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Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) vs Intel Corporation (INTC): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-11-02, ALGN is undervalued at $150, with a DCF intrinsic value of $211 and a margin of safety of 29%. INTC is overvalued at $66, with an intrinsic value of $8 and a margin of safety of -697%. Of the two, ALGN has the wider margin of safety.

ALGN
Align Technology, Inc.
$149.89
VS
INTC
Intel Corporation
$65.76

Rewards

ALGN
  • ★Gross margin of 71.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Align Technology, Inc. scores 91/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 21.0% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
INTC
  • ★Net debt/EBITDA of -0.2x means the company holds more cash than debt — a net cash position.

Risks

ALGN
  • ⚠FCF yield of 6.2% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
INTC
  • ⚠Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • ⚠Share count has increased by 21% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 0.2% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ALGN
INTC
Valuation
$662.67M
Free Cash Flow
$670.37M
6.22%
FCF Yield
0.19%
21.85
Trailing P/E
N/A
12.17
Forward P/E
35.50
Quality & Moat
14.97%
ROIC
4.06%
11.90%
ROE
-9.62%
71.34%
Gross Margin
40.15%
0.63
PEG Ratio
1.36
Balance Sheet Safety
Net cash
Net Debt / Equity
Net cash
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-1.08
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.20
0.00%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
ALGN: 8Ties: 2INTC: 1
ALGNINTC

Historical Fundamentals

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ALGN

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

INTC

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ALGN
$-4.04
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$1.28B
Δ Market Cap
$-5.15B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
INTC
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-22.02B
Δ Market Cap
+$74.94B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ALGN
29.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 29.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $149.89
Fair Value: $211.41
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
INTC
Insufficient Data
Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
Current Price: $65.76
Fair Value: $0.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ALGN

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $150?

+6.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +3.3%

The market implies +6.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +3.3%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

INTC

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $66?

+54.7%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

Economic Moat Score

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ALGN
91/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
INTC
17/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ALGN
-2.52
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
INTC
-2.83
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ALGN
Insiders 6.1%Institutions 104.7%
No. of Institutional Holders952
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
INTC
Insiders 13.9%Institutions 62.8%Retail & Other 23.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,439
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ALGN
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
HOGAN JOSEPH M
Chief Executive Officer
$996,131
@ $131.49 · 2025-08-01
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
INTC
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $10.25M
TAN LIP-BU
Chief Executive Officer
$10.00M
@ $95.00 · 2026-08-11
ZINSNER DAVID A
Chief Financial Officer
$249,985
@ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
GELSINGER PATRICK P
Chief Executive Officer
$251,198
@ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ALGN
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.51M
MORICI JOHN
Chief Financial Officer
$1.51M
@ $189.31 · 2026-02-18
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
INTC
0
Sells (3M)
3
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $7.47M
CHANDRASEKARAN NAGASUBRAMANIYAN
Chief Technology Officer
$2.49M
@ $118.28 · 2026-05-29
MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
$4.01M
@ $99.53 · 2026-05-01
MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
$981,000
@ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
General Counsel
$650,000
@ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ALGN
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
INTC
FearGreed
😨Fear(26/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ALGN
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
INTC
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (26)
View ALGN Full AnalysisView INTC Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: ALGN vs INTC

Is Align Technology, Inc. or Intel Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, ALGN trades at a 29.1% margin of safety (intrinsic value $211 vs. price $150), compared to INTC's -696.5% margin of safety (intrinsic $8 vs. $66).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Align Technology, Inc. or Intel Corporation?▼

ALGN scores 91/100 (Wide moat), while INTC scores 17/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Intel Corporation in financial distress?▼

INTC's Altman Z-Score of 2.1 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. ALGN scores 4.7 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which company has better free cash flow, Align Technology, Inc. or Intel Corporation?▼

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) generates a 6.2% free cash flow yield, compared to Intel Corporation's 0.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Align Technology, Inc. or Intel Corporation?▼

ALGN earns 15.0% ROIC versus INTC's 4.1%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

ALGN vs INTC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io