Compare StocksAFL vs AMZN

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) vs Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AFL
Aflac Incorporated
$112.88
VS
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
$268.42

Rewards

AFL
  • Share count has been reduced by 16% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • PEG ratio of 0.00 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
AMZN
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.34 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 32.1x is 21% below the historical average of 40.6x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • PEG ratio of 0.43 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

AFL
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.20 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 6 insider sales totaling $6.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 13.0% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
AMZN
  • FCF yield of 0.3% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 13 insider sales totaling $29.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AFL
AMZN
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$9.81B
N/A
FCF Yield
0.34%
12.90
Trailing P/E
32.07
14.67
Forward P/E
27.26
Quality & Moat
11.17%
ROIC
11.38%
12.17%
ROE
17.58%
50.05%
Gross Margin
50.60%
0.00
PEG Ratio
0.43
Balance Sheet Safety
0.26
Debt / Equity
0.53
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.38
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.59
2.16%
Dividend Yield
N/A
AFL: 5Ties: 3AMZN: 1
AFLAMZN

Historical Fundamentals

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AFL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

AMZN

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AFL
$1.23
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$10.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$12.93B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
AMZN
$9.66
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$167.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.62T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AFL
Insufficient Data
Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
Current Price: $112.88
Fair Value: $0.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
AMZN
21.4% Overvalued
Price is 21.4% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $268.42
Fair Value: $221.02
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AFL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

AMZN

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $268?

+16.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +46.4%

The market implies +16.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +46.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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AFL
65/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
AMZN
51/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AFL
-2.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
AMZN
-2.58
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AFL
Insiders 10.9%Institutions 60.0%Retail & Other 29.1%
No. of Institutional Holders2,095
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
AMZN
Insiders 8.9%Institutions 67.0%Retail & Other 24.0%
No. of Institutional Holders7,647
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AFL
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
AMZN
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AFL
6
Sells (3M)
18
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $15.10M
LAKE CHARLES D II
Officer
$536,365
@ $107.27 · 2026-03-25
KOIDE MASATOSHI
Officer
$1.70M
@ $109.93 · 2026-03-11
LAKE CHARLES D II
Officer
$1.71M
@ $109.93 · 2026-03-11
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$66,054
@ $110.09 · 2026-03-09
BEAVER STEVEN KENT
Officer
$839,015
@ $113.58 · 2026-02-20
BRODEN MAX
Chief Financial Officer
$1.53M
@ $117.67 · 2026-02-06
BEAVER STEVEN KENT
Officer
$601,520
@ $109.53 · 2025-12-12
BEAVER STEVEN KENT
Officer
$377,166
@ $109.26 · 2025-12-05
TILLMAN AUDREY BOONE
Officer
$1.78M
@ $112.00 · 2025-11-18
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$89,404
@ $113.75 · 2025-11-17
TILLMAN AUDREY BOONE
Officer
$397,325
@ $115.10 · 2025-11-14
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$114,000
@ $114.00 · 2025-11-07
SIMARD FREDERIC JEAN GUY
Officer
$193,725
@ $112.50 · 2025-11-06
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$102,570
@ $102.57 · 2025-08-08
KOIDE MASATOSHI
Officer
$3.91M
@ $105.59 · 2025-05-20
COLLINS ARTHUR REGINALD
Director
$290,689
@ $105.71 · 2025-05-15
KENNY THOMAS J
Director
$762,238
@ $106.34 · 2025-05-09
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$106,790
@ $106.79 · 2025-05-08
LAKE CHARLES D II
Officer
$5.69M
@ $107.44 · 2025-03-10
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$107,630
@ $107.63 · 2025-03-07
KOIDE MASATOSHI
Officer
$2.36M
@ $107.63 · 2025-03-07
TILLMAN AUDREY BOONE
Officer
$2.56M
@ $103.40 · 2024-12-27
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$64,998
@ $108.33 · 2024-11-08
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$59,730
@ $99.55 · 2024-08-08
KENNY THOMAS J
Director
$197,890
@ $98.94 · 2024-08-07
LAKE CHARLES D II
Officer
$1.96M
@ $87.47 · 2024-05-21
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
$50,904
@ $84.84 · 2024-05-08
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
AMZN
13
Sells (3M)
51
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $5.75B
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $260.00 · 2026-04-24
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.91M
@ $255.00 · 2026-04-17
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$5.02M
@ $245.00 · 2026-04-14
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$210,500
@ $210.50 · 2026-04-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$204,250
@ $204.25 · 2026-03-02
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$3.65M
@ $205.40 · 2026-02-24
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.41M
@ $205.82 · 2026-02-23
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.64M
@ $205.22 · 2026-02-23
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.08M
@ $205.18 · 2026-02-23
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$554,892
@ $205.90 · 2026-02-23
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$948,990
@ $198.37 · 2026-02-17
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$183,492
@ $203.88 · 2026-02-12
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$208,000
@ $208.00 · 2026-02-11
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$583,050
@ $233.22 · 2025-12-01
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$4.56M
@ $220.58 · 2025-11-24
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.48M
@ $216.40 · 2025-11-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.85M
@ $216.90 · 2025-11-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.31M
@ $216.94 · 2025-11-21
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$583,222
@ $216.41 · 2025-11-21
HUTTENLOCHER DANIEL P
Director
$280,317
@ $226.61 · 2025-11-20
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.11M
@ $232.71 · 2025-11-17
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$209,700
@ $233.00 · 2025-11-17
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$6.14M
@ $250.58 · 2025-11-03
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$2.04M
@ $250.03 · 2025-10-31
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$542,750
@ $217.10 · 2025-10-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$558,725
@ $223.49 · 2025-09-02
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$4.60M
@ $222.34 · 2025-08-22
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.51M
@ $221.62 · 2025-08-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.94M
@ $221.57 · 2025-08-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.95M
@ $222.74 · 2025-08-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.40M
@ $221.58 · 2025-08-21
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$601,755
@ $221.64 · 2025-08-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.11M
@ $232.32 · 2025-08-15
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$542,500
@ $217.00 · 2025-08-01
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$954.28M
@ $229.72 · 2025-07-24
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$1.51B
@ $228.34 · 2025-07-22
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$166.45M
@ $227.02 · 2025-07-15
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$1.51B
@ $225.21 · 2025-07-14
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$108.68M
@ $223.99 · 2025-07-09
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$665.86M
@ $223.86 · 2025-07-07
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$550,144
@ $220.06 · 2025-07-01
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$736.68M
@ $221.56 · 2025-06-30
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$512,450
@ $204.98 · 2025-06-02
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$4.18M
@ $202.00 · 2025-05-22
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$1.37M
@ $200.77 · 2025-05-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Chief Executive Officer
$4.21M
@ $201.30 · 2025-05-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.58M
@ $201.57 · 2025-05-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.00M
@ $201.30 · 2025-05-21
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$541,129
@ $200.79 · 2025-05-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$980,971
@ $205.05 · 2025-05-15
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$210,680
@ $210.68 · 2025-05-12
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$476,675
@ $190.67 · 2025-05-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$469,975
@ $187.99 · 2025-04-01
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Chief Executive Officer
$532,925
@ $213.17 · 2025-03-03
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$5.47M
@ $218.25 · 2025-02-24
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.36M
@ $222.47 · 2025-02-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Officer
$3.36M
@ $220.69 · 2025-02-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.26M
@ $223.14 · 2025-02-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.59M
@ $220.65 · 2025-02-21
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$1.97M
@ $222.47 · 2025-02-21
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.26M
@ $228.44 · 2025-02-18
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$6.33M
@ $230.27 · 2025-02-12
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $229.85 · 2024-12-09
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $219.85 · 2024-12-04
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$735,000
@ $210.00 · 2024-12-02
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.22M
@ $200.19 · 2024-11-21
GARMAN MATTHEW S
Chief Executive Officer
$3.05M
@ $200.19 · 2024-11-21
ZAPOLSKY DAVID A.
Officer
$2.34M
@ $200.23 · 2024-11-21
OLSAVSKY BRIAN T.
Chief Financial Officer
$2.96M
@ $202.88 · 2024-11-21
JASSY ANDREW R.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.16M
@ $200.17 · 2024-11-21
REYNOLDS SHELLEY L
Officer
$759,090
@ $200.23 · 2024-11-21
HUTTENLOCHER DANIEL P
Director
$246,237
@ $199.06 · 2024-11-19
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J
Officer
$1.13M
@ $205.81 · 2024-11-15
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer and Director
$686.52M
@ $207.99 · 2024-11-13
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$1.25B
@ $207.80 · 2024-11-11
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$1.23B
@ $205.48 · 2024-11-07
RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J
Director
$1.00M
@ $209.85 · 2024-11-07
ALEXANDER KEITH BRIAN
Director
$176,733
@ $196.37 · 2024-11-04
BEZOS JEFFREY P
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$213.76M
@ $200.07 · 2024-11-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AFL
FearGreed
😏Greed(62/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
AMZN
FearGreed
😏Greed(73/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AFL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (62)
AMZN
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (73)
View AFL Full AnalysisView AMZN Full Analysis
AFL vs AMZN: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io