Compare StocksADP vs AMD

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) vs Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
$210.66
VS
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
$205.27

Rewards

ADP
  • Automatic Data Processing, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Automatic Data Processing, Inc. scores 93/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 19.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
AMD
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 29.3% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $35.82 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 78.6x is 43% below the historical average of 138.5x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.

Risks

ADP
  • 8 insider sales totaling $1.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
AMD
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • FCF yield of 2.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 8 insider sales totaling $54.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ADP
AMD
Valuation
$3.46B
Free Cash Flow
$6.74B
4.06%
FCF Yield
2.01%
20.24
Trailing P/E
78.65
17.61
Forward P/E
19.10
Quality & Moat
40.52%
ROIC
6.97%
63.82%
ROE
6.88%
48.35%
Gross Margin
52.49%
1.76
PEG Ratio
0.36
Balance Sheet Safety
0.70
Debt / Equity
0.06
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.33
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.97
3.23%
Dividend Yield
N/A
ADP: 5Ties: 1AMD: 5
ADPAMD

Historical Fundamentals

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ADP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

AMD

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ADP
$1.02
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.76B
Δ Market Cap
+$4.87B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
AMD
$35.82
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$6.83B
Δ Market Cap
+$244.67B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ADP
8.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 8.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $210.66
Fair Value: $229.28
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
AMD
4.0% Overvalued
Price is 4.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $205.27
Fair Value: $197.32
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ADP

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $211?

+8.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +10.9%

The market implies +8.6% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +10.9%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

AMD

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $205?

+26.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +19.8%

The market implies +26.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +19.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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ADP
93/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
AMD
41/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ADP
-3.03
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
AMD
-2.84
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ADP
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 86.5%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,068
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
AMD
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 72.3%Retail & Other 27.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,072
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ADP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
AMD
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $999,328
GUIDO PHILIP
Officer
$999,328
@ $113.56 · 2025-05-20
GUIDO PHILIP
Officer
$499,616
@ $107.56 · 2025-02-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ADP
8
Sells (3M)
26
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.14M
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$113,188
@ $208.45 · 2026-03-16
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$115,349
@ $212.43 · 2026-02-17
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$234,180
@ $234.18 · 2026-02-06
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$63,042
@ $237.00 · 2026-02-05
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$142,423
@ $262.29 · 2026-01-13
KWON DAVID
Officer
$213,429
@ $264.80 · 2026-01-12
KWON DAVID
Officer
$234,000
@ $260.00 · 2026-01-06
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$183,880
@ $257.17 · 2026-01-05
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$1.21M
@ $295.26 · 2025-09-12
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$177,249
@ $296.90 · 2025-09-10
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$12.95M
@ $295.05 · 2025-09-10
BONARTI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.60M
@ $298.43 · 2025-09-09
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$3.58M
@ $297.12 · 2025-09-05
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$7.00M
@ $299.31 · 2025-09-04
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$4.03M
@ $296.57 · 2025-09-03
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$1.37M
@ $296.57 · 2025-09-03
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$407,191
@ $296.57 · 2025-09-03
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$7.04M
@ $298.32 · 2025-09-03
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$599,359
@ $301.64 · 2025-09-02
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$314,079
@ $301.13 · 2025-09-02
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$2.32M
@ $299.93 · 2025-09-02
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$63,485
@ $308.18 · 2025-07-01
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$424,064
@ $307.07 · 2025-06-13
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$147,179
@ $311.82 · 2025-05-12
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$140,121
@ $293.14 · 2025-04-10
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$458,070
@ $305.38 · 2025-04-01
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$144,833
@ $306.20 · 2025-03-10
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$145,181
@ $308.24 · 2025-02-10
LEHBERGER JONATHAN S
Officer
$704,869
@ $303.30 · 2025-02-03
BONARTI MICHAEL A
Officer
$9.14M
@ $303.30 · 2025-02-03
MAGLIULO VIRGINIA
Officer
$1.02M
@ $285.50 · 2025-01-13
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$305,322
@ $286.15 · 2025-01-13
KWON DAVID
Officer
$382,127
@ $290.37 · 2025-01-06
MAGLIULO VIRGINIA
Officer
$597,095
@ $289.15 · 2025-01-06
FOSKETT DAVID
Officer
$290,443
@ $289.29 · 2025-01-06
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$210,233
@ $291.59 · 2025-01-03
AYALA JOHN C.
Officer
$3.12M
@ $290.73 · 2025-01-03
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$2.55M
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
MICHAUD BRIAN L.
Officer
$106,366
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$1.91M
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
KWON DAVID
Officer
$571,793
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
LEHBERGER JONATHAN S
Officer
$728,405
@ $293.83 · 2025-01-02
KUTAM SREENIVASA
Officer
$11.69M
@ $300.00 · 2024-11-06
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$387,240
@ $280.00 · 2024-09-17
KWON DAVID
Officer
$28,000
@ $280.00 · 2024-09-17
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$12.17M
@ $277.27 · 2024-09-13
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$16.27M
@ $276.33 · 2024-09-11
AYALA JOHN C.
Officer
$7.96M
@ $269.70 · 2024-09-09
BONARTI MICHAEL A
Officer
$1.04M
@ $269.70 · 2024-09-09
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$2.48M
@ $269.45 · 2024-09-06
RODRIGUEZ CARLOS ANTONIO
Director
$4.87M
@ $272.82 · 2024-09-05
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$768,660
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$1.16M
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
D'AMBROSIO CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$132,204
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$2.04M
@ $276.00 · 2024-09-04
MCGUIRE DONALD
Officer
$872,254
@ $274.38 · 2024-09-03
DESILVA JOSEPH
Officer
$522,694
@ $274.38 · 2024-09-03
BLACK MARIA
Chief Executive Officer
$5.25M
@ $274.38 · 2024-09-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
AMD
8
Sells (3M)
26
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $155.80M
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$16.90M
@ $198.77 · 2026-03-12
GRASBY PAUL DARREN
Officer
$1.54M
@ $204.87 · 2026-03-11
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$606,800
@ $200.00 · 2026-03-04
HAHN AVA M
General Counsel
$56,814
@ $198.65 · 2026-02-18
HU JEAN X
Chief Financial Officer
$4.02M
@ $201.62 · 2026-02-17
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$26.79M
@ $214.36 · 2026-02-11
NORROD FORREST EUGENE
Officer
$4.22M
@ $216.81 · 2026-02-11
HAHN AVA M
General Counsel
$572,454
@ $234.42 · 2026-01-16
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$26.89M
@ $215.14 · 2025-12-11
GRASBY PAUL DARREN
Officer
$2.19M
@ $218.77 · 2025-12-04
HU JEAN X
Chief Financial Officer
$3.05M
@ $209.96 · 2025-11-24
NORROD FORREST EUGENE
Officer
$4.46M
@ $229.37 · 2025-11-19
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$4.11M
@ $240.12 · 2025-11-14
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$3.77M
@ $224.28 · 2025-10-15
HAHN AVA M
General Counsel
$648,197
@ $226.01 · 2025-10-06
NORROD FORREST EUGENE
Officer
$371,272
@ $165.01 · 2025-09-24
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.67M
@ $159.20 · 2025-09-15
NORROD FORREST EUGENE
Officer
$2.77M
@ $160.93 · 2025-09-10
HAHN AVA M
General Counsel
$22,608
@ $158.10 · 2025-09-02
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$36.89M
@ $163.97 · 2025-08-21
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.99M
@ $178.11 · 2025-08-15
GRASBY PAUL DARREN
Officer
$1.73M
@ $173.21 · 2025-08-12
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.79M
@ $155.03 · 2025-07-15
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.03M
@ $116.00 · 2025-06-13
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.04M
@ $116.59 · 2025-05-15
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$1.67M
@ $95.47 · 2025-04-15
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$1.75M
@ $100.27 · 2025-03-14
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$1.99M
@ $113.57 · 2025-02-14
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$10.91M
@ $142.66 · 2024-12-04
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$10.91M
@ $142.66 · 2024-12-04
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$11.51M
@ $143.87 · 2024-11-06
NORROD FORREST EUGENE
Officer
$5.74M
@ $141.67 · 2024-11-05
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$11.58M
@ $144.72 · 2024-09-11
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$12.60M
@ $157.44 · 2024-08-20
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$3.09M
@ $184.50 · 2024-07-15
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.57M
@ $158.94 · 2024-06-14
HU JEAN X
Chief Financial Officer
$3.23M
@ $161.40 · 2024-06-10
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$23.56M
@ $165.05 · 2024-06-05
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.53M
@ $156.11 · 2024-05-15
SU LISA T
Chief Executive Officer
$19.21M
@ $153.69 · 2024-05-08
PAPERMASTER MARK D
Chief Technology Officer
$2.66M
@ $164.25 · 2024-04-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ADP
FearGreed
😨Fear(35/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
AMD
FearGreed
😐Neutral(49/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ADP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (35)
AMD
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (49)
View ADP Full AnalysisView AMD Full Analysis
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) vs Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io