Compare StocksABNB vs MS

Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)

ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
$130.79
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55

Rewards

ABNB
  • Airbnb, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Airbnb, Inc. scores 72/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
MS
  • Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

ABNB
  • FCF yield of 5.9% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $2.6M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
MS
  • High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ABNB
MS
Valuation
$4.65B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
5.93%
FCF Yield
N/A
32.45
Trailing P/E
15.53
22.51
Forward P/E
12.89
Quality & Moat
8.94%
ROIC
3.43%
30.63%
ROE
14.42%
82.96%
Gross Margin
87.06%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.75
Balance Sheet Safety
0.28
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-3.40
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.52%
ABNB: 3Ties: 2MS: 2
ABNBMS

Historical Fundamentals

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ABNB

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ABNB
$2.79
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$9.95B
Δ Market Cap
+$27.75B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ABNB
52.8% Margin of Safety
Price is 52.8% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $130.79
Fair Value: $277.06
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ABNB

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $131?

+3.8%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market below historical growth — potential opportunity.

MS

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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ABNB
72/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ABNB
-2.76
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ABNB
Insiders 1.4%Institutions 87.1%Retail & Other 11.5%
No. of Institutional Holders1,809
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,182
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ABNB
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ABNB
5
Sells (3M)
62
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $41.15M
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$584,725
@ $135.73 · 2026-03-05
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$487,500
@ $130.00 · 2026-03-02
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$533,735
@ $125.29 · 2026-02-20
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$487,500
@ $130.00 · 2026-02-02
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$509,775
@ $135.94 · 2026-01-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$345,745
@ $134.79 · 2025-12-19
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$2.06M
@ $135.00 · 2025-12-17
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$83,804
@ $128.93 · 2025-12-12
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$975,000
@ $130.00 · 2025-12-12
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$2.11M
@ $125.19 · 2025-12-09
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$578,750
@ $125.00 · 2025-12-09
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,598
@ $120.92 · 2025-12-05
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$14.13M
@ $120.41 · 2025-12-04
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$619,572
@ $120.03 · 2025-12-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$133,732
@ $116.39 · 2025-12-01
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$385,960
@ $116.71 · 2025-11-28
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$68,706
@ $114.51 · 2025-11-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$72,828
@ $121.38 · 2025-11-13
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$73,428
@ $122.38 · 2025-11-06
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$75,282
@ $125.47 · 2025-10-30
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$975,000
@ $130.00 · 2025-10-28
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$1.56M
@ $127.65 · 2025-10-24
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$76,518
@ $127.53 · 2025-10-23
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,556
@ $124.26 · 2025-10-16
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$72,276
@ $120.46 · 2025-10-09
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$73,482
@ $122.47 · 2025-10-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$73,746
@ $122.91 · 2025-09-25
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,244
@ $123.74 · 2025-09-18
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,208
@ $123.68 · 2025-09-11
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,790
@ $124.65 · 2025-09-04
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$594,585
@ $128.42 · 2025-09-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,114
@ $130.19 · 2025-08-28
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,976
@ $124.96 · 2025-08-21
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$281,199
@ $125.20 · 2025-08-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,172
@ $123.62 · 2025-08-14
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$72,300
@ $120.50 · 2025-08-07
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$806,875
@ $129.10 · 2025-08-04
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$80,850
@ $134.75 · 2025-07-31
BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLES
Officer
$710,000
@ $142.00 · 2025-07-24
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$83,634
@ $139.39 · 2025-07-24
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$82,548
@ $137.58 · 2025-07-17
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$82,326
@ $137.21 · 2025-07-10
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$849,125
@ $135.86 · 2025-07-07
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$81,762
@ $136.27 · 2025-07-03
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,198
@ $130.33 · 2025-06-26
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$79,362
@ $132.27 · 2025-06-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$82,278
@ $137.13 · 2025-06-12
BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLES
Officer
$701,200
@ $140.24 · 2025-06-11
BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLES
Officer
$820,000
@ $136.67 · 2025-06-05
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$80,100
@ $133.50 · 2025-06-05
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$826,750
@ $132.28 · 2025-06-04
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$619,640
@ $128.85 · 2025-06-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$191,750
@ $130.00 · 2025-05-29
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$300,897
@ $134.03 · 2025-05-20
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$771,438
@ $123.43 · 2025-05-05
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$86,296
@ $123.28 · 2025-04-29
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,813
@ $112.59 · 2025-04-22
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$80,276
@ $114.68 · 2025-04-15
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$77,518
@ $110.74 · 2025-04-08
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$83,769
@ $119.67 · 2025-04-01
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$4.63M
@ $120.44 · 2025-04-01
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$90,685
@ $129.55 · 2025-03-25
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$88,200
@ $126.00 · 2025-03-18
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$4.87M
@ $126.60 · 2025-03-17
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$91,126
@ $130.18 · 2025-03-11
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$1.74M
@ $140.97 · 2025-03-05
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$98,070
@ $140.10 · 2025-03-04
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$10.99M
@ $142.82 · 2025-03-03
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$3.79M
@ $145.00 · 2025-02-26
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$101,507
@ $145.01 · 2025-02-25
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$423,940
@ $156.32 · 2025-02-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$112,735
@ $161.05 · 2025-02-18
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$18.50M
@ $160.32 · 2025-02-18
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$28.93M
@ $158.00 · 2025-02-14
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$1.82M
@ $158.00 · 2025-02-14
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$37.19M
@ $161.16 · 2025-02-14
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$4.00M
@ $160.00 · 2025-02-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ABNB
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ABNB
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
MS
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
View ABNB Full AnalysisView MS Full Analysis