Compare Stocks › ABNB vs AXP
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) vs American Express Company (AXP)
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
$141.66
VS
AXP
American Express Company
$319.68
Rewards
ABNB
- ★Airbnb, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Airbnb, Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
AXP
- ★Gross margin of 62.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★American Express Company scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
Risks
ABNB
- ⚠FCF yield of 5.5% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
- ⚠Trailing P/E of 35.2x is 27% above the historical average of 27.8x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $2.1M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
AXP
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.93 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $36.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
- ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 5.9% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →ABNB
AXP
Valuation
$4.65B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
5.52%
FCF Yield
N/A
35.24
Trailing P/E
19.96
24.57
Forward P/E
15.90
Quality & Moat
8.94%
ROIC
12.37%
30.63%
ROE
31.48%
82.96%
Gross Margin
62.76%
1.33
PEG Ratio
1.13
Balance Sheet Safety
0.28
Debt / Equity
1.78
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-3.40
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.19%
ABNB: 2Ties: 2AXP: 4
ABNBAXP
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →ABNB
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
AXP
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →ABNB
$2.79
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$9.95B
Δ Market Cap
+$27.75B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
AXP
$6.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$23.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$144.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →ABNB
50.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 50.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $141.66
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $287.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
AXP
34.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 34.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $319.68
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $487.58
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →ABNB
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $142?
+4.9%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate
Market below historical growth — potential opportunity.
AXP
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →ABNB
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
AXP
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →ABNB
-2.76
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
AXP
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →ABNB
Insiders 1.4%Institutions 88.0%Retail & Other 10.7%
No. of Institutional Holders1,810
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
AXP
Insiders 22.3%Institutions 65.6%Retail & Other 12.1%
No. of Institutional Holders3,664
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →ABNB
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
AXP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4,054
@ $176.26 · 2025-04-09
ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J
Director
$998,593
@ $269.89 · 2025-03-07
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →ABNB
4
Sells (3M)
56
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $36.52M
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$491,212
@ $130.99 · 2026-04-08
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$584,725
@ $135.73 · 2026-03-05
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$487,500
@ $130.00 · 2026-03-02
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$533,735
@ $125.29 · 2026-02-20
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$487,500
@ $130.00 · 2026-02-02
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$509,775
@ $135.94 · 2026-01-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$345,745
@ $134.79 · 2025-12-19
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$2.06M
@ $135.00 · 2025-12-17
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$975,000
@ $130.00 · 2025-12-12
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$83,804
@ $128.93 · 2025-12-12
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$578,750
@ $125.00 · 2025-12-09
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$2.11M
@ $125.19 · 2025-12-09
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,598
@ $120.92 · 2025-12-05
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$14.13M
@ $120.41 · 2025-12-04
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$619,572
@ $120.03 · 2025-12-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$133,732
@ $116.39 · 2025-12-01
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$385,960
@ $116.71 · 2025-11-28
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$68,706
@ $114.51 · 2025-11-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$72,828
@ $121.38 · 2025-11-13
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$73,428
@ $122.38 · 2025-11-06
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$75,282
@ $125.47 · 2025-10-30
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$975,000
@ $130.00 · 2025-10-28
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$1.56M
@ $127.65 · 2025-10-24
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$76,518
@ $127.53 · 2025-10-23
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,556
@ $124.26 · 2025-10-16
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$72,276
@ $120.46 · 2025-10-09
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$73,482
@ $122.47 · 2025-10-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$73,746
@ $122.91 · 2025-09-25
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,244
@ $123.74 · 2025-09-18
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,208
@ $123.68 · 2025-09-11
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,790
@ $124.65 · 2025-09-04
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$594,585
@ $128.42 · 2025-09-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,114
@ $130.19 · 2025-08-28
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,976
@ $124.96 · 2025-08-21
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$281,199
@ $125.20 · 2025-08-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$74,172
@ $123.62 · 2025-08-14
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$72,300
@ $120.50 · 2025-08-07
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$806,875
@ $129.10 · 2025-08-04
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$80,850
@ $134.75 · 2025-07-31
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$83,634
@ $139.39 · 2025-07-24
BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLES
Officer
$710,000
@ $142.00 · 2025-07-24
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$82,548
@ $137.58 · 2025-07-17
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$82,326
@ $137.21 · 2025-07-10
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$849,125
@ $135.86 · 2025-07-07
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$81,762
@ $136.27 · 2025-07-03
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,198
@ $130.33 · 2025-06-26
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$79,362
@ $132.27 · 2025-06-20
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$82,278
@ $137.13 · 2025-06-12
BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLES
Officer
$701,200
@ $140.24 · 2025-06-11
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$80,100
@ $133.50 · 2025-06-05
BERNSTEIN DAVID CHARLES
Officer
$820,000
@ $136.67 · 2025-06-05
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$826,750
@ $132.28 · 2025-06-04
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$619,640
@ $128.85 · 2025-06-02
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$191,750
@ $130.00 · 2025-05-29
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$300,897
@ $134.03 · 2025-05-20
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$771,438
@ $123.43 · 2025-05-05
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$86,296
@ $123.28 · 2025-04-29
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$78,813
@ $112.59 · 2025-04-22
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$80,276
@ $114.68 · 2025-04-15
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$77,518
@ $110.74 · 2025-04-08
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$4.63M
@ $120.44 · 2025-04-01
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$83,769
@ $119.67 · 2025-04-01
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$90,685
@ $129.55 · 2025-03-25
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$88,200
@ $126.00 · 2025-03-18
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$4.87M
@ $126.60 · 2025-03-17
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$91,126
@ $130.18 · 2025-03-11
MERTZ ELINOR
Chief Financial Officer
$1.74M
@ $140.97 · 2025-03-05
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$98,070
@ $140.10 · 2025-03-04
CHESKY BRIAN
Chief Executive Officer
$10.99M
@ $142.82 · 2025-03-03
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$3.79M
@ $145.00 · 2025-02-26
BALOGH ARISTOTLE N
Chief Technology Officer
$101,507
@ $145.01 · 2025-02-25
BLECHARCZYK NATHAN
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$423,940
@ $156.32 · 2025-02-20
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
AXP
7
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $151.85M
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$909,661
@ $300.02 · 2026-03-06
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $340.67 · 2026-02-19
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.82M
@ $346.73 · 2026-02-12
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$5.35M
@ $356.58 · 2026-02-09
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$4.60M
@ $360.99 · 2026-02-09
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$8.35M
@ $356.91 · 2026-02-05
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$9.60M
@ $350.01 · 2026-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$538,902
@ $384.93 · 2025-12-12
RUTLEDGE ELIZABETH
Officer
$18.01M
@ $360.21 · 2025-10-31
TABISH DOUGLAS J
Officer
$894,359
@ $355.61 · 2025-10-23
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$1.75M
@ $350.73 · 2025-10-22
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$37.03M
@ $329.86 · 2025-09-04
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$2.83M
@ $325.88 · 2025-09-03
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$7.67M
@ $326.37 · 2025-09-02
SEEGER LAUREEN E
Officer
$23.37M
@ $296.90 · 2025-08-06
MARRS ANNA
Officer
$1.71M
@ $310.77 · 2025-07-29
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$15.47M
@ $309.50 · 2025-07-29
MARQUEZ RAFAEL
Officer
$3.56M
@ $296.93 · 2025-05-20
GROSFIELD HOWARD M
Officer
$2.60M
@ $275.50 · 2025-05-06
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$799,009
@ $264.66 · 2025-04-29
MARRS ANNA
President
$6.32M
@ $287.88 · 2025-03-04
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$897,590
@ $296.43 · 2025-02-26
MCNEAL GLENDA G
Officer
$2.29M
@ $309.96 · 2025-02-11
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$16.24M
@ $319.45 · 2025-02-06
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$7.25M
@ $318.69 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$3.53M
@ $317.01 · 2025-02-05
RADHAKRISHNAN RAVIKUMAR S
Chief Technology Officer
$3.03M
@ $319.17 · 2025-02-05
JOABAR RAYMOND D
Officer
$4.77M
@ $313.94 · 2025-01-28
LE CAILLEC CHRISTOPHE
Chief Financial Officer
$1.82M
@ $303.48 · 2024-11-27
HERENA MONIQUE
Officer
$374,010
@ $287.70 · 2024-11-07
SQUERI STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$48.90M
@ $286.57 · 2024-11-07
BUCKMINSTER DOUGLAS E
Officer
$3.55M
@ $270.98 · 2024-10-29
WILLIAMS ANRE D.
Officer
$21.05M
@ $270.26 · 2024-10-22
PICKETT DENISE
Officer
$666,213
@ $240.68 · 2024-05-22
SKYLER JENNIFER
Officer
$3.58M
@ $241.73 · 2024-05-10
LIEBERMAN QUINN JESSICA
Officer
$729,770
@ $232.41 · 2024-05-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →ABNB
😏Greed(67/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
AXP
😐Neutral(49/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →ABNB
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (67)
AXP
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (49)