Compare Stocks › ADSK vs MS
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
$247.65
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55
Rewards
ADSK
- ★Autodesk, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 92.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Autodesk, Inc. scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
Risks
ADSK
- ⚠Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.05 of market value — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
- ⚠FCF yield of 5.3% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
- ⚠PEG ratio of 7.52 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →ADSK
MS
Valuation
$2.79B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
5.31%
FCF Yield
N/A
47.35
Trailing P/E
15.53
17.59
Forward P/E
12.89
Quality & Moat
26.83%
ROIC
3.43%
36.91%
ROE
14.42%
92.33%
Gross Margin
87.06%
7.52
PEG Ratio
0.75
Balance Sheet Safety
0.90
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.07
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.52%
ADSK: 4Ties: 1MS: 3
ADSKMS
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →ADSK
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →ADSK
$0.05
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$3.14B
Δ Market Cap
+$153.6M
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →ADSK
57.2% Overvalued
Price is 57.2% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $247.65
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $157.54
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →ADSK
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $248?
+19.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +6.9%
The market implies +19.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +6.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →ADSK
99/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →ADSK
-2.65
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →ADSK
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 95.7%Retail & Other 4.0%
No. of Institutional Holders2,074
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,181
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →ADSK
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $534,194
CAHILL JOHN T
Director
$534,194
@ $267.10 · 2025-03-21
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,876
@ $275.48 · 2024-09-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →ADSK
0
Sells (3M)
10
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $7.75M
HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA
Director
$298,025
@ $325.00 · 2025-09-29
KEENE RUTH ANN
Officer
$869,991
@ $315.10 · 2025-09-03
HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA
Director
$1.03M
@ $325.00 · 2025-08-29
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$1.98M
@ $323.06 · 2025-08-29
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$1.02M
@ $315.00 · 2025-07-03
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$964,100
@ $310.00 · 2025-06-30
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$775,920
@ $305.00 · 2025-06-24
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$145,800
@ $300.00 · 2025-06-17
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,887
@ $261.18 · 2025-04-01
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$655,395
@ $267.29 · 2025-03-28
NORRINGTON LORRIE M
Director
$542,948
@ $305.37 · 2024-12-11
NORRINGTON LORRIE M
Director
$543,926
@ $305.92 · 2024-12-06
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$167,783
@ $305.06 · 2024-11-15
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$156,920
@ $285.31 · 2024-10-15
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,829
@ $274.61 · 2024-10-01
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,829
@ $274.61 · 2024-10-01
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$78,604
@ $274.84 · 2024-09-30
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$146,025
@ $265.50 · 2024-09-16
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$136,499
@ $248.18 · 2024-08-15
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$139,332
@ $253.33 · 2024-07-15
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$18,316
@ $244.21 · 2024-06-27
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$378,081
@ $229.14 · 2024-06-17
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$18,727
@ $249.69 · 2024-04-02
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$457,646
@ $260.47 · 2024-03-27
ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.47M
@ $259.99 · 2024-03-27
CLIFFORD DEBORAH L
Chief Financial Officer
$1.44M
@ $260.01 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →ADSK
😐Neutral(45/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →ADSK
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (45)
MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)