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Compare Stocks › AMCR vs PFE

Amcor plc (AMCR) vs Pfizer Inc. (PFE)

AMCR
Amcor plc
$38.69
VS
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
$27.41

Rewards

AMCR
    PFE
    • ★Gross margin of 75.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
    • ★Dividend yield of 6.28% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
    • ★FCF yield of 8.6% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.

    Risks

    AMCR
    • ⚠ROIC has declined by 6.6 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
    • ⚠Gross margin of 18.9% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
    • ⚠Share count has increased by 55% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
    PFE
    • ⚠ROIC has declined by 13.9 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
    • ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 29.6% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    AMCR
    PFE
    Valuation
    $810.00M
    Free Cash Flow
    $13.43B
    4.53%
    FCF Yield
    8.61%
    29.09
    Trailing P/E
    20.15
    8.76
    Forward P/E
    9.69
    Quality & Moat
    4.62%
    ROIC
    7.67%
    4.39%
    ROE
    8.96%
    18.93%
    Gross Margin
    75.81%
    N/A
    PEG Ratio
    N/A
    Balance Sheet Safety
    1.39
    Debt / Equity
    0.78
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    5.31
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.10
    6.72%
    Dividend Yield
    6.28%
    AMCR: 2Ties: 1PFE: 8
    AMCRPFE

    Historical Fundamentals

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    AMCR

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    PFE

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    AMCR
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-1.0M
    Δ Market Cap
    +$1.51B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    PFE
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-10.61B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-146.18B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    AMCR
    Insufficient Data
    Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
    Current Price: $38.69
    Fair Value: $0.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    PFE
    140.2% Overvalued
    Price is 140.2% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $27.41
    Fair Value: $11.41
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    AMCR

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $39?

    +23.7%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +17.4%

    The market implies +23.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

    Standard FCF implies a demanding +17.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

    PFE

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $27?

    +11.8%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +4.3%

    The market implies +11.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

    Standard FCF implies a demanding +4.3%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

    Economic Moat Score

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    AMCR
    66/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    PFE
    35/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    AMCR
    -1.66
    Likely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    PFE
    -2.53
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    AMCR
    Insiders 0.3%Institutions 70.1%Retail & Other 29.6%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,004
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    PFE
    Insiders 0.1%Institutions 67.7%Retail & Other 32.2%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,692
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    AMCR
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    PFE
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    BLAYLOCK RONALD E
    Director
    $499,072
    @ $25.65 · 2025-02-13
    GOTTLIEB SCOTT
    Director
    $28,240
    @ $28.24 · 2024-10-30
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    AMCR
    0
    Sells (3M)
    0
    Sells (12M)
    No open market insider sales found.
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    PFE
    0
    Sells (3M)
    0
    Sells (12M)
    DAMICO JENNIFER B.
    Officer
    $64,825
    @ $25.93 · 2025-03-04
    DAMICO JENNIFER B.
    Officer
    $147,714
    @ $28.66 · 2024-08-13
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    AMCR
    FearGreed
    😨Fear(30/100)

    "Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    PFE
    FearGreed
    😏Greed(64/100)

    "Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    AMCR
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (30)
    PFE
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (64)
    View AMCR Full AnalysisView PFE Full Analysis