Compare StocksADP vs MA

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) vs Mastercard Incorporated (MA)

ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
$210.66
VS
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
$491.14

Rewards

ADP
  • Automatic Data Processing, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Automatic Data Processing, Inc. scores 93/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 19.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
MA
  • Mastercard Incorporated has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Mastercard Incorporated scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

ADP
  • 8 insider sales totaling $1.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
MA
  • High leverage (2.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Insiders have sold $4.5M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ADP
MA
Valuation
$3.46B
Free Cash Flow
$16.27B
4.06%
FCF Yield
3.71%
20.24
Trailing P/E
29.77
17.61
Forward P/E
21.70
Quality & Moat
40.52%
ROIC
54.23%
63.82%
ROE
193.24%
48.35%
Gross Margin
100.00%
1.76
PEG Ratio
1.23
Balance Sheet Safety
0.70
Debt / Equity
2.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.33
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.43
3.23%
Dividend Yield
0.71%
ADP: 6Ties: 1MA: 5
ADPMA

Historical Fundamentals

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ADP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ADP
$1.02
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.76B
Δ Market Cap
+$4.87B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MA
$5.62
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$31.68B
Δ Market Cap
+$177.96B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ADP
8.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 8.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $210.66
Fair Value: $229.28
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MA
12.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $491.14
Fair Value: $558.06
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ADP

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $211?

+8.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +10.9%

The market implies +8.6% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +10.9%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

MA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $491?

+13.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +12.0%

The market implies +13.2% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +12.0%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ADP
93/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MA
99/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ADP
-3.03
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MA
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ADP
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 86.5%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,068
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MA
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 91.1%Retail & Other 8.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,864
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ADP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ADP
8
Sells (3M)
26
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.14M
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$113,188
@ $208.45 · 2026-03-16
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$115,349
@ $212.43 · 2026-02-17
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$234,180
@ $234.18 · 2026-02-06
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$63,042
@ $237.00 · 2026-02-05
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$142,423
@ $262.29 · 2026-01-13
KWON DAVID
Officer
$213,429
@ $264.80 · 2026-01-12
KWON DAVID
Officer
$234,000
@ $260.00 · 2026-01-06
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$183,880
@ $257.17 · 2026-01-05
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$1.21M
@ $295.26 · 2025-09-12
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$177,249
@ $296.90 · 2025-09-10
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$12.95M
@ $295.05 · 2025-09-10
BONARTI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.60M
@ $298.43 · 2025-09-09
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$3.58M
@ $297.12 · 2025-09-05
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$7.00M
@ $299.31 · 2025-09-04
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$4.03M
@ $296.57 · 2025-09-03
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$1.37M
@ $296.57 · 2025-09-03
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$407,191
@ $296.57 · 2025-09-03
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$7.04M
@ $298.32 · 2025-09-03
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$599,359
@ $301.64 · 2025-09-02
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$314,079
@ $301.13 · 2025-09-02
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$2.32M
@ $299.93 · 2025-09-02
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$63,485
@ $308.18 · 2025-07-01
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$424,064
@ $307.07 · 2025-06-13
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$147,179
@ $311.82 · 2025-05-12
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$140,121
@ $293.14 · 2025-04-10
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$458,070
@ $305.38 · 2025-04-01
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$144,833
@ $306.20 · 2025-03-10
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$145,181
@ $308.24 · 2025-02-10
LEHBERGER JONATHAN S
Officer
$704,869
@ $303.30 · 2025-02-03
BONARTI MICHAEL A
Officer
$9.14M
@ $303.30 · 2025-02-03
MAGLIULO VIRGINIA
Officer
$1.02M
@ $285.50 · 2025-01-13
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$305,322
@ $286.15 · 2025-01-13
KWON DAVID
Officer
$382,127
@ $290.37 · 2025-01-06
MAGLIULO VIRGINIA
Officer
$597,095
@ $289.15 · 2025-01-06
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$290,443
@ $289.29 · 2025-01-06
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$210,233
@ $291.59 · 2025-01-03
AYALA JOHN C.
Officer
$3.12M
@ $290.73 · 2025-01-03
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$2.55M
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$106,366
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$1.91M
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
KWON DAVID
Officer
$571,793
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
LEHBERGER JONATHAN S
Officer
$728,405
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
KUTAM SREENIVASA
Officer
$11.69M
@ $300.00 · 2024-11-06
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$387,240
@ $280.00 · 2024-09-17
KWON DAVID
Officer
$28,000
@ $280.00 · 2024-09-17
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$12.17M
@ $277.27 · 2024-09-13
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$16.27M
@ $276.33 · 2024-09-11
AYALA JOHN C.
Officer
$7.96M
@ $269.70 · 2024-09-09
BONARTI MICHAEL A
Officer
$1.04M
@ $269.70 · 2024-09-09
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$2.48M
@ $269.45 · 2024-09-06
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$4.87M
@ $272.82 · 2024-09-05
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$768,660
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$1.16M
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$132,204
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$2.04M
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$872,254
@ $274.38 · 2024-09-03
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$522,694
@ $274.38 · 2024-09-03
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$5.25M
@ $274.38 · 2024-09-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MA
1
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $64.44M
LING HAI
Officer
$4.48M
@ $499.20 · 2026-02-24
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$10.20M
@ $591.00 · 2025-09-02
LING HAI
Officer
$2.69M
@ $600.00 · 2025-08-22
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$10.46M
@ $586.89 · 2025-08-19
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$3.83M
@ $566.46 · 2025-08-05
GENACHOWSKI JULIUS
Director
$178,049
@ $570.67 · 2025-07-07
KIRKPATRICK LINDA PISTECCHIA
Officer
$536,480
@ $560.00 · 2025-06-30
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$601,447
@ $546.77 · 2025-06-27
GENACHOWSKI JULIUS
Director
$173,910
@ $561.00 · 2025-06-24
KIRKPATRICK LINDA PISTECCHIA
Officer
$536,480
@ $560.00 · 2025-06-24
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$508,474
@ $535.80 · 2025-06-20
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$5.02M
@ $532.97 · 2025-06-20
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$1.76M
@ $561.78 · 2025-06-16
KIRKPATRICK LINDA PISTECCHIA
Officer
$549,373
@ $572.86 · 2025-06-13
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$5.55M
@ $588.18 · 2025-06-12
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$8.22M
@ $585.05 · 2025-06-05
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$218,223
@ $577.31 · 2025-05-15
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$257,535
@ $572.30 · 2025-05-12
MIEBACH MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$8.68M
@ $550.16 · 2025-03-26
MCLAUGHLIN EDWARD GRUNDE
Officer
$3.81M
@ $534.68 · 2025-03-19
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$6.12M
@ $556.14 · 2025-03-05
MIEBACH MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$9.78M
@ $553.76 · 2025-03-05
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$6.19M
@ $562.72 · 2025-02-26
MCLAUGHLIN EDWARD GRUNDE
Officer
$6.18M
@ $564.99 · 2025-02-18
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$7.97M
@ $565.00 · 2025-02-18
MIEBACH MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$10.17M
@ $564.95 · 2025-02-18
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.36M
@ $500.44 · 2024-11-01
MADABHUSHI VENKATA RAJAMANNAR
Officer
$2.30M
@ $491.03 · 2024-09-27
MADABHUSHI VENKATA RAJAMANNAR
Officer
$2.29M
@ $489.86 · 2024-09-20
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$550,000
@ $500.00 · 2024-09-17
MADABHUSHI VENKATA RAJAMANNAR
Officer
$2.31M
@ $493.10 · 2024-09-13
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$528,000
@ $480.00 · 2024-08-29
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$42.19M
@ $468.80 · 2024-08-22
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$42.03M
@ $467.02 · 2024-08-21
LING HAI
Officer
$1.36M
@ $470.00 · 2024-08-16
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$3.16M
@ $470.00 · 2024-08-16
SACHIN J. MEHRA
Chief Financial Officer
$6.11M
@ $455.00 · 2024-08-05
LING HAI
Officer
$1.35M
@ $465.46 · 2024-08-01
ARKELL SANDRA A
Officer
$512,006
@ $465.46 · 2024-08-01
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$4.07M
@ $451.06 · 2024-06-20
MURPHY TIMOTHY H
Officer
$2.34M
@ $446.24 · 2024-06-17
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$47.72M
@ $445.98 · 2024-06-17
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$49.51M
@ $442.03 · 2024-06-13
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$3.11M
@ $449.66 · 2024-06-12
MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$50.61M
@ $447.85 · 2024-06-10
SESHADRI RAJEEV
Officer
$3.71M
@ $443.93 · 2024-06-05
VOSBURG CRAIG
Officer
$4.04M
@ $447.28 · 2024-06-05
MURPHY TIMOTHY H
Officer
$2.31M
@ $441.57 · 2024-06-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ADP
FearGreed
😨Fear(35/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ADP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (35)
MA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
View ADP Full AnalysisView MA Full Analysis