions 67.3%Retail & Other 23.6%
No. of Institutional Holders7,690
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ICE
Insiders 0.9%Institutions 94.7%Retail & Other 4.3%
No. of Institutional Holders2,326
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AMZN
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ICE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AMZN
9
Sells (3M)
49
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $5.74B
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$204,250
@ $204.25 · 2026-03-02
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$3.65M
@ $205.40 · 2026-02-24
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$554,892
@ $205.90 · 2026-02-23
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.08M
@ $205.18 · 2026-02-23
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.41M
@ $205.82 · 2026-02-23
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.64M
@ $205.22 · 2026-02-23
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$948,990
@ $198.37 · 2026-02-17
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$183,492
@ $203.88 · 2026-02-12
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$208,000
@ $208.00 · 2026-02-11
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$583,050
@ $233.22 · 2025-12-01
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$4.56M
@ $220.58 · 2025-11-24
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$583,222
@ $216.41 · 2025-11-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.31M
@ $216.94 · 2025-11-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.85M
@ $216.90 · 2025-11-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.48M
@ $216.40 · 2025-11-21
HUTTENLOCHER DANIEL P
Director
$280,317
@ $226.61 · 2025-11-20
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.11M
@ $232.71 · 2025-11-17
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$209,700
@ $233.00 · 2025-11-17
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$6.14M
@ $250.58 · 2025-11-03
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$2.04M
@ $250.03 · 2025-10-31
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$542,750
@ $217.10 · 2025-10-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$558,725
@ $223.49 · 2025-09-02
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$4.60M
@ $222.34 · 2025-08-22
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$601,755
@ $221.64 · 2025-08-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.40M
@ $221.58 · 2025-08-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.94M
@ $221.57 · 2025-08-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.51M
@ $221.62 · 2025-08-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.95M
@ $222.74 · 2025-08-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.11M
@ $232.32 · 2025-08-15
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$542,500
@ $217.00 · 2025-08-01
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$954.28M
@ $229.72 · 2025-07-24
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$1.51B
@ $228.34 · 2025-07-22
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$166.45M
@ $227.02 · 2025-07-15
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$1.51B
@ $225.21 · 2025-07-14
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$108.68M
@ $223.99 · 2025-07-09
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$665.86M
@ $223.86 · 2025-07-07
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$550,144
@ $220.06 · 2025-07-01
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$736.68M
@ $221.56 · 2025-06-30
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$512,450
@ $204.98 · 2025-06-02
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$4.18M
@ $202.00 · 2025-05-22
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$541,129
@ $200.79 · 2025-05-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.00M
@ $201.30 · 2025-05-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Chief Executive Officer
$4.21M
@ $201.30 · 2025-05-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$1.37M
@ $200.77 · 2025-05-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.58M
@ $201.57 · 2025-05-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$980,971
@ $205.05 · 2025-05-15
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$210,680
@ $210.68 · 2025-05-12
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$476,675
@ $190.67 · 2025-05-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$469,975
@ $187.99 · 2025-04-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$532,925
@ $213.17 · 2025-03-03
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$5.47M
@ $218.25 · 2025-02-24
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$1.97M
@ $222.47 · 2025-02-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.59M
@ $220.65 · 2025-02-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.36M
@ $220.69 · 2025-02-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.36M
@ $222.47 · 2025-02-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.26M
@ $223.14 · 2025-02-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.26M
@ $228.44 · 2025-02-18
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$6.33M
@ $230.27 · 2025-02-12
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $229.85 · 2024-12-09
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $219.85 · 2024-12-04
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$735,000
@ $210.00 · 2024-12-02
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$759,090
@ $200.23 · 2024-11-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.16M
@ $200.17 · 2024-11-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Chief Executive Officer
$3.05M
@ $200.19 · 2024-11-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.22M
@ $200.19 · 2024-11-21
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$2.34M
@ $200.23 · 2024-11-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$2.96M
@ $202.88 · 2024-11-21
HUTTENLOCHER DANIEL P
Director
$246,237
@ $199.06 · 2024-11-19
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.13M
@ $205.81 · 2024-11-15
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$686.52M
@ $207.99 · 2024-11-13
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$1.25B
@ $207.80 · 2024-11-11
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $209.85 · 2024-11-07
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$1.23B
@ $205.48 · 2024-11-07
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$176,733
@ $196.37 · 2024-11-04
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$696,360
@ $198.96 · 2024-11-01
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $199.85 · 2024-11-01
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$213.76M
@ $200.07 · 2024-11-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$646,800
@ $184.80 · 2024-10-01
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$427,050
@ $195.00 · 2024-09-24
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ICE
10
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $29.27M
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$263,936
@ $164.96 · 2026-03-09
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$637,725
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$740,524
@ $162.00 · 2026-02-26
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$2.07M
@ $153.86 · 2026-02-20
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$383,460
@ $154.00 · 2026-02-19
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$594,155
@ $153.73 · 2026-02-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.74M
@ $153.82 · 2026-02-19
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$2.36M
@ $155.02 · 2026-02-18
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$2.12M
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-10
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$798,899
@ $169.19 · 2026-02-05
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$261,120
@ $163.20 · 2025-12-12
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$837,382
@ $156.67 · 2025-12-08
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$584,440
@ $157.96 · 2025-12-05
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$241,538
@ $153.65 · 2025-11-20
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$269,960
@ $152.52 · 2025-11-19
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$314,231
@ $151.00 · 2025-11-11
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.60M
@ $158.88 · 2025-10-08
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$161,542
@ $172.04 · 2025-09-17
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$280,992
@ $175.62 · 2025-09-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$506,086
@ $174.51 · 2025-09-04
FAROOQUI DURIYA M
Director
$363,100
@ $178.34 · 2025-08-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$686,570
@ $178.33 · 2025-08-26
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$109,654
@ $179.76 · 2025-08-22
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$280,166
@ $178.45 · 2025-08-20
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$146,890
@ $185.00 · 2025-07-25
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$145,724
@ $183.30 · 2025-07-01
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.78M
@ $178.65 · 2025-06-13
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$283,968
@ $177.48 · 2025-06-12
HAGUE WILLIAM JEFFERSON
Director
$94,137
@ $177.62 · 2025-06-10
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$689,247
@ $179.12 · 2025-06-05
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$110,160
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$900,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.48M
@ $179.75 · 2025-05-30
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$140,828
@ $177.37 · 2025-05-28
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$96,335
@ $174.52 · 2025-05-22
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$311,079
@ $175.85 · 2025-05-21
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$275,811
@ $175.90 · 2025-05-20
KING ELIZABETH KATHRYN
Officer
$2.94M
@ $175.47 · 2025-05-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.25M
@ $178.38 · 2025-05-09
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$418,175
@ $159.00 · 2025-04-16
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$211,050
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-20
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.70M
@ $170.52 · 2025-03-14
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$270,624
@ $169.14 · 2025-03-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$381,884
@ $169.35 · 2025-03-07
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$747,718
@ $169.86 · 2025-03-06
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$378,760
@ $170.00 · 2025-03-05
MARTIN LYNN C
President
$727,125
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-03
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$268,139
@ $171.01 · 2025-02-28
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$659,452
@ $171.42 · 2025-02-26
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$1.35M
@ $171.43 · 2025-02-26
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$204,680
@ $170.00 · 2025-02-25
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$1.75M
@ $166.63 · 2025-02-20
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$4.16M
@ $166.54 · 2025-02-20
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.14M
@ $166.99 · 2025-02-19
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.76M
@ $166.47 · 2025-02-07
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$688,086
@ $165.60 · 2025-02-06
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$965,774
@ $165.71 · 2025-02-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
AMZN
FearGreed
😐Neutral(50/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ICE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AMZN
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (50)
ICE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
View AMZN Full AnalysisView ICE Full Analysis