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Compare Stocks › ABBV vs ADSK

AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) vs Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-09-17, ABBV is overvalued at $264, with a DCF intrinsic value of $184 and a margin of safety of -44%. ADSK is overvalued at $219, with an intrinsic value of $172 and a margin of safety of -27%. Of the two, ADSK has the wider margin of safety.

ABBV
AbbVie Inc.
$264.02
VS
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
$218.64

Rewards

ABBV
  • ★AbbVie Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • ★Gross margin of 72.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★AbbVie Inc. scores 82/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
ADSK
  • ★Autodesk, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 92.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Autodesk, Inc. scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

ABBV
  • ⚠Buybacks have been poorly timed — 3 out of 4 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $8.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
  • ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 9.8% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
ADSK
  • ⚠FCF yield of 6.9% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ABBV
ADSK
Valuation
$16.87B
Free Cash Flow
$3.16B
3.62%
FCF Yield
6.91%
74.58
Trailing P/E
28.36
16.23
Forward P/E
15.40
Quality & Moat
28.73%
ROIC
25.38%
N/A
ROE
53.85%
72.79%
Gross Margin
92.50%
0.54
PEG Ratio
0.85
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Net Debt / Equity
Net cash
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.09
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.20
2.64%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
ABBV: 4Ties: 1ADSK: 5
ABBVADSK

Historical Fundamentals

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ABBV

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

ADSK

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ABBV
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-19.85B
Δ Market Cap
+$118.02B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ADSK
$-1.91
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$3.14B
Δ Market Cap
$-6.00B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ABBV
43.5% Overvalued
Price is 43.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $264.02
Fair Value: $183.97
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ADSK
27.4% Overvalued
Price is 27.4% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $218.64
Fair Value: $171.57
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ABBV

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $264?

+19.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.9%

The market implies +19.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +13.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

ADSK

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $219?

+15.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +3.2%

The market implies +15.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +3.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ABBV
82/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Reinvestment Efficiency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ADSK
99/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ABBV
-2.86
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ADSK
-2.65
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ABBV
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 77.4%Retail & Other 22.5%
No. of Institutional Holders5,262
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ADSK
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 101.6%
No. of Institutional Holders1,876
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ABBV
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ADSK
1
Buys (3M)
4
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.17M
CAHILL JOHN T
Director
$378,400
@ $189.20 · 2026-06-23
ANAGNOST ANDREW J
Chief Executive Officer
$498,544
@ $202.66 · 2026-06-16
MOORJANI JANESH
Chief Financial Officer
$494,175
@ $197.67 · 2026-06-15
SMITH STACY J
Director
$794,054
@ $231.17 · 2026-05-29
CAHILL JOHN T
Director
$534,194
@ $267.10 · 2025-03-21
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,876
@ $275.48 · 2024-09-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ABBV
1
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $18.92M
DONOGHOE NICHOLAS
Officer
$8.18M
@ $250.00 · 2026-08-14
PURDUE DAVID RYAN
Officer
$1.22M
@ $233.56 · 2026-03-04
SIATIS PERRY C.
General Counsel
$4.38M
@ $234.39 · 2026-03-02
SIATIS PERRY C.
General Counsel
$5.15M
@ $230.00 · 2026-02-25
SALEKI-GERHARDT AZITA
Chief Operating Officer
$8.41M
@ $198.42 · 2025-08-12
DONOGHOE NICHOLAS
Officer
$2.64M
@ $198.51 · 2025-08-05
STEWART JEFFREY RYAN
Officer
$12.36M
@ $210.08 · 2025-03-31
REENTS SCOTT T.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.75M
@ $212.34 · 2025-03-14
RICHMOND TIMOTHY J
Officer
$4.47M
@ $210.45 · 2025-03-03
SIATIS PERRY C.
General Counsel
$5.82M
@ $208.69 · 2025-03-03
GONZALEZ RICHARD A
Director
$20.26M
@ $205.45 · 2025-03-03
RICHMOND TIMOTHY J
Officer
$6.07M
@ $202.90 · 2025-02-26
BUCKBEE KEVIN K
Officer
$3.85M
@ $203.41 · 2025-02-26
SIATIS PERRY C.
General Counsel
$1.14M
@ $197.90 · 2025-02-20
BUCKBEE KEVIN K
Officer
$310,032
@ $172.24 · 2024-12-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ADSK
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $298,025
HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA
Director
$298,025
@ $325.00 · 2025-09-29
KEENE RUTH ANN
Officer
$869,991
@ $315.10 · 2025-09-03
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$1.98M
@ $323.06 · 2025-08-29
HOWARD AYANNA MACCALLA
Director
$1.03M
@ $325.00 · 2025-08-29
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$1.02M
@ $315.00 · 2025-07-03
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$964,100
@ $310.00 · 2025-06-30
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$775,920
@ $305.00 · 2025-06-24
PEARCE REBECCA
Officer
$145,800
@ $300.00 · 2025-06-17
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,887
@ $261.18 · 2025-04-01
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$655,395
@ $267.29 · 2025-03-28
NORRINGTON LORRIE M
Director
$542,948
@ $305.37 · 2024-12-11
NORRINGTON LORRIE M
Director
$543,926
@ $305.92 · 2024-12-06
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$167,783
@ $305.06 · 2024-11-15
MCDOWELL MARY THERESE
Director
$156,920
@ $285.31 · 2024-10-15
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,829
@ $274.61 · 2024-10-01
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$14,829
@ $274.61 · 2024-10-01
HOPE STEPHEN W.
Officer
$78,604
@ $274.84 · 2024-09-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ABBV
FearGreed
😏Greed(69/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ADSK
FearGreed
😨Fear(29/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ABBV
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (69)
ADSK
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (29)
View ABBV Full AnalysisView ADSK Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: ABBV vs ADSK

Is AbbVie Inc. or Autodesk, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, ADSK trades at a -27.4% margin of safety (intrinsic value $172 vs. price $219), compared to ABBV's -43.5% margin of safety (intrinsic $184 vs. $264).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, AbbVie Inc. or Autodesk, Inc.?▼

ADSK scores 99/100 (Wide moat), while ABBV scores 82/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is AbbVie Inc. in financial distress?▼

ABBV's Altman Z-Score of 2.4 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. ADSK scores 3.8 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which company has better free cash flow, AbbVie Inc. or Autodesk, Inc.?▼

Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) generates a 6.9% free cash flow yield, compared to AbbVie Inc.'s 3.6%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, AbbVie Inc. or Autodesk, Inc.?▼

ABBV earns 28.7% ROIC versus ADSK's 25.4%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

ABBV vs ADSK: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io