Compare StocksADM vs JPM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) vs JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
$74.94
VS
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$312.47

Rewards

ADM
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 24.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Share count has been reduced by 12% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • FCF yield of 11.6% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.
JPM
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. scores 90/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $1.79 of earning power — management is creating shareholder value.
  • PEG ratio of 0.87 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

ADM
  • ROIC has declined by 6.2 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Gross margin of 6.3% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Trailing P/E of 33.6x is 117% above the historical average of 15.5x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
JPM
  • Gross margin of 0.0% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.30 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 14 insider sales totaling $73.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ADM
JPM
Valuation
$4.20B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
11.64%
FCF Yield
N/A
33.61
Trailing P/E
14.95
15.41
Forward P/E
13.28
Quality & Moat
3.52%
ROIC
4.54%
4.68%
ROE
N/A
6.27%
Gross Margin
0.00%
0.97
PEG Ratio
0.87
Balance Sheet Safety
0.42
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.46
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
2.78%
Dividend Yield
1.92%
ADM: 2Ties: 1JPM: 4
ADMJPM

Historical Fundamentals

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ADM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

JPM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ADM
$-6.80
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$3.41B
Δ Market Cap
$-23.19B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JPM
$3.95
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$120.20B
Δ Market Cap
+$475.31B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ADM
35.1% Overvalued
Price is 35.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $74.94
Fair Value: $55.46
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JPM
37.2% Margin of Safety
Price is 37.2% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $312.47
Fair Value: $497.67
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ADM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $75?

+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -0.9%

The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding -0.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

JPM

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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ADM
44/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
JPM
90/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ADM
-2.99
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JPM
-2.17
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ADM
Insiders 0.7%Institutions 81.6%Retail & Other 17.7%
No. of Institutional Holders1,427
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JPM
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 75.7%Retail & Other 23.8%
No. of Institutional Holders6,190
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ADM
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $486,720
MCATEE DAVID R. II
Director
$486,720
@ $64.90 · 2026-02-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JPM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ADM
4
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $10.11M
CUDDY CHRISTOPHER M
Officer
$2.57M
@ $73.50 · 2026-03-13
PINNER IAN R
Officer
$2.44M
@ $71.53 · 2026-03-13
MORRIS GREGORY A
Officer
$3.42M
@ $68.48 · 2026-03-10
WEBER JENNIFER L
Officer
$1.68M
@ $67.04 · 2026-02-17
LUCIANO JUAN R
Chief Executive Officer
$10.30M
@ $60.51 · 2024-09-03
LUCIANO JUAN R
Chief Executive Officer
$2.77M
@ $61.00 · 2024-08-30
LUCIANO JUAN R
Chief Executive Officer
$6.09M
@ $61.05 · 2024-08-29
LUCIANO JUAN R
Chief Executive Officer
$224,673
@ $61.00 · 2024-08-28
LUCIANO JUAN R
Chief Executive Officer
$349,011
@ $61.01 · 2024-08-26
STRADER FRUIT MOLLY L
Officer
$419,280
@ $60.73 · 2024-05-22
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JPM
14
Sells (3M)
33
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $118.67M
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$2.80M
@ $306.56 · 2026-04-15
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$1.72M
@ $306.55 · 2026-04-15
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$2.32M
@ $306.55 · 2026-04-15
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$970,660
@ $306.59 · 2026-04-15
DIMON JAMES
Chief Executive Officer
$40.00M
@ $306.56 · 2026-04-15
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$3.78M
@ $306.57 · 2026-04-15
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.74M
@ $306.58 · 2026-04-15
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$127,761
@ $295.06 · 2026-03-23
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$132,684
@ $307.14 · 2026-02-19
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$15.36M
@ $307.11 · 2026-02-19
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$886,157
@ $306.42 · 2026-02-17
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$627,207
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.76M
@ $306.41 · 2026-02-17
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.07M
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$2.68M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$904,890
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$2.30M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$640,295
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.79M
@ $312.78 · 2026-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.09M
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$301,311
@ $311.92 · 2025-11-07
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.83M
@ $297.94 · 2025-09-02
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.39M
@ $267.44 · 2025-06-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.61M
@ $262.47 · 2025-06-05
LAKE MARIANNE
Officer
$3.28M
@ $267.08 · 2025-05-16
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$1.57M
@ $267.09 · 2025-05-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$2.71M
@ $266.89 · 2025-05-15
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.37M
@ $262.53 · 2025-05-13
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$3.69M
@ $262.54 · 2025-05-13
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$3.29M
@ $263.08 · 2025-05-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.54M
@ $250.76 · 2025-05-06
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$10.03M
@ $250.77 · 2025-05-06
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.38M
@ $250.00 · 2025-05-06
DIMON JAMES
Chief Executive Officer
$31.50M
@ $235.68 · 2025-04-14
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$308,652
@ $246.92 · 2025-03-24
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.06M
@ $247.03 · 2025-03-24
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$6.18M
@ $247.02 · 2025-03-24
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$506,698
@ $246.93 · 2025-03-24
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$337,610
@ $270.09 · 2025-02-20
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.15M
@ $269.85 · 2025-02-20
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$10.12M
@ $269.84 · 2025-02-20
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$554,054
@ $269.88 · 2025-02-20
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$919,371
@ $278.34 · 2025-02-18
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.47M
@ $278.37 · 2025-02-18
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$971,646
@ $278.41 · 2025-02-18
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$838,778
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.81M
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.34M
@ $253.97 · 2025-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$886,565
@ $253.96 · 2025-01-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ADM
FearGreed
😏Greed(68/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JPM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(60/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ADM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (68)
JPM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (60)
View ADM Full AnalysisView JPM Full Analysis
ADM vs JPM: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io