Compare StocksALL vs MA

The Allstate Corporation (ALL) vs Mastercard Incorporated (MA)

ALL
The Allstate Corporation
$204.07
VS
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
$491.14

Rewards

ALL
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 28.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $1.61 of market value — management is creating shareholder value.
  • FCF yield of 16.9% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.
MA
  • Mastercard Incorporated has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Mastercard Incorporated scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

ALL
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.65 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 8 insider sales totaling $32.1M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
MA
  • High leverage (2.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Insiders have sold $4.5M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ALL
MA
Valuation
$8.92B
Free Cash Flow
$16.27B
16.85%
FCF Yield
3.71%
5.36
Trailing P/E
29.77
8.11
Forward P/E
21.70
Quality & Moat
40.55%
ROIC
54.23%
33.23%
ROE
193.24%
31.30%
Gross Margin
100.00%
0.05
PEG Ratio
1.23
Balance Sheet Safety
0.25
Debt / Equity
2.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.17
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.43
2.12%
Dividend Yield
0.71%
ALL: 7Ties: 1MA: 4
ALLMA

Historical Fundamentals

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ALL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ALL
$1.61
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$11.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$18.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MA
$5.62
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$31.68B
Δ Market Cap
+$177.96B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ALL
65.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 65.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $204.07
Fair Value: $598.37
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MA
12.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $491.14
Fair Value: $558.06
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ALL

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $204?

-11.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -8.9%

The market implies -11.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -8.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

MA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $491?

+13.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +12.0%

The market implies +13.2% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +12.0%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ALL
39/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MA
99/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ALL
-2.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MA
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ALL
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 82.7%Retail & Other 16.7%
No. of Institutional Holders2,125
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MA
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 91.1%Retail & Other 8.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,863
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ALL
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
DEBIASE CHRISTINE MARIE
General Counsel
$1,339
@ $191.29 · 2024-04-01
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ALL
8
Sells (3M)
21
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $60.79M
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.51M
@ $208.90 · 2026-03-16
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $212.27 · 2026-03-02
MERTEN JESSE E
Divisional Officer
$7.09M
@ $208.57 · 2026-02-25
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.54M
@ $210.48 · 2026-02-17
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.37M
@ $200.71 · 2026-02-02
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.49M
@ $207.83 · 2026-01-12
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$4.11M
@ $210.00 · 2026-01-07
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.44M
@ $204.77 · 2026-01-02
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.53M
@ $210.04 · 2025-12-15
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $212.68 · 2025-12-01
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$975,751
@ $215.11 · 2025-11-28
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$129,010
@ $215.02 · 2025-11-24
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$4.71M
@ $215.21 · 2025-11-21
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$86,086
@ $215.22 · 2025-11-17
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.58M
@ $213.20 · 2025-11-17
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$301,031
@ $215.02 · 2025-11-14
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.18M
@ $189.40 · 2025-11-03
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.26M
@ $194.02 · 2025-10-20
WILSON THOMAS JOSEPH II
Chief Executive Officer
$3.53M
@ $210.19 · 2025-10-06
PRINDIVILLE MARK Q
Officer of Subsidiary Company
$1.52M
@ $206.43 · 2025-08-22
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$272,146
@ $209.34 · 2025-06-02
MERTEN JESSE E
Chief Financial Officer
$7.48M
@ $186.53 · 2025-02-10
DUGENSKE JOHN E
Divisional Officer
$6.96M
@ $191.38 · 2024-09-20
TOOHEY ROBERT
Officer
$3.01M
@ $180.17 · 2024-08-19
BRADY ELIZABETH
Officer of Subsidiary Company
$8.86M
@ $179.09 · 2024-08-16
GUPTA SUREN K
Divisional Officer
$8.11M
@ $177.28 · 2024-07-18
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$187,573
@ $166.88 · 2024-06-03
DUGENSKE JOHN E
Divisional Officer
$5.28M
@ $170.20 · 2024-03-26
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MA
1
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $64.44M
LING HAI
Officer
$4.48M
@ $499.20 · 2026-02-24
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$10.20M
@ $591.00 · 2025-09-02
LING HAI
Officer
$2.69M
@ $600.00 · 2025-08-22
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$10.46M
@ $586.89 · 2025-08-19
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$3.83M
@ $566.46 · 2025-08-05
GENACHOWSKI JULIUS
Director
$178,049
@ $570.67 · 2025-07-07
KIRKPATRICK LINDA PISTECCHIA
Officer
$536,480
@ $560.00 · 2025-06-30
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$601,447
@ $546.77 · 2025-06-27
GENACHOWSKI JULIUS
Director
$173,910
@ $561.00 · 2025-06-24
KIRKPATRICK LINDA PISTECCHIA
Officer
$536,480
@ $560.00 · 2025-06-24
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$508,474
@ $535.80 · 2025-06-20
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$5.02M
@ $532.97 · 2025-06-20
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$1.76M
@ $561.78 · 2025-06-16
KIRKPATRICK LINDA PISTECCHIA
Officer
$549,373
@ $572.86 · 2025-06-13
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$5.55M
@ $588.18 · 2025-06-12
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$8.22M
@ $585.05 · 2025-06-05
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$218,223
@ $577.31 · 2025-05-15
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$257,535
@ $572.30 · 2025-05-12
MIEBACH MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$8.68M
@ $550.16 · 2025-03-26
MCLAUGHLIN EDWARD GRUNDE
Officer
$3.81M
@ $534.68 · 2025-03-19
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$6.12M
@ $556.14 · 2025-03-05
MIEBACH MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$9.78M
@ $553.76 · 2025-03-05
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$6.19M
@ $562.72 · 2025-02-26
MCLAUGHLIN EDWARD GRUNDE
Officer
$6.18M
@ $564.99 · 2025-02-18
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$7.97M
@ $565.00 · 2025-02-18
MIEBACH MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$10.17M
@ $564.95 · 2025-02-18
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.36M
@ $500.44 · 2024-11-01
MADABHUSHI VENKATA RAJAMANNAR
Officer
$2.30M
@ $491.03 · 2024-09-27
MADABHUSHI VENKATA RAJAMANNAR
Officer
$2.29M
@ $489.86 · 2024-09-20
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$550,000
@ $500.00 · 2024-09-17
MADABHUSHI VENKATA RAJAMANNAR
Officer
$2.31M
@ $493.10 · 2024-09-13
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$528,000
@ $480.00 · 2024-08-29
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$42.19M
@ $468.80 · 2024-08-22
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$42.03M
@ $467.02 · 2024-08-21
LING HAI
Officer
$1.36M
@ $470.00 · 2024-08-16
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$3.16M
@ $470.00 · 2024-08-16
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$6.11M
@ $455.00 · 2024-08-05
LING HAI
Officer
$1.35M
@ $465.46 · 2024-08-01
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$512,006
@ $465.46 · 2024-08-01
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$4.07M
@ $451.06 · 2024-06-20
MURPHY TIMOTHY H
Officer
$2.34M
@ $446.24 · 2024-06-17
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$47.72M
@ $445.98 · 2024-06-17
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$49.51M
@ $442.03 · 2024-06-13
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$3.11M
@ $449.66 · 2024-06-12
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$50.61M
@ $447.85 · 2024-06-10
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$3.71M
@ $443.93 · 2024-06-05
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$4.04M
@ $447.28 · 2024-06-05
MURPHY TIMOTHY H
Officer
$2.31M
@ $441.57 · 2024-06-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ALL
FearGreed
😐Neutral(53/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ALL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (53)
MA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
View ALL Full AnalysisView MA Full Analysis
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) vs Mastercard Incorporated (MA) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io