Compare StocksADBE vs PAYX

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) vs Paychex, Inc. (PAYX): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, ADBE is undervalued at $195, with a DCF intrinsic value of $558 and a margin of safety of 65%. PAYX is overvalued at $98, with an intrinsic value of $89 and a margin of safety of -11%. Of the two, ADBE has the wider margin of safety.

ADBE
Adobe Inc.
$195.16
VS
PAYX
Paychex, Inc.
$98.24

Rewards

ADBE
  • Adobe Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 89.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Adobe Inc. scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
PAYX
  • Paychex, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 67.2% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Paychex, Inc. scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ADBE
PAYX
Valuation
$9.22B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
11.88%
FCF Yield
N/A
11.16
Trailing P/E
21.69
7.09
Forward P/E
16.66
Quality & Moat
37.82%
ROIC
15.41%
62.95%
ROE
41.29%
89.40%
Gross Margin
67.20%
0.57
PEG Ratio
1.74
Balance Sheet Safety
0.13
Net Debt / Equity
0.81
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.15
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.01
0.00%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
ADBE: 8Ties: 1PAYX: 1
ADBEPAYX

Historical Fundamentals

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ADBE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

PAYX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ADBE
$-0.60
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$18.12B
Δ Market Cap
$-10.93B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PAYX
$-1.19
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$966.2M
Δ Market Cap
$-1.15B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ADBE
65.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 65.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $195.16
Fair Value: $558.28
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PAYX
10.9% Overvalued
Price is 10.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $98.24
Fair Value: $88.60
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ADBE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $195?

-1.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -4.0%

The market implies -1.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -4.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

PAYX

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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ADBE
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
PAYX
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ADBE
-2.85
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PAYX
-2.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ADBE
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 88.1%Retail & Other 11.7%
No. of Institutional Holders3,191
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PAYX
Insiders 10.3%Institutions 85.2%Retail & Other 4.5%
No. of Institutional Holders1,990
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ADBE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
DURN DANIEL J
Chief Financial Officer
$507,758
@ $390.58 · 2025-03-20
RICKS DAVID A
Director
$998,946
@ $443.98 · 2025-01-28
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PAYX
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $197,258
DOODY JOSEPH G
Director
$98,760
@ $98.76 · 2026-02-04
BONADIO THOMAS F
Director
$98,498
@ $98.50 · 2026-02-04
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ADBE
2
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.05M
FORUSZ JILLIAN
Officer
$185,915
@ $246.25 · 2026-04-30
DURN DANIEL J
Chief Financial Officer
$331,355
@ $248.02 · 2026-04-20
DURN DANIEL J
Chief Financial Officer
$485,323
@ $294.85 · 2026-01-27
FORUSZ JILLIAN
Officer
$50,344
@ $337.88 · 2025-10-31
FORUSZ JILLIAN
Officer
$175,828
@ $380.58 · 2025-05-02
FORUSZ JILLIAN
Officer
$145,567
@ $435.83 · 2025-01-28
BELSKY SCOTT K
Officer
$2.05M
@ $431.61 · 2025-01-27
BANSE AMY L
Director
$333,300
@ $550.00 · 2024-12-06
FORUSZ JILLIAN
Officer
$327,987
@ $485.19 · 2024-10-29
BELSKY SCOTT K
Officer
$232,525
@ $483.42 · 2024-10-25
BELSKY SCOTT K
Officer
$1.14M
@ $511.48 · 2024-10-16
DURN DANIEL J
Chief Financial Officer
$3.35M
@ $515.44 · 2024-09-17
GARFIELD MARK S.
Officer
$52,089
@ $537.00 · 2024-07-25
BELSKY SCOTT K
Officer
$258,297
@ $537.00 · 2024-07-25
GARFIELD MARK S.
Officer
$85,255
@ $564.60 · 2024-07-16
BELSKY SCOTT K
Officer
$1.25M
@ $561.60 · 2024-07-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PAYX
1
Sells (3M)
5
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $16.66M
ROALDSEN ELIZABETH
Officer
$41,310
@ $90.00 · 2026-05-13
SCHRADER ROBERT L.
Chief Financial Officer
$444,391
@ $140.63 · 2025-07-16
SIMMONS CHRISTOPHER C
Officer and Treasurer
$259,826
@ $140.98 · 2025-07-16
GIBSON JOHN B JR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.76M
@ $141.92 · 2025-07-16
MUCCI MARTIN
Chairman of the Board
$14.16M
@ $145.17 · 2025-07-10
VELLI JOSEPH M
Director
$544,762
@ $149.25 · 2025-04-15
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$4.89M
@ $154.59 · 2025-04-03
BOTTINI MARK ANTHONY
Officer
$6.65M
@ $141.87 · 2024-10-16
SCHRADER ROBERT L.
Chief Financial Officer
$1.85M
@ $142.35 · 2024-10-15
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$3.67M
@ $139.03 · 2024-10-09
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$2.05M
@ $139.18 · 2024-10-04
DOODY JOSEPH G
Director
$1.13M
@ $130.69 · 2024-08-26
SIMMONS CHRISTOPHER C
Officer and Treasurer
$293,797
@ $125.34 · 2024-08-16
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$1.81M
@ $125.21 · 2024-08-05
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$1.21M
@ $125.60 · 2024-07-26
BOTTINI MARK ANTHONY
Officer
$1.11M
@ $123.60 · 2024-07-24
GIBSON JOHN B JR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.51M
@ $119.53 · 2024-07-15
MUCCI MARTIN
Chairman of the Board
$21.93M
@ $117.04 · 2024-07-02
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ADBE
FearGreed
🥶Extreme Fear(17/100)

"Mr. Market is panicking — potential buying opportunity if fundamentals are strong"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PAYX
FearGreed
😨Fear(36/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ADBE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Extreme Fear (17)
PAYX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (36)
View ADBE Full AnalysisView PAYX Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: ADBE vs PAYX

Is Adobe Inc. or Paychex, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?

Based on our discounted cash flow model, ADBE trades at a 65.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $558 vs. price $195), compared to PAYX's -10.9% margin of safety (intrinsic $89 vs. $98).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Adobe Inc. or Paychex, Inc.?

ADBE scores 100/100 (Wide moat), while PAYX scores 94/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Adobe Inc. or Paychex, Inc.?

ADBE earns 37.8% ROIC versus PAYX's 15.4%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.